CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2444 N 40th St #2446 Duplex
B- Composite 67.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$174,000

2444 N 40th St #2446 · Milwaukee, WI 53210
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,534 sqft · MultiFamily · 45 Days on market
Built 1913 4,356 sqft lot $69/sqft · 77% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits in this centrally and conveniently located duplex. Large upper/lower duplex with amazing rent potential. One newer water heater and one furnace.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1913

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size less than 1/2 acre (0.1 acre)

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 parking space
  • Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; 2 electric meters; 2 gas meters
  • Home design: Duplex, 2-story multi-family property; Zoning: RT2
  • Construction: Exterior: Aluminum/steel; Year built: Assessor/Public Record
  • Exterior features: Aluminum/steel exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Unit 2 kitchen on upper level
  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 3 bedrooms; Unit 2: 3 bedrooms (master and other bedrooms on upper level)
  • Bathrooms: Unit 1: 1 full bathroom; Unit 2: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: 2 electric meters; 2 gas meters

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $174k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $694 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $347/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $174k).
  • Recommended offer: $169k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,401/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 1730% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $63k; list at $174k implies a 176% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $168,780 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
11.08%
Cash-on-cash
17.10%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$98,106
List price
$174,000
Delta
77.36%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2200 N 42nd St #2202 0.31mi 6/2.0 2,565 (+1%) 0mo $37,000 $14 84
2771 N 40th St #2773 0.42mi 6/2.0 2,614 (+3%) 2mo $135,000 $52 74
2328 N 45th St #2330 0.37mi 7/2.0 (+1) 2,622 (+4%) 2mo $175,000 $67 71
2201 N 33rd St 0.49mi 6/2.0 2,446 (-4%) 3mo $186,300 $76 69
2338 N 45th St #2340 0.37mi 6/2.0 2,304 (-9%) 2mo $170,000 $74 66
2107 N 48th St #2109 0.69mi 6/2.0 2,552 (+1%) 3mo $250,000 $98 64
2642 N 50th St #2644 0.69mi 6/2.0 2,612 (+3%) 1mo $264,000 $101 62
2857 N 34th St #2859 0.62mi 6/2.0 2,314 (-9%) 1mo $135,000 $58 56
3127 W Garfield Ave #3129 0.58mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,332 (-8%) 0mo $130,000 $56 55
1800 N 36th St 0.74mi 6/2.0 2,320 (-8%) 1mo $147,700 $64 50
2646 N 50th St #2648 0.70mi 6/2.0 2,826 (+12%) 1mo $155,000 $55 47
2139 N 48th St #2141 0.66mi 6/2.0 2,866 (+13%) 1mo $219,000 $76 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$18,059
Equity at exit
$25,944
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$81,147
Equity at exit
$15,044

Cash invested: $48,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 53210

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Rents YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,401 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$912
Tax est. 1.5%
$218 /mo · $2,610/yr
Insurance
$72
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$504
Net cashflow
$694

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,522
Max offer price $174,000
Occupancy floor 66%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,401

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,500
Closing costs
$5,220
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2432 N 28th St Milwaukee, WI 5.0 1.5 1876 $1,600 $0.85 43d 1 0.73mi
2704 W Concordia Ave Unit Na Milwaukee, WI 5.0 2.0 1856 $2,500 $1.35 23d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $174,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $174,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $174,000 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $174,000 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $174,000 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $174,000 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $174,000 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $174,000 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $174,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    pricestatusdays on market $174,000 Active 31 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,000 Contingent 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,000 Contingent 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,000 Contingent 28 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,000 Contingent 27 DOM
  15. 2026-05-04
    listed $179,000 Active 536-char remark
  16. 2024-07-19
    soldstatus $63,000 Sold 163-char remark
    Show marketing remark (163 chars)

    Opportunity awaits in this centrally and conveniently located duplex. Large upper/lower duplex with amazing rent potential. One newer water heater and one furnace.

  17. 2024-06-21
    status Pending 163-char remark
    Show marketing remark (163 chars)

    Opportunity awaits in this centrally and conveniently located duplex. Large upper/lower duplex with amazing rent potential. One newer water heater and one furnace.

  18. 2024-06-19
    price $89,900 163-char remark
    Show marketing remark (163 chars)

    Opportunity awaits in this centrally and conveniently located duplex. Large upper/lower duplex with amazing rent potential. One newer water heater and one furnace.

  19. 2024-06-04
    status Active 163-char remark
    Show marketing remark (163 chars)

    Opportunity awaits in this centrally and conveniently located duplex. Large upper/lower duplex with amazing rent potential. One newer water heater and one furnace.

  20. 2024-05-21
    historical Contingent 163-char remark
    Show marketing remark (163 chars)

    Opportunity awaits in this centrally and conveniently located duplex. Large upper/lower duplex with amazing rent potential. One newer water heater and one furnace.

  21. 2024-05-19
    price $99,900 163-char remark
    Show marketing remark (163 chars)

    Opportunity awaits in this centrally and conveniently located duplex. Large upper/lower duplex with amazing rent potential. One newer water heater and one furnace.

  22. 2024-05-14
    listed $105,000 Active 163-char remark
    Show marketing remark (163 chars)

    Opportunity awaits in this centrally and conveniently located duplex. Large upper/lower duplex with amazing rent potential. One newer water heater and one furnace.

  23. 2017-05-08
    soldstatus $13,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    At this price, this is a great investment opportunity with excellent cash flow. Property does need some minor repairs and cleaning. Room sizes are approximated.

  24. 2017-02-08
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    At this price, this is a great investment opportunity with excellent cash flow. Property does need some minor repairs and cleaning. Room sizes are approximated.

  25. 2016-11-01
    historical Contingent
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    At this price, this is a great investment opportunity with excellent cash flow. Property does need some minor repairs and cleaning. Room sizes are approximated.

  26. 2016-10-08
    listed $16,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    At this price, this is a great investment opportunity with excellent cash flow. Property does need some minor repairs and cleaning. Room sizes are approximated.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,812
− Mortgage interest
−$9,747
− Property taxes
−$2,610
− Insurance
−$870
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,305
− Management
−$2,305
− Depreciation
−$5,062
Taxable income
$5,914
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,419
After-tax cash flow
$6,913/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Milwaukee School District
NCES district ID
5509600
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$36,339
Composite
11.61/100
National rank
#9696
State rank
#337 of 342 in WI

Livability — Milwaukee

Score
81/100
State rank
#55
US rank
#1534

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Milwaukee, WI
County
Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
City population
573,768
Metro
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
Population (ZIP)
23,922
Household income
$48,217
Rent vs Own
60.4% rent · 39.6% own
Severe rent burden
1730.0

Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
995,758 people
By 2030
1,009,124 · +1.3%
By 2040
1,028,128 · +3.3%
By 2050
1,040,066 · +4.4%
By 2075
1,057,849 · +6.2%
By 2100
1,039,774 · +4.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.77%
Current HPI
280.0133
Rent YoY
▲ 3.82%
Metro
Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+929.6% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $174,000 METROMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Relisted METROMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Contingent METROMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $179,000 METROMLS
  • 2024-07-19 Sold (MLS) $63,000 METROMLS
  • 2024-06-21 Pending METROMLS
  • 2024-06-19 Price Changed $89,900 METROMLS
  • 2024-06-04 Relisted METROMLS
  • 2024-05-21 Contingent METROMLS
  • 2024-05-19 Price Changed $99,900 METROMLS
  • 2024-05-14 Listed $105,000 METROMLS
  • 2017-05-08 Sold (MLS) $13,000 METROMLS
  • 2017-02-08 Pending METROMLS
  • 2016-11-01 Contingent METROMLS
  • 2016-10-08 Listed $16,900 METROMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…