419 Broadway St · Martins Ferry, OH
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come check out this charming home conveniently located in the heart of Martins Ferry. This home features 2 spacious bedrooms, 1 bathroom, a living room and dining room. Addition to a detached garage and fenced-in back yard. A park near by adds a great touch. Perfect for first time buyers, anyone downsizing, or investors looking for a great property!
Key facts
- Fenced-in back yard
- Park near by
- Detached garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 8.3% in Martins Ferry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#423 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Martins Ferry City (suburban): math 42% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #483 of 656 in OH (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4 units permitted in Belmont County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Belmont County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.32%
- DSCR
- 2.13
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $84,942
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 617 Grant Ave | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 911 (+6%) | 13mo | $90,000 | $99 | 72 |
| 115 N 10th St | 0.55mi | 2/1.5 | 840 (-2%) | 11mo | $105,000 | $125 | 60 |
| 1022 Virginia St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 926 (+8%) | 14mo | $69,900 | $75 | 51 |
| 25 Willetta Ave | 0.45mi | 2/2.5 | 810 (-6%) | 21mo | $116,500 | $144 | 46 |
| 69740 Ohio St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+1%) | 19mo | $52,000 | $60 | 43 |
| 618 Crawford St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+12%) | 9mo | $30,000 | $31 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $10,439
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 23.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.99×
- Total profit
- $36,235
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43935
- Home prices YoY
- -12.7%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,056 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $983/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $328
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $365 | -5% $347 | +0% $328 | +5% $310 | +10% $292 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $245 | -5% $287 | +0% $328 | +5% $370 | +10% $412 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $361 | -0.5pp $345 | base $328 | +0.5pp $312 | +1.0pp $295 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 614 N Front St Wheeling, WV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 6 5th St Wheeling, WV | 1.0 | 1.0 | 651 | $695 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 8 5th St Wheeling, WV | 2.0 | 1.5 | 801 | $824 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-26status Pending
-
2026-04-04price $65,000
-
2026-03-18price $66,000
-
2026-03-11$68,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $983 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $998 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- +$16/yr (+$1/mo · 1.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥98°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,666
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$983
- − Insurance
- −$992
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,013
- − Management
- −$1,013
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $3,134
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$752
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,190/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martins Ferry City
- NCES district ID
- 3904434
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,566
- Composite
- 39.89/100
- National rank
- #3859
- State rank
- #483 of 656 in OH
Livability — Martins Ferry
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #423
- US rank
- #6917
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Martins Ferry, OH
- County
- Belmont · 63,139 people
- Metro
- Wheeling, WV-OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,918
- Household income
- $50,109
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2.2
Population outlook (Belmont County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,568 people
- By 2030
- 64,818 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 60,702 · -8.8%
- By 2050
- 56,427 · -15.2%
- By 2075
- 46,222 · -30.6%
- By 2100
- 34,611 · -48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Belmont
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.3) · D 26.0% · R 73.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -50.0pp toward R · 2008: 2.7pp · 2024: -47.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.3 2020: R+43.6 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+8.4 2008: D+2.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -25.06%
- Current HPI
- 172.1787
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-4.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $65,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $66,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-03-11 Listed $68,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $983 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…