17244 Lake Hwy · Phillips, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Livability +2.1/5.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bedroom 1 bath home sitting on 1.6 acres outside of Coalgate. Property also has a barn that has electric, water and horse stables. Home needs TLC inside, but has newer siding and metal roof. New water & gas lines were installed under the home in November 2024. Home also had piers and beams replaced as well. Contact today for more information!
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Barn
- 1.6 acres
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Phone available; Water available (rural); Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story; Faces south
- Construction: Built by builder (year source: Builder); Steel and wood frame construction; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation
- Exterior features: Barn(s); Mature trees
Interior
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating
- Interior features: Ceramic counters; Ceiling fan(s); Crawl Space (basement type)
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $432 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 41/100 on livability (#722 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Coalgate (rural): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #126 of 270 in OK (top 47%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Coal County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Coal County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.89%
- DSCR
- 2.37
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.07×
- Total profit
- $34,785
- Equity at exit
- $26,979
- IRR
- 36.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.08×
- Total profit
- $85,266
- Equity at exit
- $41,577
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74538
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,072 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $432
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $474 | -5% $453 | +0% $432 | +5% $412 | +10% $391 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $348 | -5% $390 | +0% $432 | +5% $475 | +10% $517 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $463 | -0.5pp $448 | base $432 | +0.5pp $417 | +1.0pp $401 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $60,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $60,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $60,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-03-12price $115,000
-
2026-03-02$140,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,867
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,029
- − Management
- −$1,029
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $4,502
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,080
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,109/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
The property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including painting, landscaping, and fencing repairs, to improve its condition and marketability.
Repairs flagged
- Major Rusty metal roof on barns — Significant rust and potential water damage.
- Major Rusty metal siding on barns — Significant rust and potential need for repainting or replacement.
- Minor Overgrown grass and weeds in the yard — Aesthetic issue that can be addressed with trimming and mowing.
- Major Rusty and worn fencing — Structural integrity compromised, needs repair or replacement.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting and repainting of exterior siding and roof — Fresh paint and a clean roof will significantly improve the home's curb appeal and marketability.
- Rental Landscaping and trimming of overgrown grass and weeds — A well-maintained yard will attract tenants and improve the property's rental value.
- Both Repairs or replacement of fencing — A sturdy and attractive fence will enhance both the property's resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Rusty metal roof on barns · Significant rust and potential water damage. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Rusty metal siding on barns · Significant rust and potential need for repainting or replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Overgrown grass and weeds in the yard · Aesthetic issue that can be addressed with trimming and mowing. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Rusty and worn fencing · Structural integrity compromised, needs repair or replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $45,500–153,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Painting and repainting of exterior siding and roof — Fresh paint and a clean roof will significantly improve the home's curb appeal and marketability. ↑
- Rental Landscaping and trimming of overgrown grass and weeds — A well-maintained yard will attract tenants and improve the property's rental value. ↑
- Both Repairs or replacement of fencing — A sturdy and attractive fence will enhance both the property's resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coalgate
- NCES district ID
- 4008130
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,406
- Composite
- 20.53/100
- National rank
- #8565
- State rank
- #126 of 270 in OK
Livability — Phillips
- Score
- 41/100
- State rank
- #722
- US rank
- #27204
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Phillips, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,933
Population outlook (Coal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,190 people
- By 2030
- 4,951 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 4,507 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 4,186 · -19.3%
- By 2075
- 4,057 · -21.8%
- By 2100
- 4,331 · -16.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Two or more races 25% Native American 9% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Coal
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.3) · D 13.6% · R 84.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.1pp toward R · 2008: -47.2pp · 2024: -71.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.3 2020: R+68.0 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+47.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
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Price history
-17.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $115,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-03-02 Listed $140,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…