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17244 Lake Hwy
B Composite 71.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.1/5.0

$60,000

17244 Lake Hwy · Phillips, OK 74538
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily · 110 Days on market
Built 1960 Fair condition 2.60 ac lot ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 bedroom 1 bath home sitting on 1.6 acres outside of Coalgate. Property also has a barn that has electric, water and horse stables. Home needs TLC inside, but has newer siding and metal roof. New water & gas lines were installed under the home in November 2024. Home also had piers and beams replaced as well. Contact today for more information!

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Barn
  • 1.6 acres

Tags

1.6 ACRESBARNELECTRICHORSE STABLESNEWER SIDINGMETAL ROOF

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Phone available; Water available (rural); Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-story; Faces south
  • Construction: Built by builder (year source: Builder); Steel and wood frame construction; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation
  • Exterior features: Barn(s); Mature trees

Interior

  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating
  • Interior features: Ceramic counters; Ceiling fan(s); Crawl Space (basement type)
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $432 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 41/100 on livability (#722 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Coalgate (rural): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #126 of 270 in OK (top 47%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Coal County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Coal County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $54,600 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
14.94%
Cash-on-cash
30.89%
DSCR
2.37
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.7%
Equity multiple
3.07×
Total profit
$34,785
Equity at exit
$26,979
10-year hold
IRR
36.8%
Equity multiple
6.08×
Total profit
$85,266
Equity at exit
$41,577

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74538

Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,072 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $900/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$432

Break-even live

Break-even rent $525
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $474 -5% $453 +0% $432 +5% $412 +10% $391
Rent -10% $348 -5% $390 +0% $432 +5% $475 +10% $517
Rate -1.0pp $463 -0.5pp $448 base $432 +0.5pp $417 +1.0pp $401

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $60,000 Active 110 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 108 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 107 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 106 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 105 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 103 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $60,000 Active 102 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 99 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 98 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 97 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $60,000 Active 95 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $115,000 Active 93 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 92 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 91 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 90 DOM
  16. 2026-03-12
    price $115,000
  17. 2026-03-02
    listed $140,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,867
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$900
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,029
− Management
−$1,029
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$4,502
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,080
After-tax cash flow
$4,109/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos

Fair 45/100 Extensive rehab

The property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including painting, landscaping, and fencing repairs, to improve its condition and marketability.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Rusty metal roof on barns — Significant rust and potential water damage.
  • Major Rusty metal siding on barns — Significant rust and potential need for repainting or replacement.
  • Minor Overgrown grass and weeds in the yard — Aesthetic issue that can be addressed with trimming and mowing.
  • Major Rusty and worn fencing — Structural integrity compromised, needs repair or replacement.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting and repainting of exterior siding and roof — Fresh paint and a clean roof will significantly improve the home's curb appeal and marketability.
  • Rental Landscaping and trimming of overgrown grass and weeds — A well-maintained yard will attract tenants and improve the property's rental value.
  • Both Repairs or replacement of fencing — A sturdy and attractive fence will enhance both the property's resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Rusty metal roof on barns · Significant rust and potential water damage. Major $15,000–50,000
Rusty metal siding on barns · Significant rust and potential need for repainting or replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Overgrown grass and weeds in the yard · Aesthetic issue that can be addressed with trimming and mowing. Minor $500–3,000
Rusty and worn fencing · Structural integrity compromised, needs repair or replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $45,500–153,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Painting and repainting of exterior siding and roof — Fresh paint and a clean roof will significantly improve the home's curb appeal and marketability.
  • Rental Landscaping and trimming of overgrown grass and weeds — A well-maintained yard will attract tenants and improve the property's rental value.
  • Both Repairs or replacement of fencing — A sturdy and attractive fence will enhance both the property's resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coalgate
NCES district ID
4008130
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$34,406
Composite
20.53/100
National rank
#8565
State rank
#126 of 270 in OK

Livability — Phillips

Score
41/100
State rank
#722
US rank
#27204

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Phillips, OK
Population (ZIP)
3,933

Population outlook (Coal County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,190 people
By 2030
4,951 · -4.6%
By 2040
4,507 · -13.2%
By 2050
4,186 · -19.3%
By 2075
4,057 · -21.8%
By 2100
4,331 · -16.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Two or more races 25% Native American 9% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Coal

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.3) · D 13.6% · R 84.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-24.1pp toward R · 2008: -47.2pp · 2024: -71.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.3 2020: R+68.0 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+47.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $115,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $140,000 MLS Technology, Inc.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…