1402 Woodenbridge Ln · Mount Airy, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Back on the Market!! Price Adjustment!!!! Love Nature? This Home Is for You! This home is situated on a spacious 2.65-acre lot in Mount Airy, offering a private, rural feel while being just minutes from Main Street and nearby shopping centers. · Convenient location with a tranquil setting · Conventional and construction loan applications only (Please) · Cash offers are welcome · Sold "As-Is" – Buyer inspections will be for informational purposes only Showings by appointment only – Please contact 1st Showing Service to schedule. ✨ Bonus! Property includes an adjacent 0.125-acre land lot (SDAT Account Identifier: 001502), . ; ; List price includes both properties: 1402 Woodenbridge + Additional Land Lot!! Hurry - this offer won’t last long!!!
Key facts
- 2.65 acre lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 321 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-206 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $184k (16.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (24.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $167k (24.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.2% in Mount Airy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#136 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D-, commute F, cost of living F.
- Carroll County Public Schools (suburban): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #2 of 24 in MD (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 156 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carroll County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 321 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 321 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.01%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $424,191
- List price
- $220,000
- Delta
- -48.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-48,729
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- -17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-59,203
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21771
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,665 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$276 /mo · $3,312/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $-206
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-81 | -5% $-143 | +0% $-206 | +5% $-268 | +10% $-330 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-337 | -5% $-272 | +0% $-206 | +5% $-140 | +10% $-74 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-95 | -0.5pp $-150 | base $-206 | +0.5pp $-263 | +1.0pp $-321 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 Watersville Rd Apt 34 Mt Airy, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 201 Watersville Rd Apt 57 Mt Airy, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 206 N Towne Ct Mount Airy, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $2,500 | $2.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $220,000 Active 321 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $220,000 Active 320 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $220,000 Active 319 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $220,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $220,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $220,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $220,000 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $220,000 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $220,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $220,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $220,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $220,000 Active 304 DOM
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2026-03-18price $220,000 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
Back on the Market!! Price Adjustment!!!! Love Nature? This Home Is for You! This home is situated on a spacious 2.65-acre lot in Mount Airy, offering a private, rural feel while being just minutes from Main Street and nearby shopping centers. · Convenient location with a tranquil setting · Conventional and construction loan applications only (Please) · Cash offers are welcome · Sold "As-Is" – Buyer inspections will be for informational purposes only Showings by appointment only – Please contact 1st Showing Service to schedule. ✨ Bonus! Property includes an adjacent 0.125-acre land lot (SDAT Account Identifier: 001502), . ; ; List price includes both properties: 1402 Woodenbridge + Additional Land Lot!! Hurry - this offer won’t last long!!!
-
2026-03-04price $240,000 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
Back on the Market!! Price Adjustment!!!! Love Nature? This Home Is for You! This home is situated on a spacious 2.65-acre lot in Mount Airy, offering a private, rural feel while being just minutes from Main Street and nearby shopping centers. · Convenient location with a tranquil setting · Conventional and construction loan applications only (Please) · Cash offers are welcome · Sold "As-Is" – Buyer inspections will be for informational purposes only Showings by appointment only – Please contact 1st Showing Service to schedule. ✨ Bonus! Property includes an adjacent 0.125-acre land lot (SDAT Account Identifier: 001502), . ; ; List price includes both properties: 1402 Woodenbridge + Additional Land Lot!! Hurry - this offer won’t last long!!!
-
2026-03-04status Active 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
Back on the Market!! Price Adjustment!!!! Love Nature? This Home Is for You! This home is situated on a spacious 2.65-acre lot in Mount Airy, offering a private, rural feel while being just minutes from Main Street and nearby shopping centers. · Convenient location with a tranquil setting · Conventional and construction loan applications only (Please) · Cash offers are welcome · Sold "As-Is" – Buyer inspections will be for informational purposes only Showings by appointment only – Please contact 1st Showing Service to schedule. ✨ Bonus! Property includes an adjacent 0.125-acre land lot (SDAT Account Identifier: 001502), . ; ; List price includes both properties: 1402 Woodenbridge + Additional Land Lot!! Hurry - this offer won’t last long!!!
-
2026-02-13historical Active Under Contract 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
Back on the Market!! Price Adjustment!!!! Love Nature? This Home Is for You! This home is situated on a spacious 2.65-acre lot in Mount Airy, offering a private, rural feel while being just minutes from Main Street and nearby shopping centers. · Convenient location with a tranquil setting · Conventional and construction loan applications only (Please) · Cash offers are welcome · Sold "As-Is" – Buyer inspections will be for informational purposes only Showings by appointment only – Please contact 1st Showing Service to schedule. ✨ Bonus! Property includes an adjacent 0.125-acre land lot (SDAT Account Identifier: 001502), . ; ; List price includes both properties: 1402 Woodenbridge + Additional Land Lot!! Hurry - this offer won’t last long!!!
-
2025-11-27status Active 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
Back on the Market!! Price Adjustment!!!! Love Nature? This Home Is for You! This home is situated on a spacious 2.65-acre lot in Mount Airy, offering a private, rural feel while being just minutes from Main Street and nearby shopping centers. · Convenient location with a tranquil setting · Conventional and construction loan applications only (Please) · Cash offers are welcome · Sold "As-Is" – Buyer inspections will be for informational purposes only Showings by appointment only – Please contact 1st Showing Service to schedule. ✨ Bonus! Property includes an adjacent 0.125-acre land lot (SDAT Account Identifier: 001502), . ; ; List price includes both properties: 1402 Woodenbridge + Additional Land Lot!! Hurry - this offer won’t last long!!!
-
2025-11-22status Pending 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
Back on the Market!! Price Adjustment!!!! Love Nature? This Home Is for You! This home is situated on a spacious 2.65-acre lot in Mount Airy, offering a private, rural feel while being just minutes from Main Street and nearby shopping centers. · Convenient location with a tranquil setting · Conventional and construction loan applications only (Please) · Cash offers are welcome · Sold "As-Is" – Buyer inspections will be for informational purposes only Showings by appointment only – Please contact 1st Showing Service to schedule. ✨ Bonus! Property includes an adjacent 0.125-acre land lot (SDAT Account Identifier: 001502), . ; ; List price includes both properties: 1402 Woodenbridge + Additional Land Lot!! Hurry - this offer won’t last long!!!
-
2025-11-01status Active 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
Back on the Market!! Price Adjustment!!!! Love Nature? This Home Is for You! This home is situated on a spacious 2.65-acre lot in Mount Airy, offering a private, rural feel while being just minutes from Main Street and nearby shopping centers. · Convenient location with a tranquil setting · Conventional and construction loan applications only (Please) · Cash offers are welcome · Sold "As-Is" – Buyer inspections will be for informational purposes only Showings by appointment only – Please contact 1st Showing Service to schedule. ✨ Bonus! Property includes an adjacent 0.125-acre land lot (SDAT Account Identifier: 001502), . ; ; List price includes both properties: 1402 Woodenbridge + Additional Land Lot!! Hurry - this offer won’t last long!!!
-
2025-10-30historical 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
Back on the Market!! Price Adjustment!!!! Love Nature? This Home Is for You! This home is situated on a spacious 2.65-acre lot in Mount Airy, offering a private, rural feel while being just minutes from Main Street and nearby shopping centers. · Convenient location with a tranquil setting · Conventional and construction loan applications only (Please) · Cash offers are welcome · Sold "As-Is" – Buyer inspections will be for informational purposes only Showings by appointment only – Please contact 1st Showing Service to schedule. ✨ Bonus! Property includes an adjacent 0.125-acre land lot (SDAT Account Identifier: 001502), . ; ; List price includes both properties: 1402 Woodenbridge + Additional Land Lot!! Hurry - this offer won’t last long!!!
-
2025-07-06status Active 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
Back on the Market!! Price Adjustment!!!! Love Nature? This Home Is for You! This home is situated on a spacious 2.65-acre lot in Mount Airy, offering a private, rural feel while being just minutes from Main Street and nearby shopping centers. · Convenient location with a tranquil setting · Conventional and construction loan applications only (Please) · Cash offers are welcome · Sold "As-Is" – Buyer inspections will be for informational purposes only Showings by appointment only – Please contact 1st Showing Service to schedule. ✨ Bonus! Property includes an adjacent 0.125-acre land lot (SDAT Account Identifier: 001502), . ; ; List price includes both properties: 1402 Woodenbridge + Additional Land Lot!! Hurry - this offer won’t last long!!!
-
2025-07-05$275,000 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
Back on the Market!! Price Adjustment!!!! Love Nature? This Home Is for You! This home is situated on a spacious 2.65-acre lot in Mount Airy, offering a private, rural feel while being just minutes from Main Street and nearby shopping centers. · Convenient location with a tranquil setting · Conventional and construction loan applications only (Please) · Cash offers are welcome · Sold "As-Is" – Buyer inspections will be for informational purposes only Showings by appointment only – Please contact 1st Showing Service to schedule. ✨ Bonus! Property includes an adjacent 0.125-acre land lot (SDAT Account Identifier: 001502), . ; ; List price includes both properties: 1402 Woodenbridge + Additional Land Lot!! Hurry - this offer won’t last long!!!
-
2025-07-05historical 806-char remark
Show marketing remark (806 chars)
Back on the Market!! Price Adjustment!!!! Love Nature? This Home Is for You! This home is situated on a spacious 2.65-acre lot in Mount Airy, offering a private, rural feel while being just minutes from Main Street and nearby shopping centers. · Convenient location with a tranquil setting · Conventional and construction loan applications only (Please) · Cash offers are welcome · Sold "As-Is" – Buyer inspections will be for informational purposes only Showings by appointment only – Please contact 1st Showing Service to schedule. ✨ Bonus! Property includes an adjacent 0.125-acre land lot (SDAT Account Identifier: 001502), . ; ; List price includes both properties: 1402 Woodenbridge + Additional Land Lot!! Hurry - this offer won’t last long!!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,312 · $276/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,312 · $276/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,984
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$3,312
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,599
- − Management
- −$1,599
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$6,349
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,524
- After-tax cash flow
- $-945/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carroll County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400210
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $84,594
- Composite
- 37.33/100
- National rank
- #4441
- State rank
- #2 of 24 in MD
Livability — Mount Airy
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #136
- US rank
- #5825
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mount Airy, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,827
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 169,677 people
- By 2030
- 169,605 · +-0.0%
- By 2040
- 166,205 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 158,312 · -6.7%
- By 2075
- 143,013 · -15.7%
- By 2100
- 122,431 · -27.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.2% · R 61.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.2pp toward D · 2008: -31.2pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+23.7 2016: R+36.9 2012: R+34.0 2008: R+31.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -217.07%
- Current HPI
- 293.3461
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-20.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $240,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-04 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-13 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-27 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-22 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-01 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-06 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-05 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-05 Listed $275,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,312 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…