8126 Corunna Rd · Swartz Creek, MI 48532

$90,000

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily · 4 Days on market

Built 1969 2.00 ac lot Est $80k · 13% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.5/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Schools +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +1.6/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Attention Investors- Swartz creek school 3 bedroom 1.5 bathroom on 2 acres. New roof in 2017, new well in 2016. This home is in a distressed condition and the basement is full of frozen water. This is an as-is sale. Cash only. All showings and inspections are overlapping.

Key facts

• New well
• New roof
• 2 acre lot

Tags

• NEW ROOF
• NEW WELL

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $348 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
• Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 4.9% in Swartz Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#433 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
• Swartz Creek Community Schools (suburban): math 23% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #298 of 540 in MI (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Recommended offer $90,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.45% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.93%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.57%
• DSCR: 1.74
• GRM: 5.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $79,632
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
8126 Corunna Rd	0.00mi	3/1.5	1,008 (0%)	1mo	$80,000	$79	99

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 7.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.30×
• Total profit: $7,638
• Equity at exit: $13,419

10-year hold

• IRR: 17.1%
• Equity multiple: 2.41×
• Total profit: $35,426
• Equity at exit: $7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 48532

• Home prices YoY: -28.9%
• Active inventory: 123
• Price-to-rent: 5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,306 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$472
• Tax from tax record: −$175 /mo · $2,095/yr
• Insurance: −$38
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$274
• Net cashflow: $348

Break-even live

Break-even rent $866

Max offer price $90,000

Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $22,500
• Closing costs: $2,700
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-03-06
   status Pending 272-char remark

   Show marketing remark (272 chars)

   Attention Investors- Swartz creek school 3 bedroom 1.5 bathroom on 2 acres. New roof in 2017, new well in 2016. This home is in a distressed condition and the basement is full of frozen water. This is an as-is sale. Cash only. All showings and inspections are overlapping.

2. 2026-03-06
   status Pending

   Show marketing remark (272 chars)

   Attention Investors- Swartz creek school 3 bedroom 1.5 bathroom on 2 acres. New roof in 2017, new well in 2016. This home is in a distressed condition and the basement is full of frozen water. This is an as-is sale. Cash only. All showings and inspections are overlapping.

3. 2026-03-02
   listed $90,000 Active

   Show marketing remark (272 chars)

   Attention Investors- Swartz creek school 3 bedroom 1.5 bathroom on 2 acres. New roof in 2017, new well in 2016. This home is in a distressed condition and the basement is full of frozen water. This is an as-is sale. Cash only. All showings and inspections are overlapping.

4. 2026-03-02
   listed $90,000 Active 272-char remark

   Show marketing remark (272 chars)

   Attention Investors- Swartz creek school 3 bedroom 1.5 bathroom on 2 acres. New roof in 2017, new well in 2016. This home is in a distressed condition and the basement is full of frozen water. This is an as-is sale. Cash only. All showings and inspections are overlapping.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,095 · $175/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,095 · $175/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,677
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,041
• − Property taxes: −$2,095
• − Insurance: −$450
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,254
• − Management: −$1,254
• − Depreciation: −$2,618
• Taxable income: $2,964
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$711
• After-tax cash flow: $3,465/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Swartz Creek Community Schools
• NCES district ID: 2633420
• Math proficiency: 23% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $53,586
• Composite: 29.37/100
• National rank: #6530
• State rank: #298 of 540 in MI

Livability — Swartz Creek

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #433
• US rank: #12045

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 22,339
• Population (ZIP): 19,750

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 381,312 people
• By 2030: 362,731 · -4.9%
• By 2040: 321,550 · -15.7%
• By 2050: 279,212 · -26.8%
• By 2075: 193,336 · -49.3%
• By 2100: 128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 51% Black 38% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Arabic 3% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -82.08%
• Current HPI: 202.407
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-06 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2026-03-06 Pending — REALCOMP
• 2026-03-02 Listed $90,000 REALCOMP
• 2026-03-02 Listed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,095 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.