Fourplex
201 Oxford St · Martin, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.3/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Great Location! Investment Opportunity! Quadplex with each apartment having 2BR, 1BA. Some remodeling has been done and some new laminate flooring has been installed.
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- 8 parking spots
- Built 1959
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $249k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $404/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $249k).
- Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 4.0% in Martin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#15 in TN, #4,330 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: schools D+, commute F, employment F.
- Weakley County (rural): math 34% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #32 of 139 in TN (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 69 units permitted in Weakley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,920/mo this rent would consume 91% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 636% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Weakley County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $165k; list at $249k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.84%
- DSCR
- 2.24
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $259,200
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 Oxford St | 0.00mi | —/32.0 | 2,592 (0%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $100 | 79 |
| 207 Church St | 0.12mi | 5/3.0 | 2,691 (+4%) | 8mo | $121,550 | $45 | 78 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $62,588
- Equity at exit
- $37,127
- IRR
- 30.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.68×
- Total profit
- $186,800
- Equity at exit
- $21,529
Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38237
- Home prices YoY
- -16.5%
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 21.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,920 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,306
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $836/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$823
- Net cashflow
- $1,618
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,759 | -5% $1,688 | +0% $1,618 | +5% $1,547 | +10% $1,477 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,308 | -5% $1,463 | +0% $1,618 | +5% $1,772 | +10% $1,927 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,743 | -0.5pp $1,681 | base $1,618 | +0.5pp $1,553 | +1.0pp $1,487 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1 | $3,920 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $980 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $980 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $980 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $980 |
| Total (4 units) | $3,920 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,250
- Closing costs
- $7,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-13status Pending
-
2026-04-05$249,000 Active
-
2024-06-14soldstatus $165,000
-
2024-06-13soldstatus $165,000 Closed 166-char remark
Show marketing remark (166 chars)
Great Location! Investment Opportunity! Quadplex with each apartment having 2BR, 1BA. Some remodeling has been done and some new laminate flooring has been installed.
-
2024-04-16historical Active Under Contract 166-char remark
Show marketing remark (166 chars)
Great Location! Investment Opportunity! Quadplex with each apartment having 2BR, 1BA. Some remodeling has been done and some new laminate flooring has been installed.
-
2024-04-12$165,000 Active 166-char remark
Show marketing remark (166 chars)
Great Location! Investment Opportunity! Quadplex with each apartment having 2BR, 1BA. Some remodeling has been done and some new laminate flooring has been installed.
-
2004-02-04soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $836 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,768 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- +$932/yr (+$78/mo · 111.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,040
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,948
- − Property taxes
- −$836
- − Insurance
- −$1,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,763
- − Management
- −$3,763
- − Depreciation
- −$7,244
- Taxable income
- $16,241
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,898
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,513/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Weakley County
- NCES district ID
- 4704470
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,389
- Composite
- 29.77/100
- National rank
- #6434
- State rank
- #32 of 139 in TN
Livability — Martin
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #4330
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Martin, TN
- County
- Weakley County · 15,627 people
- City population
- 15,627
- Metro
- Martin, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,627
- Household income
- $51,670
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 636.0
Population outlook (Weakley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,862 people
- By 2030
- 30,688 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 27,935 · -12.3%
- By 2050
- 25,485 · -20.0%
- By 2075
- 21,080 · -33.8%
- By 2100
- 18,214 · -42.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 13% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Weakley
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.4) · D 20.3% · R 78.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.2pp toward R · 2008: -31.1pp · 2024: -58.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.4 2020: R+53.7 2016: R+51.4 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+31.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.05%
- Current HPI
- 233.76
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Martin, TN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+522.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Pending — CWTAR
- 2026-04-05 Listed $249,000 CWTAR
- 2024-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2024-06-13 Sold (MLS) $165,000 RRAR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-04-16 Contingent — RRAR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-04-12 Listed $165,000 RRAR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2004-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $836 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…