625 Tibbetts Ave · Springfield, OH
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 625 Tibbetts Ave, a versatile property offering strong potential for both savvy investors and first-time homebuyers looking to build equity. Located in an established neighborhood, this home presents an excellent opportunity to secure affordable real estate with room for growth and improvement. For investors, the property offers solid rental potential in a market where affordable housing remains in steady demand. Its manageable size helps keep renovation and maintenance costs reasonable, while thoughtful updates could significantly enhance value and increase long-term returns. Whether you are adding to your portfolio or securing your first income-producing property, this home delivers upside at an approachable price point. For first-time buyers, this is a chance to own for less than renting and begin building equity right away. The comfortable layout provides inviting living spaces, while the yard offers room to relax, garden, or create your own outdoor retreat. With a little vision and personalization, you can transform this home into a space that truly reflects your style and needs. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, schools, parks, and major roadways, the location supports both everyday living and easy commuting. Properties at this price point do not last long, making this an exceptional opportunity for buyers ready to act. Schedule your private showing today and explore the possibilities at 625 Tibbetts Ave.
Key facts
- Thoughtful updates
- Comfortable layout
- 5,680 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $505 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 4.7% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Springfield City School District (urban): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #616 of 656 in OH (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 232 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $97k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1871 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1871 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.84%
- DSCR
- 1.84
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $44,711
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- 157.21%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 814 Selma Rd | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,578 (-2%) | 10mo | $70,000 | $44 | 75 |
| 1126 Oak St | 0.43mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,596 (-1%) | 2mo | $29,200 | $18 | 72 |
| 925 East St | 0.26mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,672 (+4%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $87 | 62 |
| 1159 Selma Rd | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,519 (-6%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $82 | 62 |
| 920 Oak St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,716 (+7%) | 3mo | $149,900 | $87 | 60 |
| 1318 Maryland Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,528 (-5%) | 4mo | $169,000 | $111 | 59 |
| 644 Clifton Ave | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (-12%) | 7mo | $165,000 | $116 | 56 |
| 710 Clifton Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (-12%) | 9mo | $165,000 | $116 | 54 |
| 714 Clifton Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (-12%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $116 | 54 |
| 1213 Gable St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,430 (-11%) | 3mo | $189,900 | $133 | 41 |
| 1417 Kenton St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,384 (-14%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $51 | 40 |
| 937 Avondale Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,793 (+11%) | 10mo | $169,900 | $95 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $13,531
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.65×
- Total profit
- $53,137
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45505
- Home prices YoY
- -34.3%
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,549 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $811/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$325
- Net cashflow
- $505
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $571 | -5% $538 | +0% $505 | +5% $473 | +10% $440 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $383 | -5% $444 | +0% $505 | +5% $567 | +10% $628 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $563 | -0.5pp $535 | base $505 | +0.5pp $476 | +1.0pp $445 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 830 Oak St Unit 830 Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,250 | $0.89 | 15d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 401 Section St Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,850 | $1.15 | 12d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 18 E Grand Ave Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $1,575 | $1.08 | 20d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 421 Catherine St Springfield, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1306 S Limestone St Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $1,695 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 306 S Plum St Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,700 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 524 W Pleasant St Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,645 | $1.13 | 12d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 523 W Mulberry St Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,825 | $1.25 | 12d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 302 S Yellow Springs St Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,845 | $1.27 | 12d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 220 S Yellow Springs St Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,645 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 356 S Yellow Springs St Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1606 | $1,825 | $1.14 | 12d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 545 W Grand Ave Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,595 | $1.10 | 4d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 127 N Belmont Ave Unit 1 Springfield, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1052 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $115,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $115,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $115,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-02-17$130,000 Active 1468-char remark
Show marketing remark (1456 chars)
Welcome to 625 Tibbetts Ave, a versatile property offering strong potential for both savvy investors and first-time homebuyers looking to build equity. Located in an established neighborhood, this home presents an excellent opportunity to secure affordable real estate with room for growth and improvement. For investors, the property offers solid rental potential in a market where affordable housing remains in steady demand. Its manageable size helps keep renovation and maintenance costs reasonable, while thoughtful updates could significantly enhance value and increase long-term returns. Whether you are adding to your portfolio or securing your first income-producing property, this home delivers upside at an approachable price point. For first-time buyers, this is a chance to own for less than renting and begin building equity right away. The comfortable layout provides inviting living spaces, while the yard offers room to relax, garden, or create your own outdoor retreat. With a little vision and personalization, you can transform this home into a space that truly reflects your style and needs. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, schools, parks, and major roadways, the location supports both everyday living and easy commuting. Properties at this price point do not last long, making this an exceptional opportunity for buyers ready to act. Schedule your private showing today and explore the possibilities at 625 Tibbetts Ave.
-
2026-02-17$130,000 Active 1456-char remark
Show marketing remark (1456 chars)
Welcome to 625 Tibbetts Ave, a versatile property offering strong potential for both savvy investors and first-time homebuyers looking to build equity. Located in an established neighborhood, this home presents an excellent opportunity to secure affordable real estate with room for growth and improvement. For investors, the property offers solid rental potential in a market where affordable housing remains in steady demand. Its manageable size helps keep renovation and maintenance costs reasonable, while thoughtful updates could significantly enhance value and increase long-term returns. Whether you are adding to your portfolio or securing your first income-producing property, this home delivers upside at an approachable price point. For first-time buyers, this is a chance to own for less than renting and begin building equity right away. The comfortable layout provides inviting living spaces, while the yard offers room to relax, garden, or create your own outdoor retreat. With a little vision and personalization, you can transform this home into a space that truly reflects your style and needs. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, schools, parks, and major roadways, the location supports both everyday living and easy commuting. Properties at this price point do not last long, making this an exceptional opportunity for buyers ready to act. Schedule your private showing today and explore the possibilities at 625 Tibbetts Ave.
-
2023-12-28soldstatus $97,000
-
2022-02-10soldstatus $57,000
-
2022-02-07soldstatus $57,000 Closed
-
2022-01-23status Pending
-
2022-01-19$69,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $811 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,302 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- +$492/yr (+$41/mo · 60.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,592
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$811
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,487
- − Management
- −$1,487
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $4,444
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,067
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,998/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904481
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,541
- Composite
- 19.12/100
- National rank
- #8834
- State rank
- #616 of 656 in OH
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1108
- US rank
- #22551
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, OH
- County
- Clark County · 33,261 people
- City population
- 33,261
- Metro
- Springfield, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,826
- Household income
- $43,819
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 950.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,703 people
- By 2030
- 126,952 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 118,344 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 109,590 · -16.2%
- By 2075
- 89,464 · -31.6%
- By 2100
- 68,810 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% German 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -29.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+1.8 2008: R+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.16%
- Current HPI
- 258.9037
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Springfield, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+86.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-17 Listed $130,000 Dayton MLS
- 2026-02-17 Listed $130,000 WRIST
- 2023-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-07 Sold (MLS) $57,000 WRIST
- 2022-01-23 Pending — WRIST
- 2022-01-19 Listed $69,900 WRIST
Property tax history
+33.4%/yrLatest (2025): $811 · +25.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…