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146 Mountain Vlg 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 45.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,000

146 Mountain Vlg · Longswamp, PA 18062
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 952 sqft · Manufactured public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1986 $51/sqft · 48% below area $699/mo HOA · 30% of rent ↓ 35% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 3 Bedroom 1 Bath Mobile Home with an Addition and Front Porch is located in a Family Friendly All Age Community in Macungie, Pennsylvania Private Financing Available for Deserving Buyers with Large Down Payment. Assistance available in helping buyers get approved for Bank Financing - Lot Rent: $699 - Credit Score: 650 Desired. Can make some exceptions for lower credit scores on a case by case basis. Frequently Asked Questions: - My credit score is 550 will I get accepted? Possibly. The home is located in Macungie, PA in the Mountain Village community.

Key facts

  • Front porch
  • Built 1986
  • Listed 50 days

Tags

FRONT PORCHMOUNTAIN VILLAGE COMMUNITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: HOA fee of $699 per month

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured property; Modular/Manufactured construction; Above-grade finished area estimated at 1,200
  • Construction: Manufactured construction materials; Other structures above and below grade; Year built estimated
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Lot dimensions estimated

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; No basement; Accessibility features present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $49,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$119,773) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $49k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $818 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $49k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Brandywine Heights Area SD (suburban): math 48% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #241 of 658 in PA (top 37%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 162 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.1% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $47,530 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.76%
Cap rate
26.32%
Cash-on-cash
71.53%
DSCR
4.18
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$119,773
List price
$49,000
Delta
-59.09%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.13% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
66.2%
Equity multiple
3.77×
Total profit
$38,056
Equity at exit
$7,306
10-year hold
IRR
69.1%
Equity multiple
6.59×
Total profit
$76,688
Equity at exit
$4,237

Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18062

Home prices YoY
-26.4%
Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
162
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,334 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$257
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $592/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$699
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$490
Net cashflow
$818

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,298
Max offer price $49,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $846 -5% $832 +0% $818 +5% $804 +10% $790
Rent -10% $633 -5% $726 +0% $818 +5% $910 +10% $1,002
Rate -1.0pp $843 -0.5pp $830 base $818 +0.5pp $805 +1.0pp $792

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,250
Closing costs
$1,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$699 · $8,388/yr

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,000 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,000 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,000 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,000 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $49,000 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,000 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $49,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,000 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,000 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,000 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $49,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,000 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,000 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,000 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,000 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,000 Active 31 DOM
  17. 2026-04-29
    listed $55,000 Active 562-char remark
  18. 2026-02-05
    historical
  19. 2026-01-07
    price $49,000
  20. 2025-11-21
    price $51,000
  21. 2025-09-29
    price $52,000
  22. 2025-09-10
    price $54,000
  23. 2025-08-21
    price $57,000
  24. 2025-08-07
    price $59,000
  25. 2025-08-07
    status Active
  26. 2025-08-04
    historical
  27. 2025-07-11
    price $61,000
  28. 2025-03-29
    price $65,000
  29. 2025-03-06
    price $69,000
  30. 2025-02-13
    price $73,000
  31. 2025-02-04
    listed $75,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$592 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$683 · $57/mo
Expected delta
+$91/yr (+$8/mo · 15.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,003
− Mortgage interest
−$2,745
− Property taxes
−$592
− Insurance
−$245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,240
− Management
−$2,240
− HOA
−$8,388
− Depreciation
−$1,425
Taxable income
$10,128
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,431
After-tax cash flow
$7,384/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brandywine Heights Area SD
NCES district ID
4204050
Math proficiency
48% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$62,904
Composite
51.52/100
National rank
#3670
State rank
#241 of 658 in PA

Livability — Longswamp

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Lehigh County · 333,019 people
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
Population (ZIP)
27,110
Household income
$110,675
Rent vs Own
19.1% rent · 80.9% own
Severe rent burden
537.0

Population outlook (Berks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
425,767 people
By 2030
428,814 · +0.7%
By 2040
433,463 · +1.8%
By 2050
439,426 · +3.2%
By 2075
478,647 · +12.4%
By 2100
518,507 · +21.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Asian 5% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Berks

2024 margin
R (+12.2) · D 43.4% · R 55.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -12.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.2 2020: R+8.2 2016: R+10.2 2012: R+0.6 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.04%
Current HPI
253.5939
Rent YoY
▲ 0.13%
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-34.7% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $49,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-05 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-07 Price Changed $49,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-21 Price Changed $51,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-29 Price Changed $52,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-10 Price Changed $54,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-21 Price Changed $57,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-07 Price Changed $59,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-07 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-04 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-11 Price Changed $61,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-03-29 Price Changed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-03-06 Price Changed $69,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-02-13 Price Changed $73,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-02-04 Listed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $592 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…