🏷️ Likely Rental
146 Mountain Vlg · Longswamp, PA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 3 Bedroom 1 Bath Mobile Home with an Addition and Front Porch is located in a Family Friendly All Age Community in Macungie, Pennsylvania Private Financing Available for Deserving Buyers with Large Down Payment. Assistance available in helping buyers get approved for Bank Financing - Lot Rent: $699 - Credit Score: 650 Desired. Can make some exceptions for lower credit scores on a case by case basis. Frequently Asked Questions: - My credit score is 550 will I get accepted? Possibly. The home is located in Macungie, PA in the Mountain Village community.
Key facts
- Front porch
- Built 1986
- Listed 50 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA fee of $699 per month
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured property; Modular/Manufactured construction; Above-grade finished area estimated at 1,200
- Construction: Manufactured construction materials; Other structures above and below grade; Year built estimated
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Lot dimensions estimated
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Estimated living area; No basement; Accessibility features present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $49k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $818 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Brandywine Heights Area SD (suburban): math 48% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #241 of 658 in PA (top 37%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 162 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.1% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 71.53%
- DSCR
- 4.18
- GRM
- 1.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $119,773
- List price
- $49,000
- Delta
- -59.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 66.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.77×
- Total profit
- $38,056
- Equity at exit
- $7,306
- IRR
- 69.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.59×
- Total profit
- $76,688
- Equity at exit
- $4,237
Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18062
- Home prices YoY
- -26.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 1.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,334 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$257
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $592/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$699
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$490
- Net cashflow
- $818
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $846 | -5% $832 | +0% $818 | +5% $804 | +10% $790 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $633 | -5% $726 | +0% $818 | +5% $910 | +10% $1,002 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $843 | -0.5pp $830 | base $818 | +0.5pp $805 | +1.0pp $792 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,250
- Closing costs
- $1,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $699 · $8,388/yr
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $49,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $49,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $49,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-29$55,000 Active 562-char remark
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2026-02-05historical
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2026-01-07price $49,000
-
2025-11-21price $51,000
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2025-09-29price $52,000
-
2025-09-10price $54,000
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2025-08-21price $57,000
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2025-08-07price $59,000
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2025-08-07status Active
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2025-08-04historical
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2025-07-11price $61,000
-
2025-03-29price $65,000
-
2025-03-06price $69,000
-
2025-02-13price $73,000
-
2025-02-04$75,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $592 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $683 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$91/yr (+$8/mo · 15.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,003
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,745
- − Property taxes
- −$592
- − Insurance
- −$245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,240
- − Management
- −$2,240
- − HOA
- −$8,388
- − Depreciation
- −$1,425
- Taxable income
- $10,128
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,431
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,384/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brandywine Heights Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4204050
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,904
- Composite
- 51.52/100
- National rank
- #3670
- State rank
- #241 of 658 in PA
Livability — Longswamp
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Lehigh County · 333,019 people
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,110
- Household income
- $110,675
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 537.0
Population outlook (Berks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 425,767 people
- By 2030
- 428,814 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 433,463 · +1.8%
- By 2050
- 439,426 · +3.2%
- By 2075
- 478,647 · +12.4%
- By 2100
- 518,507 · +21.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Asian 5% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Berks
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.2) · D 43.4% · R 55.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -12.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.2 2020: R+8.2 2016: R+10.2 2012: R+0.6 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.04%
- Current HPI
- 253.5939
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.13%
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-34.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $49,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-05 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-07 Price Changed $49,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $51,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-29 Price Changed $52,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $54,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-21 Price Changed $57,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-07 Price Changed $59,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-07 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-04 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-11 Price Changed $61,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-03-29 Price Changed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-03-06 Price Changed $69,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-02-13 Price Changed $73,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-02-04 Listed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2026): $592 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…