CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
113-16 204 St Duplex
C- Composite 50.18
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.2/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$600,000

113-16 204 St · New York, NY 11412
None bd · None ba · 1,360 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1935 Est $849k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

2 family needs TLC . 2 bedroom apartment over a one bedroom over a basement with its own entrance.

Key facts

  • Parking
  • Built 1935
  • Listed 3 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 1 space; Alley access
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Duplex
  • Construction: Block and brick construction
  • Exterior features: No waterfront; No additional parcels

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Full unfinished walk-out basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 1×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $600k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive. Per door: $52/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $471k (21.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $471k (21.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $471,200 (21.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.50%
Cash-on-cash
0.74%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$848,640
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
112-02 204 St 0.12mi 4/3.0 1,530 (+12%) 10mo $954,000 $624 65
118-32 200th St 0.64mi 6/4.0 1,368 (+1%) 6mo $1,310,000 $958 64
194-56 Murdock Ave 0.41mi 4/2.0 1,516 (+12%) 2mo $896,700 $591 61
118-27 201st St 0.61mi 6/3.0 1,248 (-8%) 3mo $1,240,000 $994 56
19124 Murdock Ave 0.57mi 6/4.0 1,509 (+11%) 2mo $980,000 $649 53
189-18 114 Dr 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,473 (+8%) 8mo $880,000 $597 47
117-33 219th St 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-5%) 16mo $620,000 $478 44
116-42 193rd St 0.71mi 3/3.0 1,480 (+9%) 11mo $750,000 $507 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-90,872
Equity at exit
$89,462
10-year hold
IRR
-6.7%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-71,650
Equity at exit
$51,877

Cash invested: $168,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11412

Active inventory
145
Price-to-rent
21.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,712 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,146
Tax from tax record
$222 /mo · $2,667/yr
Insurance
$250
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$990
Net cashflow
$104

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,581
Max offer price $600,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $443 -5% $274 +0% $104 +5% $-66 +10% $-236
Rent -10% $-269 -5% $-82 +0% $104 +5% $290 +10% $476
Rate -1.0pp $406 -0.5pp $256 base $104 +0.5pp $-52 +1.0pp $-210

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 1 $2,356
1× unit 1 1 $2,356
Total (2 units) $4,712

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$150,000
Closing costs
$18,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11141 202nd St Saint Albans, NY 3.0 1.0 900 $2,750 $3.06 25d 1 0.14mi
11516 199th St Saint Albans, NY 3.0 2.0 1000 $3,800 $3.80 25d 1 0.36mi
10933 Francis Lewis Blvd Queens Village, NY 3.0 1.5 1492 $4,000 $2.68 25d 1 0.41mi
20207 Linden Blvd Saint Albans, NY 3.0 1.0 1584 $3,400 $2.15 25d 1 0.48mi
200-03 109th Ave Unit 2nd flr Jamaica, NY 3.0 2.0 1300 $3,200 $2.46 5d 1 0.50mi
104-23 203rd St Unit 1 Jamaica, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $2,975 $3.31 12d 1 0.50mi
191-28 114th Dr Unit 1 St. Albans, NY 3.0 2.0 1767 $3,150 $1.78 25d 1 0.59mi
21511 111th Rd Queens Village, NY 2.0 1.0 1812 $3,100 $1.71 25d 1 0.66mi
20120 120th Ave Saint Albans, NY 3.0 2.0 1040 $3,500 $3.37 19d 1 0.80mi
12033 200th St Saint Albans, NY 1.0 1.0 1099 $2,000 $1.82 14d 1 0.86mi
11521 222nd St Cambria Heights, NY 3.0 1.5 1250 $3,500 $2.80 25d 1 0.87mi
190-24 102nd Ave Unit First floor Jamaica, NY 3.0 1.5 1000 $3,000 $3.00 25d 1 0.88mi
12054 194th St Saint Albans, NY 3.0 1.0 1099 $3,200 $2.91 25d 1 1.04mi
104-18 220th St Unit 2nd flr Queens Village, NY 3.0 2.0 1150 $3,200 $2.78 19d 1 1.09mi
193-14 Jamaica Ave Unit 2 Floor Jamaica, NY 3.0 2.0 1000 $3,195 $3.19 12d 1 1.09mi
22518 112th Ave Queens Village, NY 3.0 1.0 1452 $3,500 $2.41 19d 1 1.09mi
197-10 Foothill Ave Unit 1st floor Jamaica, NY 3.0 2.0 1100 $3,600 $3.27 7d 1 1.36mi
8789 191st St Hollis, NY 3.0 2.0 1374 $3,600 $2.62 25d 1 1.40mi
177-47 106th Ave Unit First floor Jamaica, NY 3.0 1.0 1600 $3,300 $2.06 15d 1 1.44mi
17724 106th Ave Jamaica, NY 3.0 1.0 1600 $3,500 $2.19 25d 1 1.47mi
10940 175th St Jamaica, NY 3.0 1.5 1300 $4,000 $3.08 19d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $600,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $600,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    remarks 98-char remark
  4. 2026-06-07
    listed $600,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,667 · $222/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,404 · $534/mo
Expected delta
+$3,736/yr (+$311/mo · 140.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 54% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$56,544
− Mortgage interest
−$33,609
− Property taxes
−$2,667
− Insurance
−$3,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,524
− Management
−$4,524
− Depreciation
−$17,455
Taxable loss
−$9,234
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,216
After-tax cash flow
$3,461/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
City population
7,731,280
Population (ZIP)
41,350

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (78%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 78% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 4% White 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 7%
Foreign-born
42% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -413.59%
Current HPI
302.063
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $600,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,667 · -49.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…