11 St Nicholas Ave Unit 5B · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
- Cash only, no bank lending - No mortgage - HDFC co-op with income restrictions Make your home just one block from Central Park in this spacious one-bedroom co-op in a South Harlem HDFC building. Income restrictions apply. Household income restrictions of 165% AMI apply: 1 Person = $154,110 2 People = $176,220 3 People = $198,165 4 People = $220,110 5 People = $237,765 Inside this prewar home, you'll find hardwood floors, tall ceilings, excellent storage and oversized windows on three exposures. A foyer opens to a large living room offering a generous footprint for seating and dining areas alongside another roomy closet. Ahead, you'll find an extra wide hallway perfect for a home office
Key facts
- Tall ceilings
- Windowed kitchen
- Ample cabinet space
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed (cats and dogs permitted; building allows pets)
- Financial info: Building contains 36 total units
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $1,144
Exterior
- Home design: Entry on level 5
- Construction: 5-story building
- Exterior features: East and West exposures; Has a view
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 total rooms (configuration not specified)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: High ceilings; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Building allows washer/dryer installation; Common washer/dryer on the floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $163k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Mark Twain Is 239 For The Gifted And Talented (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #6 of 729 statewide, top 1%, 1,207 students, 44% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 96 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,277/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 2685% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
- New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.3% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 166 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 166 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.45%
- DSCR
- 2.80
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.26% appreciation · 2.46% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.98×
- Total profit
- $154,513
- Equity at exit
- $107,750
- IRR
- 46.0%
- Equity multiple
- 8.06×
- Total profit
- $365,801
- Equity at exit
- $188,416
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10026
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,277 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$231 /mo · $2,775/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$1,144
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,108
- Net cashflow
- $1,746
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,874 | -5% $1,810 | +0% $1,746 | +5% $1,682 | +10% $1,618 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,329 | -5% $1,538 | +0% $1,746 | +5% $1,954 | +10% $2,163 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,839 | -0.5pp $1,793 | base $1,746 | +0.5pp $1,698 | +1.0pp $1,649 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Morningside Dr New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1655 | $6,335 | $3.83 | 0d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 30 Morningside Dr #2096 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 780 | $5,550 | $7.11 | 1d | 2 | 0.54mi |
| 122 E 102nd St Unit 1021896P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $5,429 | $7.32 | 17d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 808 Columbus Ave New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 773 | $6,906 | $8.93 | 0d | 30 | 0.79mi |
| 202 W 102nd St Unit 1053014P New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 538 | $10,000 | $18.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 788 Columbus Ave #1323 New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 900 | $3,660 | $4.07 | 26d | 2 | 0.82mi |
| 814 Amsterdam Ave #1019 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $4,800 | $6.00 | 26d | 2 | 0.85mi |
| 308 W 107th St Unit 1239985P New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 559 | $5,497 | $9.83 | 1d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 915 W End Ave #1020 New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 851 | $6,070 | $7.13 | 1d | 2 | 0.88mi |
| 1501 Lexington Ave #932 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 583 | $7,403 | $12.69 | 1d | 3 | 0.88mi |
| 70 W 95th St New York, NY | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1095 | $9,999 | $9.13 | 18d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 175 E 96th St Unit 1251683P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $5,305 | $8.84 | 4d | 2 | 0.94mi |
| 215 E 96th St Unit 688 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 717 | $7,810 | $10.89 | 0d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 215 E 95th St #1293 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 740 | $5,420 | $7.32 | 1d | 2 | 1.03mi |
| 266 W 96th St #2030 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 512 | $5,800 | $11.33 | 7d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 255 W 94th St #686 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $6,210 | $8.28 | 1d | 2 | 1.10mi |
| 101 W 90th St New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 962 | $6,188 | $6.43 | 0d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 132 W 134th St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $4,500 | $6.00 | 26d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 345 E 94th St #1470 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 710 | $5,645 | $7.95 | 5d | 3 | 1.21mi |
| 212 W 91st St New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $4,725 | $5.73 | 4d | 3 | 1.22mi |
| 212 W 91st St New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $4,695 | $5.69 | 5d | 4 | 1.22mi |
| 212 W 91st St #416 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $6,050 | $7.33 | 1d | 2 | 1.22mi |
| 200 E 89th St Unit 12G New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $5,000 | $7.69 | 19d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 160 E 88th St #1332 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $5,670 | $10.12 | 7d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 210 W 89th St #165 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $5,730 | $9.55 | 1d | 2 | 1.29mi |
| 2413 3rd Ave Bronx, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $2,953 | $3.44 | 1d | 21 | 1.31mi |
| 5 Lincoln Ave Bronx, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1011 | $2,856 | $2.82 | 0d | 181 | 1.31mi |
| 235 E 89th St Unit 1495783P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 699 | $7,443 | $10.65 | 22d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 354 E 91st St #648 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 692 | $5,520 | $7.97 | 1d | 2 | 1.34mi |
| 43 W 85th St Unit 1470323P New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 699 | $6,466 | $9.25 | 6d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 201 E 86th St #298 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 700 | $7,210 | $10.30 | 1d | 2 | 1.38mi |
| 244 E 86th St #604 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $4,920 | $5.18 | 5d | 2 | 1.45mi |
| 315 E 86th St Unit 1327 New York, NY | 1.0 | 2.0 | 726 | $6,460 | $8.90 | 26d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1001 5th Ave Unit 3 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $5,400 | $12.00 | 26d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $1,144 · $13,728/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $185,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $185,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $185,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-04-13price $185,000
-
2026-02-09price $200,000
-
2026-01-05$250,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $63,319
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,775
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,066
- − Management
- −$5,066
- − HOA
- −$13,728
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $20,015
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,804
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,148/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- New York County · 1,599,927 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,123
- Household income
- $81,244
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2685.0
Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,825,725 people
- By 2030
- 1,904,611 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 2,052,719 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 2,206,601 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 2,509,427 · +37.4%
- By 2100
- 2,702,933 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 11% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · New York
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.26%
- Current HPI
- 330.628
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.46%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-26.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $185,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $200,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2026-01-05 Listed $250,000 RLS at REBNY
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…