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8204 South St
C Composite 56.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,900

8204 South St · Boca Raton, FL 33433
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Condo public records · 102 Days on market
Built 2005 $250/mo HOA · 9% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION!!! GREAT MOBILE HOME W/ LAND. VERY WELL MAINTAINED COMMUNITY. LOW MAINT. $120 PER MONTH INCLUDES CABLE WITH 3 HBO STATIONS. SO MUCH OFFERED FOR SOOOOO LITTLE. MAKE YOUR OFFER TODAY!!!

Key facts

  • Custom cabinetry
  • Waterfront home
  • Canal views

Tags

WATERFRONT HOMECUSTOM CABINETRYQUARTZ CRYSTAL COUNTER-TOPSCERAMIC TILE FLOORINGCANAL VIEWSENCLOSED PATIO

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property faces north
  • HOA & community: Association with clubhouse and pool; Monthly association fee of 250; Association fee includes grounds maintenance; Senior community; Pets allowed with size limit

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Covered parking; Driveway; One carport space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Mobile home; One story; First-floor entry; Property resale
  • Construction: Shingle/composition roof
  • Exterior features: Screened porch; Porch; Shed(s); Waterfront: Yes (no waterfront features listed)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Tile
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Three-way split bedroom layout; Roman tub; Skylights
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $394 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $227k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.7% in Boca Raton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#192 in FL, #3,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
  • Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 435 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $250k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $227,409 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
8.19%
Cash-on-cash
6.76%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.2%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-22,839
Equity at exit
$37,261
10-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-16,558
Equity at exit
$21,607

Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33433

Rents YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
435
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,912 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$242 /mo · $2,900/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$250
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$612
Net cashflow
$394

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,413
Max offer price $249,900
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $536 -5% $465 +0% $394 +5% $324 +10% $253
Rent -10% $164 -5% $279 +0% $394 +5% $509 +10% $625
Rate -1.0pp $520 -0.5pp $458 base $394 +0.5pp $330 +1.0pp $264

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,475
Closing costs
$7,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8588 Bella Vista Dr Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1332 $2,999 $2.25 25d 1 0.40mi
8458 Boca Glades Blvd E Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1307 $3,200 $2.45 6d 1 0.40mi
21214 Lago Cir Unit 8f Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1216 $4,200 $3.45 25d 1 0.47mi
8440 Boca Glades Blvd E Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1307 $3,400 $2.60 23d 1 0.52mi
8657 Boca Glades Blvd E Unit C Boca Raton, FL 3.0 2.0 1098 $2,800 $2.55 25d 1 0.52mi
8729 Chevy Chase Dr Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1332 $2,000 $1.50 25d 1 0.52mi
8732 Bella Vista Dr #42 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 908 $1,900 $2.09 25d 1 0.54mi
8425 Casa del Lago Unit C Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1216 $2,100 $1.73 23d 1 0.55mi
8744 Bella Vista Dr Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1332 $2,100 $1.58 6d 1 0.55mi
20867 Wendall Ter Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.5 908 $1,800 $1.98 25d 1 0.55mi
20886 Vinesta Cir Unit 313 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1332 $1,800 $1.35 25d 1 0.55mi
7911 Eastlake Dr Unit H Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1216 $2,200 $1.81 25d 1 0.59mi
7944 Eastlake Dr Unit D Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1216 $2,100 $1.73 25d 1 0.60mi
8045 Eastlake Dr Unit 1-G Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1216 $2,750 $2.26 25d 1 0.63mi
8833 Bella Vista Dr #8833 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 908 $3,250 $3.58 25d 1 0.65mi
21643 Cypress Rd Unit 14C Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.5 1426 $2,590 $1.82 4d 1 0.70mi
8334 Cypress Ln Unit 1A Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1216 $3,000 $2.47 25d 1 0.72mi
21411 Juego Cir Unit 32b Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1216 $1,950 $1.60 25d 1 0.74mi
21542 Juego Cir Unit 27H Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1216 $2,400 $1.97 0d 1 0.74mi
20927 Sedgewick Dr Unit 20927 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 1.0 908 $1,950 $2.15 25d 1 0.74mi
21362 Juego Cir Unit 33f Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1216 $3,500 $2.88 25d 1 0.75mi
1405 Bridgewood Dr Unit 1405 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.5 1400 $3,100 $2.21 25d 1 0.77mi
1405 Bridgewood Dr Unit 1405 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.5 1400 $3,000 $2.14 23d 1 0.77mi
2404 Bridgewood Dr Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.5 1400 $4,700 $3.36 25d 1 0.80mi
3705 Bridgewood Dr Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1400 $3,500 $2.50 25d 1 0.82mi
8436 Cypress Ln Unit 7d Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1216 $2,450 $2.01 18d 1 0.83mi
8436 Cypress Ln Unit 7d Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1216 $2,450 $2.01 16d 1 0.83mi
21650 Juego Cir Unit 24b Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1216 $3,000 $2.47 25d 1 0.86mi
3604 Bridgewood Dr Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.5 1400 $2,450 $1.75 25d 1 0.90mi
21925 Mizner Way Boca Raton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1302 $2,705 $2.08 0d 16 0.93mi
7744 Courtyard Run W Boca Raton, FL 3.0 2.5 1449 $3,100 $2.14 25d 1 0.99mi
20525 S Charlston St Boca Raton, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1484 $4,216 $2.84 0d 3 0.99mi
21535 Cypress Hammock Dr Unit 36J Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1266 $2,200 $1.74 25d 1 1.00mi
3205 Bridgewood Dr #3205 Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.5 1400 $3,200 $2.29 25d 1 1.01mi
21866 Cypress Cir Unit 31e Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1216 $2,600 $2.14 5d 1 1.01mi
21529 Cypress Hammock Dr Unit 35J Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1266 $2,395 $1.89 13d 1 1.03mi
23392 Country Club Dr Boca Raton, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $3,500 $2.92 0d 1 1.04mi
21500 Cypress Hammock Dr Unit 38C Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1266 $2,500 $1.97 25d 1 1.06mi
7482 Courtyard Run E Unit E Boca Raton, FL 3.0 2.5 1449 $2,800 $1.93 4d 1 1.08mi
9280 Sable Ridge Cir Apt B Boca Raton, FL 2.0 2.0 1475 $2,700 $1.83 4d 1 1.09mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$250 · $3,000/yr
Likely covers
cable
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $249,900 Active 102 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,900 Active 99 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,900 Active 98 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,900 Active 97 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,900 Active 96 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,900 Active 94 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,900 Active 90 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,900 Active 89 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,900 Active 88 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $249,900 Active 85 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,900 Active 84 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,900 Active 83 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,900 Active 82 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,900 Active 81 DOM
  15. 2025-09-24
    listed $249,900 Active
  16. 2004-12-07
    soldstatus $50,000 212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (212 chars)

    LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION!!! GREAT MOBILE HOME W/ LAND. VERY WELL MAINTAINED COMMUNITY. LOW MAINT. $120 PER MONTH INCLUDES CABLE WITH 3 HBO STATIONS. SO MUCH OFFERED FOR SOOOOO LITTLE. MAKE YOUR OFFER TODAY!!!

  17. 2004-10-19
    historical 212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (212 chars)

    LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION!!! GREAT MOBILE HOME W/ LAND. VERY WELL MAINTAINED COMMUNITY. LOW MAINT. $120 PER MONTH INCLUDES CABLE WITH 3 HBO STATIONS. SO MUCH OFFERED FOR SOOOOO LITTLE. MAKE YOUR OFFER TODAY!!!

  18. 2004-09-22
    listed $59,999 212-char remark
    Show marketing remark (212 chars)

    LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION!!! GREAT MOBILE HOME W/ LAND. VERY WELL MAINTAINED COMMUNITY. LOW MAINT. $120 PER MONTH INCLUDES CABLE WITH 3 HBO STATIONS. SO MUCH OFFERED FOR SOOOOO LITTLE. MAKE YOUR OFFER TODAY!!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,900 · $242/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,900 · $242/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,948
− Mortgage interest
−$13,998
− Property taxes
−$2,900
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,796
− Management
−$2,796
− HOA
−$3,000
− Depreciation
−$7,270
Taxable income
$939
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$225
After-tax cash flow
$4,508/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Beach
NCES district ID
1201500
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$53,943
Composite
42.72/100
National rank
#3160
State rank
#34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Boca Raton

Score
77/100
State rank
#192
US rank
#3070

Category grades

Amenities D Commute B Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
City population
250,102
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
47,005
Household income
$84,091
Rent vs Own
30.7% rent · 69.3% own
Severe rent burden
2900.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,637,487 people
By 2030
1,743,255 · +6.5%
By 2040
1,948,712 · +19.0%
By 2050
2,132,979 · +30.3%
By 2075
2,530,027 · +54.5%
By 2100
2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 15% Asian 4% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 5% Russian 3%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -227.85%
Current HPI
306.738
Rent YoY
▲ 0.33%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+316.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-24 Listed $249,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2004-12-07 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2004-10-19 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2004-09-22 Listed $59,999 Beaches MLS

Property tax history

+8.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,900 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…