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411 E Green St
D- Composite 39.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.6/15.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$159,900

411 E Green St · Macclesfield, NC 27852
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,392 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1950 0.40 ac lot Est $150k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

VERY NICE SPACIOUS 3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH, BRICK RANCH WITH LARGE DEN, FORMAL LIVING ROOM, DINING AREA, OFFICE WITH FIREPLACE, LARGE LAUNDRY, GARAGE AND BEAUTIFUL VIEW

Key facts

  • 0.4 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1950

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: RA; Lot approximately 0.4 acres (100 x 150); Road frontage on city street and state road; Crawl space basement

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Covered parking; Carport with 2 spaces; Asphalt and concrete surfaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Power/utilities connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry at main level; Brick and vinyl siding with frame construction
  • Construction: Built with brick, vinyl siding and frame; Shingle roof; Brick/mortar foundation; Originally constructed as a single-story home
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Screened patio; Rear porch; Side porch; Chain link fence in backyard; Shed(s); Spa / hot tub; Has view; No additional exterior features listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: Master downstairs
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Accessible full bath
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with wall furnace; Central air; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Master bedroom on the main floor; Ceiling fans; Pantry; Built-in features; Insulated windows; Gas log fireplace; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-64 ($-769/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $149k (7.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (23.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (23.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#587 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Edgecombe County Public Schools (rural): math 21% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #163 of 178 in NC (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: G W Carver Elementary (math 40% / reading 30%, grade F, #825 of 1,410 statewide, top 59%, 572 students, 100% FRL); South Edgecombe Middle (math 20% / reading 31%, grade F, #388 of 475 statewide, top 83%, 305 students, 99% FRL); Southwest Edgecombe High (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #393 of 535 statewide, top 75%, 802 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 74% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 50 units permitted in Edgecombe County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (5.5% local appreciation)).
  • Edgecombe County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $97k; list at $160k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,042 (23.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.81%
Cash-on-cash
-1.72%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$150,336
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
104 E Edgecombe St 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,334 (-4%) 3mo $128,500 $96 76
407 E Wilson St 0.15mi 3/1.5 1,341 (-4%) 11mo $205,000 $153 76
305 E Eason St 0.26mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,201 (-14%) 2mo $142,500 $119 56
103 S 4th St 0.48mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,444 (+4%) 15mo $155,886 $108 54
106 S 5th St 0.53mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,211 (-13%) 3mo $125,000 $103 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.8%
Equity multiple
1.84×
Total profit
$37,738
Equity at exit
$95,924
10-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
3.58×
Total profit
$115,405
Equity at exit
$170,120

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27852

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,220 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$123 /mo · $1,476/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$-64

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,302
Max offer price $148,583
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $26 -5% $-19 +0% $-64 +5% $-109 +10% $-155
Rent -10% $-160 -5% $-112 +0% $-64 +5% $-16 +10% $32
Rate -1.0pp $16 -0.5pp $-23 base $-64 +0.5pp $-105 +1.0pp $-148

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $159,900 Pending 1 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 196-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $159,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,476 · $123/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,476 · $123/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,645
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$1,476
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,172
− Management
−$1,172
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$3,583
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$860
After-tax cash flow
$91/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Edgecombe County Public Schools
NCES district ID
3701320
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$35,711
Composite
19.85/100
National rank
#8696
State rank
#163 of 178 in NC

Livability — Macclesfield

Score
57/100
State rank
#587
US rank
#21557

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Macclesfield, NC
Population (ZIP)
2,415

Population outlook (Edgecombe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,800 people
By 2030
44,396 · -7.1%
By 2040
37,562 · -21.4%
By 2050
31,495 · -34.1%
By 2075
20,943 · -56.2%
By 2100
13,674 · -71.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 18% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · China, Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Edgecombe

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.7) · D 61.0% · R 38.3%
2008→2024 swing
-11.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.5pp · 2024: 22.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.7 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+32.2 2012: D+36.4 2008: D+34.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.54%
Current HPI
329.159
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+39.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $159,900 Hive MLS
  • 2016-09-07 Sold (MLS) $96,850 Hive MLS
  • 2016-03-30 Listed $115,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,476 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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