1311 E 1st St · Muncie, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$7,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment in college town. Excellent choice for a flip project, rental or single family. Number of rooms and sizers are estimates.
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 33 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $7k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $804 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $7k).
- Recommended offer: $7k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 144.1% vs local median 6.0% in Muncie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#18 in IN, #1,654 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Muncie Community Schools (urban): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #275 of 301 in IN (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 171 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (57 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $48 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $210 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Delaware County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($7k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 15.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 144.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 492.28%
- DSCR
- 22.90
- GRM
- 0.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $47,158
- List price
- $7,000
- Delta
- -85.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 721 South Hackley St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (+2%) | 7mo | $39,000 | $36 | 74 |
| 1302 E 6th St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,141 (+7%) | 9mo | $70,000 | $61 | 69 |
| 1304 S Shipley St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,136 (+7%) | 5mo | $76,280 | $67 | 65 |
| 2005 S Beacon St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,068 (+0%) | 6mo | $115,875 | $108 | 60 |
| 1327 E Jackson St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,029 (-3%) | 20mo | $45,000 | $44 | 57 |
| 114 N Ohio Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,014 (-5%) | 18mo | $72,000 | $71 | 56 |
| 1101 E Memorial Dr | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,085 (+2%) | 8mo | $89,900 | $83 | 55 |
| 1301 S Shipley St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-12%) | 14mo | $99,900 | $107 | 50 |
| 708 S Ribble Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-5%) | 19mo | $101,500 | $101 | 47 |
| 1217 S Shipley St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 916 (-14%) | 16mo | $108,000 | $118 | 41 |
| 1700 E 13th St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,180 (+11%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $42 | 38 |
| 1125 S Ribble Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 945 (-11%) | 14mo | $100,000 | $106 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 28.36×
- Total profit
- $53,632
- Equity at exit
- $1,044
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 66.40×
- Total profit
- $128,189
- Equity at exit
- $605
Cash invested: $1,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47302
- Home prices YoY
- -12.6%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 148
- Price-to-rent
- 0.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,095 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$37
- Tax from tax record
- −$21 /mo · $252/yr
- Insurance
- −$3
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $804
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,750
- Closing costs
- $210
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1521 E Kirby Ave Muncie, IN | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 972 | $1,150 | $1.18 | 43d | 2 | 0.14mi |
| 1310 E 5th St Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,300 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1109 E Kirby Ave Muncie, IN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $975 | $1.00 | 43d | 2 | 0.16mi |
| 1802 E Willard St Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1224 | $1,100 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 305 N Pershing Dr Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,100 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1721 S Elm St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $925 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1703 E 14th St Apt 15 Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $777 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2105 S Vine St Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,365 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1525 S Walnut St Unit 11 Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $775 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 301 E Memorial Dr Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1172 | $1,099 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2213 E Memorial Dr Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 997 | $1,078 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2302 S Hackley St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,199 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1804 S Wall Ave Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $899 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 326 W Charles St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,300 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 412 W Howard St Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,000 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 319 W 10th St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 869 | $885 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1806 E 18th St Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,100 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 415 W 9th St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 705 | $925 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 206 W 13th St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $900 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 514 W Charles St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $800 | $0.75 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 400 W Washington St Unit 213 Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1009 | $1,200 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 509 W 8th St Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,325 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 417 S Council St Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1132 | $1,025 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 522 W Adams St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $810 | $1.08 | 43d | 6 | 1.11mi |
| 301 W 13th St Muncie, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $844 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1414 E Highland Ave Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $900 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2316 S Walnut St Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 305 N Biltmore Ave Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,186 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1609 S Gharkey St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $750 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1001 W 1st St Unit 1 Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1098 | $875 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2808 S Brotherton St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $825 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 907 W Main St Apt 1 Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $775 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2904 S Pershing Dr Muncie, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1362 | $1,425 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 906 W Main St Muncie, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $995 | $1.40 | 43d | 3 | 1.35mi |
| 815 W Memorial Dr Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3013 S Pershing Dr Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $850 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 808 W Beechwood Ave Muncie, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1261 | $900 | $0.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-04-16$7,000 Active 137-char remark
Show marketing remark (137 chars)
Great investment in college town. Excellent choice for a flip project, rental or single family. Number of rooms and sizers are estimates.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $252 · $21/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $252 · $21/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,134
- − Mortgage interest
- −$392
- − Property taxes
- −$252
- − Insurance
- −$35
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,051
- − Management
- −$1,051
- − Depreciation
- −$204
- Taxable income
- $10,150
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,436
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,213/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muncie Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1807320
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,052
- Composite
- 17.22/100
- National rank
- #9099
- State rank
- #275 of 301 in IN
Livability — Muncie
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #1654
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Muncie, IN
- County
- Delaware County · 84,658 people
- City population
- 84,658
- Metro
- Muncie, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,473
- Household income
- $47,837
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1150.0
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 113,036 people
- By 2030
- 111,313 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 106,432 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 100,747 · -10.9%
- By 2075
- 91,000 · -19.5%
- By 2100
- 80,687 · -28.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 6% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.8) · D 41.2% · R 57.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.8pp toward R · 2008: 15.0pp · 2024: -15.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.8 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+15.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.32%
- Current HPI
- 210.431
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.11%
- Metro
- Muncie, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $7,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
-10.2%/yrLatest (2024): $252 · -14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…