4023 Fairmont Ln · Heartland, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- Cash flow +7.9/30.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy modern finishes, energy efficient construction and low maintenance living in one of the most sought-after communities. This charming 3 bedroom 2 bath home offers a thoughtfully designed living space! The open floor plan creates a seamless flow between the kitchen, dining and living areas, making it perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Schedule your private showing today!
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-241 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $187k (18.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (5.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $187k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Crandall ISD (rural): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #351 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hollis T Dietz El (math 32% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,921 of 4,322 statewide, top 45%, 815 students, 60% FRL); Crandall Middle (math 38% / reading 42%, grade F, #646 of 1,662 statewide, top 40%, 983 students, 60% FRL); Crandall H S (math 33% / reading 53%, grade F, #713 of 1,632 statewide, top 44%, 1,707 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 41% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 2639 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 38d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 72% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.50%
- DSCR
- 0.80
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $265,843
- List price
- $229,990
- Delta
- -13.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3011 Rosemount Ln | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,381 (+2%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $181 | 84 |
| 3010 Rosemount Ln | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,393 (+3%) | 3mo | $249,900 | $179 | 81 |
| 4001 Rain Lilly Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,374 (+1%) | 8mo | $234,900 | $171 | 80 |
| 4011 Springfield Ln | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+7%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $175 | 78 |
| 2933 Meadowlands Dr | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,545 (+14%) | 4mo | $260,000 | $168 | 64 |
| 2208 Starstruck Ct | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+3%) | 4mo | $261,999 | $187 | 58 |
| 3940 Rochelle Ln | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,551 (+14%) | 5mo | $289,999 | $187 | 54 |
| 3105 Cassinia Pkwy | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,554 (+14%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $158 | 52 |
| 3902 Spencer Ln | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (+14%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $166 | 52 |
| 3910 Rochelle Ln | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,530 (+13%) | 6mo | $274,000 | $179 | 51 |
| 3923 Pioneer Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,522 (+12%) | 8mo | $269,900 | $177 | 49 |
| 2021 Lake Trail Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,520 (+12%) | 2mo | $114,900 | $76 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-55,793
- Equity at exit
- $34,292
- IRR
- -30.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.26×
- Total profit
- $-80,868
- Equity at exit
- $19,885
Cash invested: $64,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 67 active · 48 under contract
- Months of supply
- 9.1 mo (11%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $250,000 ($170/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 112 d
- This list price
- 21% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +14.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 75126
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 2639
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,177 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$609 /mo · $7,310/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$50
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$457
- Net cashflow
- $-241
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-111 | -5% $-176 | +0% $-241 | +5% $-307 | +10% $-372 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-413 | -5% $-327 | +0% $-241 | +5% $-155 | +10% $-69 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-126 | -0.5pp $-183 | base $-241 | +0.5pp $-301 | +1.0pp $-362 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,498
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4001 Fairmont Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1545 | $2,000 | $1.29 | 92d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 4002 Bighorn Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1365 | $2,120 | $1.55 | 51d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2911 S Griffin Ln Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1281 | $2,450 | $1.91 | 12d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 3101 Buckthorn St Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1437 | $2,150 | $1.50 | 38d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3909 Chesapeake Ln Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $2,300 | $1.31 | 12d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3011 Winecup Ct Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1506 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 1d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2919 Cascade Ln Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $2,200 | $1.49 | 92d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3140 Blacksmith Ln Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1790 | $2,300 | $1.28 | 31d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3903 Pioneer Dr Forney, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1754 | $2,350 | $1.34 | 35d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2826 Hudson Dr Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1639 | $2,350 | $1.43 | 41d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3221 Sioux Trl Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $2,450 | $1.47 | 28d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2409 Fleming Dr Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $1,845 | $1.11 | 73d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1734 Courage Crk Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $2,095 | $1.28 | 30d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1734 Courage Crk Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $2,095 | $1.28 | 35d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2056 Old Glory Ln Heartland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1770 | $1,925 | $1.09 | 7d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3941 Hometown Blvd Unit 3941 Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1736 | $2,400 | $1.38 | 92d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1275 Eclipse Ln Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $1,750 | $1.36 | 38d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2746 Bronte Blvd Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1707 | $1,825 | $1.07 | 73d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1264 Eclipse Ln Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,950 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2521 Flight Trl Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1707 | $1,825 | $1.07 | 73d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2745 Bronte Blvd Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $1,845 | $1.11 | 73d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2510 Flight Trl Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $1,845 | $1.11 | 73d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2513 Flight Trl Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1707 | $1,825 | $1.07 | 73d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2739 Bronte Blvd Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1707 | $1,825 | $1.07 | 73d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2006 Times Rd Heartland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1835 | $1,999 | $1.09 | 7d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1789 Courage Crk Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $1,739 | $1.04 | 52d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1793 Courage Crk Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $1,709 | $1.03 | 37d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1799 Courage Crk Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,800 | $1.43 | 92d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2026 Kingsbridge Dr Heartland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1571 | $3,200 | $2.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2624 Bartlett St Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1707 | $1,825 | $1.07 | 73d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3028 Willow Wood Ct Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $2,600 | $1.47 | 92d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2016 Kings Forest Dr Heartland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1835 | $1,925 | $1.05 | 38d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1955 Quartz Trl Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1717 | $2,000 | $1.16 | 4d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2710 Trail Ride Way Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1667 | $1,845 | $1.11 | 9d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3120 Providence Pl Crandall, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1746 | $2,200 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1507 Trick Riding Way Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,900 | $1.03 | 73d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1507 Trick Riding Way Crandall, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,800 | $0.97 | 30d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4009 Freedom St Heartland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $1,800 | $1.27 | 93d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4021 Shawnee Trl Heartland, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1433 | $1,895 | $1.32 | 38d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4032 Eagle Dr Forney, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,775 | $1.22 | 53d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Property listed as residential single familyPossession at closing/funding
- HOA & community
- Mandatory HOAHOA semi-annual fee of $300HOA covers grounds maintenance and management feesManaged by Heartland HOA
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 covered parking spaces2-car attached garage with garage door opener; garage faces rear and has a single 2-car doorHas a carport count of 0
- Utilities
- City sewerNot in a municipal utility district
- Home design
- Single-family residenceAttached propertyOne storyBuilt in 2021Located in Heartland Ph 16 subdivision
- Construction
- Built in 2021
- Exterior features
- Private poolLot is about 0.11 acre (less than 0.5 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric cooktop
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Interior features
- Eat-in kitchenPantryHigh-speed internet availableOne living areaOne dining areaTotal of 8 rooms
- Laundry & utility
- No laundry details provided
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $229,990 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $229,990 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $229,990 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $229,990 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $229,990 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $229,990 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $229,990 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $229,990 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $229,990 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $229,990 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $229,990 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $229,990 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $229,990 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $229,990 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $229,990 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $229,990 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $229,990 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $229,990 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $229,990 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $229,990 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $229,990 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $229,990 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $229,990 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $229,990 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $229,990 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $229,990 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-07-06pricedays on market $229,990 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $239,990 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $239,990 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $239,990 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $239,990 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $239,990 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $239,990 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $239,990 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $239,990 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $239,990 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $239,990 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $239,990 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $239,990 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $244,990 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $244,990 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $244,990 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $244,990 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $244,990 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $244,990 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $244,990 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $244,990 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $244,990 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $244,990 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $244,990 Active 24 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,310 · $609/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,310 · $609/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,122
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,883
- − Property taxes
- −$7,310
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,090
- − Management
- −$2,090
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable loss
- −$6,692
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,606
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,291/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This charming single-family home in a sought-after community is in good condition with minimal updates needed. It offers a thoughtfully designed living space and is ready for immediate move-in.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and can attract more potential buyers ↑
- Both Window treatments — Improves energy efficiency and adds a polished look ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crandall ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815510
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,076
- Composite
- 35.57/100
- National rank
- #4901
- State rank
- #351 of 826 in TX
Livability — Heartland
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Heartland, TX
- County
- Kaufman County · 138,716 people
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 84,799
- Household income
- $103,673
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20% of renters
Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,716 people
- By 2030
- 150,815 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 174,877 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 198,020 · +42.8%
- By 2075
- 251,908 · +81.6%
- By 2100
- 285,325 · +105.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 14% Arabic 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.93%
- Current HPI
- 148.5749
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.42%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-5.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $244,990 NTREIS
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $249,990 NTREIS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $259,990 NTREIS
- 2026-04-07 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $260,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+61.0%/yrLatest (2025): $7,310 · -7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…