7110 W Porpoise Dr · Homosassa Springs, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +14.6/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
OWNER FINANCE- MOVE IN READY! RECENT UPDATES INCLUDE: new roof shingles, double pane windows, exterior doors, painted inside & outside, gutters, sprinklers updated, well pump, hw heater, carpet, kitchen counters, privacy screen doors at OH gar door, intercom system & AC. Fl room is included in sq ft, as it has DP windows & AC takes care of it without ducts. Window treatments include verticals and plantation shutters. Most closet doors are mirrored. Back yard has nice patio & board fence. landscaped nicely. Waterfall stays. Nice! A must see!
Key facts
- New paint
- Open back room
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $163 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (4.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $168k (4.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 5.9% in Homosassa Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#391 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 582 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $79k; list at $175k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.61%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $207,774
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7226 W Sasser St | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (-3%) | 22mo | $148,000 | $142 | 71 |
| 7205 Village Dr | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (+7%) | 15mo | $222,000 | $194 | 67 |
| 5409 Marsha Ter | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 980 (-8%) | 7mo | $195,000 | $199 | 60 |
| 5277 S Manatee Ter | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (-6%) | 19mo | $182,500 | $181 | 56 |
| 5688 S Atlantis Way #3 | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (-10%) | 11mo | $170,000 | $177 | 50 |
| 6740 W Green Acres St | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 | 1,216 (+14%) | 22mo | $290,000 | $238 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-18,008
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-2,359
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34446
- Home prices YoY
- -10.4%
- Active inventory
- 582
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,681 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,298/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $163
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5323 S Knobhill Ter Homosassa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,400 | $1.51 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 5900 S Oakridge Dr Homosassa, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,575 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $175,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 105-char remark
-
2026-06-02$175,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,298 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,452 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- +$155/yr (+$13/mo · 11.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,169
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,298
- − Insurance
- −$1,672
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,614
- − Management
- −$1,614
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$922
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$221
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,172/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Citrus
- NCES district ID
- 1200270
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,618
- Composite
- 41.28/100
- National rank
- #3519
- State rank
- #44 of 73 in FL
Livability — Homosassa Springs
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #391
- US rank
- #6877
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- County
- Citrus County · 111,314 people
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,102
- Household income
- $58,802
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 121.0
Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,622 people
- By 2030
- 136,886 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 132,009 · -4.8%
- By 2050
- 125,196 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 108,570 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 84,454 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Citrus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.11%
- Current HPI
- 277.2576
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+280.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $175,000 FSBO.com
- 2011-01-03 Sold (MLS) $79,000 RACC
- 2010-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
- 2009-08-23 Listed $99,900 RACC
- 1996-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
- 1996-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
- 1993-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 1986-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,298 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…