632 N Russell St · Geneseo, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +8.4/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss this newly renovated 3 bedroom 2 bath home located within walking distance to all schools and library. New kitchen w/white cabinetry and quartz counter tops and all appliances. Large vaulted ceiling family room with sky lights with sliding doors that open to deck. Two bedrooms up with 1/2 bath off of the master bedroom. Formal dining room could be a living room. Large yard with nice 2 car garage. Updates include 2020 new gutters & A/C, HWH 1-year, roof 5 years, furnace 2006, all new flooring throughout. Basement is partially finished off just needs your final touches.
Key facts
- Above ground pool
- Wrap around deck
- Ada compliant ramp
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property not currently leased; Not rebuilt or rehabbed (as reported)
- HOA & community: No master association fees required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Garage owned with garage door opener; 2 garage spaces (2 parking total)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership; Approximately 1,474 total living area (per assessor) with finished and unfinished areas totaling 2,286
- Construction: Built approximately 71-80 years ago; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Above-ground pool; Deck; Patio; Fenced yard; Lot dimensions approximately 150 x 55 (less than 0.25 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: Updated kitchen with solid surface counters; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the second floor (12 x 16) with full bath; Bedroom on the main level (9 x 12); Two additional bedrooms noted (total 2 listed as bedrooms; possible configuration includes multiple bedroom spaces); Bonus room on the second floor (9 x 16)
- Flooring: Carpet in some areas; Laminate flooring in living room, dining room, kitchen and at least one bedroom
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; No tub in at least one bath
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heat; Central air conditioning; Electric service with circuit breakers; One electric fireplace in the living room
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bath; Walk-in closet(s); Separate dining room; Skylight(s); Unfinished full basement; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level with laundry closet and multiple laundry locations; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 6.9% in Geneseo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#45 in IL, #907 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, commute F.
- Geneseo CUSD 228 (town): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #297 of 620 in IL (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henry County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask is 33% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $133k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.51%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,669
- List price
- $179,900
- Delta
- -2.05%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 510 N Meadow St | 0.23mi | 2/2.5 | 1,343 (-9%) | 6mo | $220,000 | $164 | 63 |
| 225 E Wells St | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,680 (+14%) | 2mo | $170,500 | $101 | 60 |
| 522 N State St | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,662 (+13%) | 4mo | $186,750 | $112 | 59 |
| 634 N State St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,624 (+10%) | 10mo | $173,000 | $107 | 59 |
| 327 E Wells St | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,664 (+13%) | 12mo | $194,500 | $117 | 53 |
| 327 E Wells St | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,664 (+13%) | 12mo | $194,500 | $117 | 53 |
| 425 N Stewart St | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,448 (-2%) | 12mo | $175,000 | $121 | 51 |
| 425 N Stewart St | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,448 (-2%) | 12mo | $175,000 | $121 | 51 |
| 127 N Vail St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,538 (+4%) | 5mo | $155,000 | $101 | 50 |
| 215 N Oakwood Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,596 (+8%) | 11mo | $185,000 | $116 | 48 |
| 811 Hickory Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,315 (-11%) | 10mo | $203,000 | $154 | 41 |
| 521 E Park St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,295 (-12%) | 11mo | $158,000 | $122 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-1,015
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $35,454
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61254
- Home prices YoY
- -32.0%
- Active inventory
- 73
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,144 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$234 /mo · $2,814/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$450
- Net cashflow
- $441
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-15$179,900 Active 648-char remark
-
2020-10-14soldstatus $133,000 590-char remark
Show marketing remark (589 chars)
Don't miss this newly renovated 3 bedroom 2 bath home located within walking distance to all schools and library. New kitchen w/white cabinetry and quartz counter tops and all appliances. Large vaulted ceiling family room with sky lights with sliding doors that open to deck. Two bedrooms up with 1/2 bath off of the master bedroom. Formal dining room could be a living room. Large yard with nice 2 car garage. Updates include 2020 new gutters & A/C, HWH 1-year, roof 5 years, furnace 2006, all new flooring throughout. Basement is partially finished off just needs your final touches.
-
2020-09-04$134,900 590-char remark
Show marketing remark (589 chars)
Don't miss this newly renovated 3 bedroom 2 bath home located within walking distance to all schools and library. New kitchen w/white cabinetry and quartz counter tops and all appliances. Large vaulted ceiling family room with sky lights with sliding doors that open to deck. Two bedrooms up with 1/2 bath off of the master bedroom. Formal dining room could be a living room. Large yard with nice 2 car garage. Updates include 2020 new gutters & A/C, HWH 1-year, roof 5 years, furnace 2006, all new flooring throughout. Basement is partially finished off just needs your final touches.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,814 · $234/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,449 · $287/mo
- Expected delta
- +$635/yr (+$53/mo · 22.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,732
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,814
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,059
- − Management
- −$2,059
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $2,591
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$622
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,672/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Geneseo CUSD 228
- NCES district ID
- 1716350
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,288
- Composite
- 22.91/100
- National rank
- #7996
- State rank
- #297 of 620 in IL
Livability — Geneseo
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #907
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Geneseo, IL
- City population
- 12,049
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,049
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,376 people
- By 2030
- 45,920 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 42,829 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 39,606 · -16.4%
- By 2075
- 31,848 · -32.8%
- By 2100
- 23,503 · -50.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- English 9% Romanian 4% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.5) · D 36.8% · R 61.3% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.7pp · 2024: -24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.5 2020: R+21.4 2016: R+21.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+7.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.08%
- Current HPI
- 157.4041
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-1.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-10-14 Sold (MLS) $133,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-04 Listed $134,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,814 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…