3279 N Palmieri Cir · Park City, IL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
UPDATED & amp; MOVE-IN READY! - 2 bed / 1 bath home Mobile Home ?? 55+ Community Welcome to one of the best values in this 55+ community! This updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath home blends modern style with comfort and major mechanical upgrades, giving you a peace of mind living experience. ???Features you & acirc; & euro; & trade; ll love: ?New HVAC system-providing efficiency & amp; reliability ?Upgraded Electrical-providing peace of mind ?Vinyl Windows & amp; Floor-modern and low maintenance ?Freshly Painted Interior-completely move-in ready ?Stainless Steel Appliances ?Washer & amp; Dryer - included for convenience Bonus: ??Fireplace - perfect for Relaxing or Ente
Key facts
- Natural lighting
- Vinyl windows
- Upgraded electrical
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $64k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $812 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $64k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#360 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime D-.
- Waukegan CUSD 60 (suburban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #587 of 620 in IL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 86 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $442 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $64k implies a 574% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.40%
- DSCR
- 3.42
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 52.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.33×
- Total profit
- $41,778
- Equity at exit
- $9,543
- IRR
- 58.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.84×
- Total profit
- $104,686
- Equity at exit
- $5,534
Cash invested: $17,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60085
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,588 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$336
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$80 /mo · $960/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$334
- Net cashflow
- $812
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $857 | -5% $834 | +0% $812 | +5% $790 | +10% $768 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $687 | -5% $750 | +0% $812 | +5% $875 | +10% $938 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $845 | -0.5pp $829 | base $812 | +0.5pp $796 | +1.0pp $779 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,000
- Closing costs
- $1,920
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3690 Casimer Pulaski Dr Waukegan, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,349 | $1.80 | 2d | 2 | 0.69mi |
| 1375 S White Oak Dr Waukegan, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 915 | $2,412 | $2.64 | 2d | 10 | 0.87mi |
| 3060 Kathe Ln Waukegan, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 685 | $1,175 | $1.72 | 2d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 500 Lakehurst Rd Waukegan, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 880 | $1,586 | $1.80 | 2d | 15 | 1.16mi |
| 338 N Green Bay Rd Unit 1102 Waukegan, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,500 | $1.54 | 2d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1724 Green Bay Rd North Chicago, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,875 | $1.95 | 8d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1724 Green Bay Rd North Chicago, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,875 | $1.95 | 11d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 116 Drew Ln #10 Waukegan, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 124 Drew Ln #7 Waukegan, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 124 Drew Ln #11 Waukegan, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 108 N McAree Rd Unit BD Waukegan, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2645 W Monroe St #1 Waukegan, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $64,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 671-char remark
-
2026-06-15$64,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,058
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,585
- − Property taxes
- −$960
- − Insurance
- −$320
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,525
- − Management
- −$1,525
- − Depreciation
- −$1,862
- Taxable income
- $9,282
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,228
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,521/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waukegan CUSD 60
- NCES district ID
- 1741250
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 10% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,248
- Composite
- 7.73/100
- National rank
- #9939
- State rank
- #587 of 620 in IL
Livability — Park City
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #360
- US rank
- #7399
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Park City, IL
- County
- Lake County · 591,991 people
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 72,341
- Household income
- $66,793
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2742.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 700,217 people
- By 2030
- 693,290 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 673,588 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 643,556 · -8.1%
- By 2075
- 562,792 · -19.6%
- By 2100
- 457,715 · -34.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 62% Two or more races 24% Black 14% White 14% Asian 6% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% British 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 39% English-only · Spanish 54% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.8) · D 59.7% · R 38.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: 19.6pp · 2024: 20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.8 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+20.3 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.04%
- Current HPI
- 203.6304
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.24%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+433.3% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Listed $64,000 FSBO.com
- 2021-08-02 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-01 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-19 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-12 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-07 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-06-28 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-06-10 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-29 Sold (MLS) $9,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-23 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-19 Listed $12,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-02-23 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-11-03 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…