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1650 Villa Ave #48
D+ Composite 49.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$204,900

1650 Villa Ave #48 · Clovis, CA 93612
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,310 sqft · Manufactured · 69 Days on market
Built 2024 Excellent condition 2,800 sqft lot $156/sqft · 148% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Brand New 3BR/2BA Double-Wide Manufactured Home in Campus Corral Mobile Home Park, Senior Community in Clovis! Welcome to this beautiful home located in the peaceful and desirable neighborhood, nestled in a serene setting, this home offers a quiet lifestyle while still being conveniently close to local amenities. You'll find shopping, dining, and parks just a short drive away, with easy access to the 168 freeway for quick connections to all the best Clovis and Fresno have to offer.Built in 2024, this energy-efficient, move-in ready home provides 1,310 sq. ft. of open-concept living space. With its light and airy feel, the home features dual-pane windows and central air and heating for year-round comfort. The spacious living and dining areas, highlighted by vaulted ceilings and soft, neutral tones, are perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. The master suite is a true retreat, with a vaulted ceiling, ceiling fan, and a large walk-in closet. The en-suite bath offers a built-in linen closet, dual sinks, and a generous shower. The chef-inspired kitchen includes white wood cabinetry, stunning countertops, a gas range, dishwasher, refrigerator, a central island, and a breakfast bar for casual dining or entertaining. The adjacent oversized dining room opens to the family room, making this the heart of the home. An inside laundry room with gas hookups and beautifully landscaped grounds complete the package.

Key facts

  • Dual-pane windows
  • Vaulted ceilings
  • Energy-efficient

Tags

DOUBLE-WIDE MANUFACTURED HOMEENERGY-EFFICIENTOPEN-CONCEPT LIVING SPACEDUAL-PANE WINDOWSCENTRAL AIR AND HEATINGVAULTED CEILINGS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $205k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $82 ($987/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (7.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $190k (7.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.0% in Clovis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#92 in CA, #3,307 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety D, cost of living F.
  • Clovis Unified (suburban): math 58% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #152 of 1,400 in CA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Sierra Vista Elementary (503 students, 87% FRL); Clark Intermediate (1,462 students, 61% FRL); Clovis High (2,905 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 32% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 86 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,426 units permitted in Fresno County in 2024 (296 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fresno County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $189,654 (7.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.77%
Cash-on-cash
1.72%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$82,758
List price
$204,900
Delta
147.59%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1500 W Villa #32 0.11mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (-5%) 1mo $98,500 $79 81
1500 Villa Ave #94 0.11mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+10%) 8mo $45,000 $31 67
1500 Villa Ave #76 0.11mi 2/1.8 (-1) 1,440 (+10%) 7mo $59,000 $41 67
1500 Villa Ave #117 0.12mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+10%) 8mo $60,000 $42 66
1001 Sylmar Ave #131 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,404 (+7%) 1mo $136,500 $97 62
1724 Minnewawa Ave #134 0.30mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,140 (-13%) 1mo $90,000 $79 59
1001 Sylmar Ave. #198 0.54mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (-5%) 6mo $129,000 $103 57
1001 Sylmar Ave #92 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,456 (+11%) 5mo $170,000 $117 51
1001 Sylmar Ave #99 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,488 (+14%) 2mo $135,000 $91 50
1001 Sylmar Ave Spc 2 0.54mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+10%) 6mo $100,000 $69 48
1001 Sylmar Ave #207 0.54mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+10%) 8mo $100,000 $69 46
1001 Sylmar Ave #218 0.56mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+10%) 8mo $85,000 $59 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.9%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-28,601
Equity at exit
$30,551
10-year hold
IRR
-5.7%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-20,756
Equity at exit
$17,716

Cash invested: $57,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93612

Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,897 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,075
Tax est. 1.5%
$256 /mo · $3,074/yr
Insurance
$85
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$398
Net cashflow
$82

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,792
Max offer price $204,900
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $224 -5% $153 +0% $82 +5% $11 +10% $-59
Rent -10% $-68 -5% $7 +0% $82 +5% $157 +10% $232
Rate -1.0pp $185 -0.5pp $134 base $82 +0.5pp $29 +1.0pp $-25

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,225
Closing costs
$6,147
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
322 W Barstow Ave Unit 101 Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,150 $1.95 46d 1 0.23mi
1108 Villa Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,500 $1.67 46d 1 0.29mi
139 W Portals Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 1014 $1,600 $1.58 46d 1 0.38mi
1099 Sylmar Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 965 $1,750 $1.81 25d 3 0.43mi
608 W Scott Ave Clovis, CA 3.0 2.0 1398 $2,100 $1.50 0d 1 0.44mi
50 W 9th St Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 25d 1 0.52mi
33 W Santa Ana Ave Apt A Clovis, CA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,450 $1.61 5d 1 0.55mi
445 W San Gabriel Ave Clovis, CA 4.0 2.0 1448 $2,400 $1.66 25d 1 0.58mi
2243 Helm Ave Unit 102 Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,925 $1.75 23d 1 0.59mi
1038 Tollhouse Rd Unit 1038 Clovis, CA 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,800 $1.64 4d 1 0.66mi
707 Bush Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,575 $1.66 46d 1 0.66mi
740 Villa Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 922 $1,950 $2.11 23d 1 0.67mi
145 Rall Ave Clovis, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,900 $1.58 18d 1 0.69mi
1042 Adler Dr Clovis, CA 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,895 $1.58 46d 1 0.70mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Apt 223A Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 994 $1,700 $1.71 46d 1 0.81mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 101A Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 904 $1,580 $1.75 25d 1 0.81mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Apt 204A Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 904 $1,600 $1.77 46d 1 0.81mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 243A Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 904 $1,500 $1.66 5d 1 0.81mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 116B Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 994 $1,795 $1.81 46d 1 0.81mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 215B Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 994 $1,780 $1.79 46d 1 0.81mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Apt 208A Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 904 $1,500 $1.66 46d 1 0.81mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 143A Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 904 $1,650 $1.83 23d 1 0.81mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 206B Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 904 $1,500 $1.66 25d 1 0.81mi
68 W Norwich Ave Clovis, CA 4.0 2.0 1312 $2,500 $1.91 46d 1 0.85mi
55 W Bullard Ave Clovis, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,741 $2.18 0d 12 0.86mi
841 W San Gabriel Ave Clovis, CA 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,995 $1.55 46d 1 0.91mi
2777 Willow Ave Clovis, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 812 $1,769 $2.18 4d 8 0.92mi
2967 Terry Ave Clovis, CA 3.0 1.5 1099 $2,095 $1.91 25d 1 0.95mi
835 W Pico Ave Clovis, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 761 $1,595 $2.10 4d 3 0.95mi
5082 Primitivo Way Fresno, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 847 $1,945 $2.30 14d 2 0.97mi
5477 E Indianapolis Ave Fresno, CA 3.0 1.0 1403 $2,295 $1.64 46d 1 0.98mi
2810 Willow Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 928 $1,623 $1.75 25d 1 1.02mi
2810 Willow Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 890 $1,572 $1.77 12d 1 1.02mi
2800 Willow Ave Clovis, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 774 $1,633 $2.11 4d 7 1.04mi
3143 Matoian Way Fresno, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 971 $1,960 $2.02 46d 1 1.04mi
537 W Escalon Ave Apt 101 Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 46d 1 1.11mi
251 Minnewawa Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 1.5 1100 $2,100 $1.91 16d 1 1.13mi
1201 Scott Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 932 $1,575 $1.69 0d 4 1.15mi
955 Brookside Dr Clovis, CA 4.0 2.0 1221 $2,200 $1.80 25d 1 1.17mi
551 W Ashlan Ave Unit 101 858 Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 46d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $204,900 Active 69 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $204,900 Active 66 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $204,900 Active 65 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $204,900 Active 64 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $204,900 Active 63 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $204,900 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $204,900 Active 60 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $204,900 Active 58 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $204,900 Active 57 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $204,900 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $204,900 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $204,900 Active 52 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $204,900 Active 51 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $204,900 Active 50 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $204,900 Active 49 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $204,900 Active 48 DOM
  17. 2026-04-13
    listed $204,900 Active 1426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1426 chars)

    Brand New 3BR/2BA Double-Wide Manufactured Home in Campus Corral Mobile Home Park, Senior Community in Clovis! Welcome to this beautiful home located in the peaceful and desirable neighborhood, nestled in a serene setting, this home offers a quiet lifestyle while still being conveniently close to local amenities. You'll find shopping, dining, and parks just a short drive away, with easy access to the 168 freeway for quick connections to all the best Clovis and Fresno have to offer.Built in 2024, this energy-efficient, move-in ready home provides 1,310 sq. ft. of open-concept living space. With its light and airy feel, the home features dual-pane windows and central air and heating for year-round comfort. The spacious living and dining areas, highlighted by vaulted ceilings and soft, neutral tones, are perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. The master suite is a true retreat, with a vaulted ceiling, ceiling fan, and a large walk-in closet. The en-suite bath offers a built-in linen closet, dual sinks, and a generous shower. The chef-inspired kitchen includes white wood cabinetry, stunning countertops, a gas range, dishwasher, refrigerator, a central island, and a breakfast bar for casual dining or entertaining. The adjacent oversized dining room opens to the family room, making this the heart of the home. An inside laundry room with gas hookups and beautifully landscaped grounds complete the package.

  18. 2025-08-26
    price $204,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 9% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 57 unhealthy d/yr today · 60 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,758
− Mortgage interest
−$11,478
− Property taxes
−$3,074
− Insurance
−$1,024
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,821
− Management
−$1,821
− Depreciation
−$5,961
Taxable loss
−$2,419
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$581
After-tax cash flow
$1,568/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This move-in ready, brand new 3BR/2BA double-wide manufactured home in Clovis, CA is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a modern kitchen, two bathrooms, and a well-maintained exterior. The home is located in a serene neighborhood with easy access to local amenities and the 168 freeway. Consider adding some updates to further enhance its value and appeal to potential buyers or renters.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace carpet in bedrooms — New carpet can improve comfort and add value to the home.
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and add value to the home.
  • Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting can enhance safety and curb appeal.
  • Both Install a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and add value to the home.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace carpet in bedrooms — New carpet can improve comfort and add value to the home.
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and add value to the home.
  • Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting can enhance safety and curb appeal.
  • Both Install a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and add value to the home.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clovis Unified
NCES district ID
0609030
Math proficiency
58% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$71,950
Composite
58.7/100
National rank
#2003
State rank
#152 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Clovis

Score
76/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#3307

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clovis, CA
County
Fresno County · 834,801 people
City population
139,989
Metro
Fresno, CA
Population (ZIP)
37,755
Household income
$66,683
Rent vs Own
61.6% rent · 38.4% own
Severe rent burden
2487.0

Population outlook (Fresno County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,042,971 people
By 2030
1,072,198 · +2.8%
By 2040
1,122,408 · +7.6%
By 2050
1,157,251 · +11.0%
By 2075
1,182,575 · +13.4%
By 2100
1,105,899 · +6.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 41% White 41% Two or more races 18% Asian 12% Black 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 37%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Fresno

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.5% · R 50.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.1pp · 2024: -4.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.4 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+3.9 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+2.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -352.97%
Current HPI
357.6089
Rent YoY
▲ 2.65%
Metro
Fresno, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $204,900 FRESNOMLS
  • 2025-08-26 Price Changed $204,900 FRESNOMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…