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7867 Dekle Ave
B+ Composite 77.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

7867 Dekle Ave · Jacksonville, FL 32219
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 944 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 449 Days on market
Built 1951 Est $127k · 41% under ↓ 29% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Property is being sold AS-is with no repairs!!

Key facts

  • Built 1951
  • Listed 448 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Current use: single family; Unfurnished
  • HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Other parking
  • Utilities: Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence (single story implied by property type)
  • Exterior features: Cleared lot with few trees; Asphalt-paved road access; Other detached/supplemental structures on the property

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has cooling (type listed as other)
  • Interior features: Electric oven

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $608 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.0% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 549 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 449 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 449 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.03%
Cap rate
16.03%
Cash-on-cash
34.77%
DSCR
2.55
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$127,440
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7849 Pipit Ave 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,022 (+8%) 1mo $234,999 $230 73
7513 Bob O Link Rd 0.61mi 3/1.0 960 (+2%) 7mo $130,000 $135 63
8139 Pipit Ave 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 858 (-9%) 0mo $69,000 $80 61
8219 Siskin Ave 0.45mi 3/2.0 962 (+2%) 20mo $72,000 $75 55
5335 Devron Ct 0.55mi 3/2.0 993 (+5%) 9mo $184,900 $186 54
5985 Martin Luther King Dr 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,008 (+7%) 18mo $190,000 $188 52
8962 Devonshire Blvd 0.72mi 3/1.0 965 (+2%) 22mo $126,000 $131 44
7386 Dostie Dr E 0.67mi 3/2.0 996 (+6%) 20mo $150,000 $151 39
7570 John F Kennedy Dr W 0.52mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,080 (+14%) 8mo $140,000 $130 39
8236 Moncrief-dinsmore Rd 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,080 (+14%) 13mo $125,000 $116 38
8936 Devonshire Blvd 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+6%) 22mo $135,000 $135 37
9051 Devonshire Blvd 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,077 (+14%) 21mo $129,400 $120 22

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.6%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$22,199
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
32.2%
Equity multiple
3.49×
Total profit
$52,250
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32219

Home prices YoY
-22.3%
Rents YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
549
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,524 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$171 /mo · $2,055/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$320
Net cashflow
$608

Break-even live

Break-even rent $754
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $651 -5% $630 +0% $608 +5% $587 +10% $566
Rent -10% $488 -5% $548 +0% $608 +5% $669 +10% $729
Rate -1.0pp $646 -0.5pp $627 base $608 +0.5pp $589 +1.0pp $569

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8119 Siskin Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1102 $1,650 $1.50 18d 1 0.35mi
8119 Siskin Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1102 $1,650 $1.50 24d 1 0.35mi
7623 John F Kennedy Dr E Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,501 $1.49 24d 1 0.41mi
9206 Greenleaf Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 888 $1,400 $1.58 18d 1 0.66mi
7860 Rondo Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1064 $1,410 $1.33 8d 1 0.85mi
4935 Portsmouth Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 894 $1,163 $1.30 11d 1 0.95mi
9436 Gisborne Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 950 $1,440 $1.52 21d 1 1.08mi
4655 Ken Knight Dr N Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 646 $600 $0.93 24d 1 1.09mi
6705 Gaspar Cir E Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1116 $1,254 $1.12 18d 1 1.10mi
6718 Gaspar Cir W Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1068 $1,305 $1.22 24d 1 1.10mi
4543 Moncrief Rd W Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,075 $1.13 8d 1 1.15mi
9348 Culpeper Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 882 $1,195 $1.35 24d 1 1.23mi
4440 Ken Knight Dr N Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 716 $650 $0.91 15d 1 1.24mi
9561 Norfolk Blvd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 934 $1,350 $1.45 2d 1 1.30mi
4662 Roanoke Blvd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1104 $1,195 $1.08 15d 1 1.32mi
4253 Moncrief Rd W Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 840 $975 $1.16 24d 1 1.35mi
4177 Lorenzo Ct Unit 4 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 840 $945 $1.12 2d 1 1.40mi
4236 Homer Rd N Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 888 $1,250 $1.41 12d 1 1.43mi
4211 Moncrief Rd W Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 840 $995 $1.18 24d 1 1.44mi
3997 Leonnie Rd Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 840 $950 $1.13 8d 1 1.47mi
6601 Cleveland Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 896 $1,400 $1.56 24d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $75,000 Active 449 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 446 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 445 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 444 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 443 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $75,000 Active 437 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 436 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 435 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 431 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 430 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 429 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 428 DOM
  13. 2026-03-29
    price $75,000
  14. 2025-09-30
    status Active
  15. 2025-09-30
    price $85,500
  16. 2025-09-27
    historical
  17. 2025-06-05
    price $95,000
  18. 2025-03-27
    listed $105,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,055 · $171/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,055 · $171/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,292
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$2,055
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,463
− Management
−$1,463
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$6,552
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,572
After-tax cash flow
$5,728/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
14,302
Household income
$72,184
Rent vs Own
17.2% rent · 82.8% own
Severe rent burden
173.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (55%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 39% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.90%
Current HPI
263.8901
Rent YoY
▼ -0.25%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-28.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-29 Price Changed $75,000 realMLS
  • 2025-09-30 Relisted realMLS
  • 2025-09-30 Price Changed $85,500 realMLS
  • 2025-09-27 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2025-06-05 Price Changed $95,000 realMLS
  • 2025-03-27 Listed $105,000 realMLS

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,055 · +19.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…