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105 S Rumsey St
F Composite 33.49
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$165,000

105 S Rumsey St · Everly, IA 51338
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,999 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market
Built 2004 0.33 ac lot Est $132k · 25% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming ranch style home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with an attached garage. Enjoy an eat-in kitchen, separate dining area, and multiple living spaces perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Large Primary bedroom with bath and walk in closet, Plus a bonus office space. Step outside to a spacious, fully fenced backyard—ideal for pets, play, or gatherings.

Key facts

  • Bonus office space
  • Eat-in kitchen
  • Separate dining area

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENSEPARATE DINING AREAMULTIPLE LIVING SPACESFULLY FENCED BACKYARDBONUS OFFICE SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Lot roughly 100 x 143 (approx. 0.33 acre)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-139 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (14.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (30.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $115k (30.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#517 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Clay Central-Everly Community School District (rural): math 65% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #202 of 330 in IA (top 61%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Clay Central-Everly Elementary (math 54% / reading 54%, grade C, #462 of 616 statewide, top 79%, 72 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 32% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 54% at this address vs 68% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Clay Central-Everly Community School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
  • Clay County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $82k; list at $165k implies a 101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $115,208 (30.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.28%
Cash-on-cash
-3.61%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$131,934
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
105 S Rumsey St 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,999 (0%) 0mo $168,000 $84 98
102 W 1st St 0.13mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,212 (+11%) 8mo $40,000 $18 63
107 E High St 0.44mi 3/2.0 2,160 (+8%) 22mo $143,000 $66 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.47% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$6,394
Equity at exit
$69,299
10-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.89×
Total profit
$40,976
Equity at exit
$103,141

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 51338

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
11.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,152 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$115 /mo · $1,380/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$-139

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,328
Max offer price $140,465
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-45 -5% $-92 +0% $-139 +5% $-186 +10% $-232
Rent -10% $-230 -5% $-184 +0% $-139 +5% $-93 +10% $-48
Rate -1.0pp $-56 -0.5pp $-97 base $-139 +0.5pp $-182 +1.0pp $-225

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $165,000 Pending 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-12
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 57 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 53 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 52 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 51 DOM
  13. 2026-04-15
    historical Active Under Contract
  14. 2026-04-09
    listed $165,000 Active
  15. 2010-06-01
    soldstatus $82,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,380 · $115/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,985 · $165/mo
Expected delta
+$605/yr (+$50/mo · 43.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,825
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$1,380
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,106
− Management
−$1,106
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$4,635
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,112
After-tax cash flow
$-554/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clay Central-Everly Community School District
NCES district ID
1907470
Math proficiency
65% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,987
Composite
58.78/100
National rank
#1990
State rank
#202 of 330 in IA

Livability — Everly

Score
66/100
State rank
#517
US rank
#11574

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Everly, IA
Population (ZIP)
912

Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,277 people
By 2030
16,073 · -1.3%
By 2040
15,638 · -3.9%
By 2050
15,315 · -5.9%
By 2075
15,026 · -7.7%
By 2100
14,638 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Portuguese 4% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · China

Political lean MEDSL · Clay

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.2) · D 27.8% · R 71.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-38.1pp toward R · 2008: -5.1pp · 2024: -43.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.2 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.47%
Current HPI
161.0849
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+101.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Contingent Iowa Great Lakes BOR
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $165,000 Iowa Great Lakes BOR
  • 2010-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,380 · -5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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