105 S Rumsey St · Everly, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.7/30.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming ranch style home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with an attached garage. Enjoy an eat-in kitchen, separate dining area, and multiple living spaces perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Large Primary bedroom with bath and walk in closet, Plus a bonus office space. Step outside to a spacious, fully fenced backyard—ideal for pets, play, or gatherings.
Key facts
- Bonus office space
- Eat-in kitchen
- Separate dining area
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Lot roughly 100 x 143 (approx. 0.33 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-139 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (14.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (30.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $115k (30.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#517 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Clay Central-Everly Community School District (rural): math 65% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #202 of 330 in IA (top 61%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Clay Central-Everly Elementary (math 54% / reading 54%, grade C, #462 of 616 statewide, top 79%, 72 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 32% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 54% at this address vs 68% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Clay Central-Everly Community School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
- Clay County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $165k implies a 101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.61%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 11.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,934
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 S Rumsey St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,999 (0%) | 0mo | $168,000 | $84 | 98 |
| 102 W 1st St | 0.13mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,212 (+11%) | 8mo | $40,000 | $18 | 63 |
| 107 E High St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 2,160 (+8%) | 22mo | $143,000 | $66 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.47% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $6,394
- Equity at exit
- $69,299
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $40,976
- Equity at exit
- $103,141
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51338
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,152 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$115 /mo · $1,380/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $-139
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-45 | -5% $-92 | +0% $-139 | +5% $-186 | +10% $-232 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-230 | -5% $-184 | +0% $-139 | +5% $-93 | +10% $-48 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-56 | -0.5pp $-97 | base $-139 | +0.5pp $-182 | +1.0pp $-225 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $165,000 Pending 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 65 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 59 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 57 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active Under Contract 51 DOM
-
2026-04-15historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-09$165,000 Active
-
2010-06-01soldstatus $82,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,380 · $115/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,985 · $165/mo
- Expected delta
- +$605/yr (+$50/mo · 43.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,825
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,380
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,106
- − Management
- −$1,106
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$4,635
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,112
- After-tax cash flow
- $-554/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clay Central-Everly Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1907470
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,987
- Composite
- 58.78/100
- National rank
- #1990
- State rank
- #202 of 330 in IA
Livability — Everly
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #517
- US rank
- #11574
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Everly, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 912
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,277 people
- By 2030
- 16,073 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 15,638 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 15,315 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 15,026 · -7.7%
- By 2100
- 14,638 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Portuguese 4% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.2) · D 27.8% · R 71.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.1pp toward R · 2008: -5.1pp · 2024: -43.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.2 2020: R+38.7 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.47%
- Current HPI
- 161.0849
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+101.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Contingent — Iowa Great Lakes BOR
- 2026-04-09 Listed $165,000 Iowa Great Lakes BOR
- 2010-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,380 · -5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…