Duplex
808B Madison Ave · Albany, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.5/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$234,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Three-unit investment opportunity featuring one bedroom ($1350), one studio ($980), one studio ($950). Owner pays all utilities. Two units paid by 3rd party with annual rent increase 7.7% each September. Strong income potential with established tenancy in place.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 20 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $235k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $722/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $235k).
- Recommended offer: $231k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 5.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#129 in NY, #2,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Albany City School District (urban): math 37% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #543 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Albany High School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade B+, #710 of 1,100 statewide, top 65%, 2,676 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Albany City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,882/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 1952% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($231k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.34%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $278,100
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 645 Myrtle Ave | 0.13mi | 6/2.0 | 2,000 (-3%) | 5mo | $270,000 | $135 | 69 |
| 538 Myrtle Ave | 0.22mi | 5/5.0 (-1) | 2,216 (+8%) | 2mo | $410,000 | $185 | 66 |
| 531 Hamilton St | 0.20mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,112 (+2%) | 5mo | $284,750 | $135 | 66 |
| 676 Providence St | 0.36mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,118 (+3%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $118 | 57 |
| 687 Myrtle Ave | 0.21mi | 6/2.0 | 2,238 (+9%) | 6mo | $310,000 | $139 | 55 |
| 184 Quail St | 0.29mi | 6/3.0 | 1,853 (-10%) | 4mo | $231,000 | $125 | 54 |
| 157 Western Ave | 0.33mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 2,144 (+4%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $100 | 53 |
| 380-382 Morris St | 0.15mi | 6/2.0 | 2,344 (+14%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $128 | 51 |
| 391 Washington Ave | 0.57mi | 7/4.0 (+1) | 2,217 (+8%) | 5mo | $350,000 | $158 | 44 |
| 24 Kent St | 0.52mi | 6/2.0 | 2,364 (+15%) | 5mo | $210,000 | $89 | 32 |
| 454 Ontario St | 0.48mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,776 (-14%) | 5mo | $290,000 | $163 | 31 |
| 59 N Allen St | 0.75mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 2,260 (+10%) | 5mo | $315,000 | $139 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $62,099
- Equity at exit
- $35,024
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.16×
- Total profit
- $207,655
- Equity at exit
- $20,310
Cash invested: $65,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12208
- Home prices YoY
- -30.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,882 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$294 /mo · $3,524/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$815
- Net cashflow
- $1,443
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,606 | -5% $1,525 | +0% $1,443 | +5% $1,362 | +10% $1,281 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,137 | -5% $1,290 | +0% $1,443 | +5% $1,597 | +10% $1,750 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,562 | -0.5pp $1,503 | base $1,443 | +0.5pp $1,383 | +1.0pp $1,321 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | — | $3,882 |
| #1 | 3 | — | $1,941 |
| #2 | 3 | — | $1,941 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,882 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,725
- Closing costs
- $7,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69 Winthrop Ave Albany, NY | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2800 | $2,795 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-03-10status Pending
-
2026-02-18$234,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,584
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,158
- − Property taxes
- −$3,524
- − Insurance
- −$1,174
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,727
- − Management
- −$3,727
- − Depreciation
- −$6,833
- Taxable income
- $14,441
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,466
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,855/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
The property presents as a moderate rehab opportunity with average exterior and landscaping. Repairs to the roof and siding, along with maintenance to the HVAC and landscaping, would significantly improve its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor roof — Siding looks weathered but no visible damage.
- Minor exterior siding — Siding looks weathered but no visible damage.
- Minor landscaping — Trees are leafy but landscaping is not well-maintained.
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and property value.
- Both trim trees — Well-maintained landscaping can enhance curb appeal and property value.
- Rental inspect HVAC — A functional HVAC system is crucial for tenant satisfaction and renter retention.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Siding looks weathered but no visible damage. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| exterior siding · Siding looks weathered but no visible damage. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| landscaping · Trees are leafy but landscaping is not well-maintained. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both trim trees — Well-maintained landscaping can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Rental inspect HVAC — A functional HVAC system is crucial for tenant satisfaction and renter retention. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albany City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3602460
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,568
- Composite
- 32.34/100
- National rank
- #5744
- State rank
- #543 of 590 in NY
Livability — Albany
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #129
- US rank
- #2083
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Albany, NY
- County
- Albany County · 196,626 people
- City population
- 116,921
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,289
- Household income
- $70,413
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1952.0
Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 320,794 people
- By 2030
- 327,401 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 338,218 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 348,467 · +8.6%
- By 2075
- 381,693 · +19.0%
- By 2100
- 393,809 · +22.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 12% Asian 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 3% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Albany
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -120.46%
- Current HPI
- 279.716
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.05%
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-10 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $234,900 Global MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…