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207b Fair St
C+ Composite 62.41
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,950

207b Fair St · Sweetwater, TN 37874
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,144 sqft · SingleFamily · 14 Days on market
Built 2021 8,276 sqft lot ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Absolutely Adorable Abode! This 3BR/2BA home is only 5 yrs old but has just had a total remodel: BRAND NEW: Kit cab's, butcher block counters, SS appliances, lg deep dish sink, new faucets, new bath sinks, carpet. Also a brand new furnace and AC system plus new water heater, electrical rewired, new LED lights, paddle fan, new breakers, gutters, deck and new gravel drive. You'll love the open floor plan with the white kitchen, barrel rolled cabinet hardware and the built in desk unit. Side by side fridge. Several new doors & more. Quiet location but just 1 block to the city park with its splash pad, picnic shelter and more. Has 3 walk in closets. FHA/VA/THDA compliant, on perm found

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • Total remodel
  • New bath sinks

Tags

TOTAL REMODELBRAND NEW KITCHEN CABINETSBUTCHER BLOCK COUNTERSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESNEW BATH SINKSNEW FURNACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached property; 1,144 building area (per tax records)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block and frame construction
  • Exterior features: Vinyl windows; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Self-cleaning oven
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Cathedral ceiling(s); Eat-in kitchen; 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $589 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.1% in Sweetwater — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#134 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Sweetwater (rural): math 25% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #94 of 139 in TN (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 157 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $199,950

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
9.83%
Cash-on-cash
12.63%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.4%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$5,166
Equity at exit
$29,813
10-year hold
IRR
12.0%
Equity multiple
1.95×
Total profit
$52,976
Equity at exit
$17,288

Cash invested: $55,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37874

Home prices YoY
-5.4%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,495 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax est. 1.5%
$250 /mo · $2,999/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$524
Net cashflow
$589

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,749
Max offer price $199,950
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,988
Closing costs
$5,998
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
918 Stratford Ave Sweetwater, TN 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,495 $1.66 23d 1 0.49mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,950 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,950 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,950 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,950 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,950 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $199,950 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,950 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,950 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,950 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 695-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $199,950 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,940
− Mortgage interest
−$11,200
− Property taxes
−$2,999
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,395
− Management
−$2,395
− Depreciation
−$5,817
Taxable income
$4,134
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$992
After-tax cash flow
$6,079/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sweetwater
NCES district ID
4704050
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$36,993
Composite
20.41/100
National rank
#8586
State rank
#94 of 139 in TN

Livability — Sweetwater

Score
66/100
State rank
#134
US rank
#12256

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sweetwater, TN
City population
16,640
Population (ZIP)
16,640

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,571 people
By 2030
48,155 · +1.2%
By 2040
48,772 · +2.5%
By 2050
48,698 · +2.4%
By 2075
48,558 · +2.1%
By 2100
47,543 · -0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.2% · R 83.0%
2008→2024 swing
-28.5pp toward R · 2008: -38.3pp · 2024: -66.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.8 2020: R+62.6 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+38.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -19.36%
Current HPI
336.2084
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $199,950 Knoxville MLS
  • 2025-01-21 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-15 Price Changed $179,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-09 Price Changed $189,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-01 Price Changed $195,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-13 Listed $205,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…