12186 59th Cir NE · Albertville, MN
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- ARV discount +9.4/15.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$399,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
4BR, 2BA home on a spacious 1.3-acre corner lot offering privacy and room to enjoy the outdoors. Bright main level with open living/dining area and walkout to a large 16x20 deck overlooking the expansive yard. Finished lower level includes a family room, additional bedrooms, and an updated tiled shower. Oversized 2-car garage and 12x12 storage shed. Easy access to I-94 and new Costco
Key facts
- 1.3 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1992
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $361k (9.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $361k (9.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 5.1% in Albertville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#206 in MN, #4,356 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- St. Michael-Albertville School District (rural): math 62% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #17 of 301 in MN (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Big Woods Elementary (math 71% / reading 66%, grade B+, #91 of 857 statewide, top 11%, 660 students, 16% FRL); St. Michael-Albertville Middle East (math 57% / reading 65%, grade B+, #24 of 258 statewide, top 9%, 892 students, 18% FRL); St. Michael-Albertville Senior High (math 60% / reading 71%, grade B, #27 of 471 statewide, top 6%, 2,240 students, 17% FRL).
- Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,260 units permitted in Wright County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($129k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wright County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($376k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $185k; list at $400k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.11%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $417,722
- List price
- $399,900
- Delta
- -4.27%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-46,358
- Equity at exit
- $59,626
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-16,809
- Equity at exit
- $34,576
Cash invested: $111,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55301
- Home prices YoY
- -14.2%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,613 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,097
- Tax from tax record
- −$300 /mo · $3,600/yr
- Insurance
- −$167
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$759
- Net cashflow
- $291
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $517 | -5% $404 | +0% $291 | +5% $177 | +10% $64 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $5 | -5% $148 | +0% $291 | +5% $433 | +10% $576 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $492 | -0.5pp $392 | base $291 | +0.5pp $187 | +1.0pp $82 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,975
- Closing costs
- $11,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5055 Lander Ave NE Albertville, MN | 2.0–5.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 2067 | $3,675 | $1.78 | 0d | 7 | 1.11mi |
| 11811 Frankfort Pkwy NE Saint Michael, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1017 | $2,500 | $2.46 | 0d | 13 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-10status $399,900 Pending 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $399,900 Contingent - Inspection 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $399,900 Contingent - Inspection 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $399,900 Contingent - Inspection 68 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $399,900 Contingent - Inspection 65 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $399,900 Contingent - Inspection 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $399,900 Contingent - Inspection 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $399,900 Contingent - Inspection 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $399,900 Contingent - Inspection 61 DOM
-
2026-05-08status Active 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
4BR, 2BA home on a spacious 1.3-acre corner lot offering privacy and room to enjoy the outdoors. Bright main level with open living/dining area and walkout to a large 16x20 deck overlooking the expansive yard. Finished lower level includes a family room, additional bedrooms, and an updated tiled shower. Oversized 2-car garage and 12x12 storage shed. Easy access to I-94 and new Costco
-
2026-05-04historical 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
4BR, 2BA home on a spacious 1.3-acre corner lot offering privacy and room to enjoy the outdoors. Bright main level with open living/dining area and walkout to a large 16x20 deck overlooking the expansive yard. Finished lower level includes a family room, additional bedrooms, and an updated tiled shower. Oversized 2-car garage and 12x12 storage shed. Easy access to I-94 and new Costco
-
2026-04-15price $399,900 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
4BR, 2BA home on a spacious 1.3-acre corner lot offering privacy and room to enjoy the outdoors. Bright main level with open living/dining area and walkout to a large 16x20 deck overlooking the expansive yard. Finished lower level includes a family room, additional bedrooms, and an updated tiled shower. Oversized 2-car garage and 12x12 storage shed. Easy access to I-94 and new Costco
-
2026-03-27$425,000 Active 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
4BR, 2BA home on a spacious 1.3-acre corner lot offering privacy and room to enjoy the outdoors. Bright main level with open living/dining area and walkout to a large 16x20 deck overlooking the expansive yard. Finished lower level includes a family room, additional bedrooms, and an updated tiled shower. Oversized 2-car garage and 12x12 storage shed. Easy access to I-94 and new Costco
-
2026-03-20historical $425,000 386-char remark
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
4BR, 2BA home on a spacious 1.3-acre corner lot offering privacy and room to enjoy the outdoors. Bright main level with open living/dining area and walkout to a large 16x20 deck overlooking the expansive yard. Finished lower level includes a family room, additional bedrooms, and an updated tiled shower. Oversized 2-car garage and 12x12 storage shed. Easy access to I-94 and new Costco
-
2003-05-27soldstatus $185,000
-
2003-05-15soldstatus $185,000 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
IMMACULATE 4BR,2BA SPLIT ON 1.3 ACRE CORNER LOT. BLT '92. NEUTRAL DECOR, COZY LL FAMILY RM W/BERBER CARPET & RECESSED LIGHTING. HUGE 16X20 DECK, OVERSIZED 2 CAR GAR, 12X12 STORAGE SHED. EASY I94 ACCESS-JUST MINUTES FROM THE TWIN CITIES!!!
-
2003-04-04historical 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
IMMACULATE 4BR,2BA SPLIT ON 1.3 ACRE CORNER LOT. BLT '92. NEUTRAL DECOR, COZY LL FAMILY RM W/BERBER CARPET & RECESSED LIGHTING. HUGE 16X20 DECK, OVERSIZED 2 CAR GAR, 12X12 STORAGE SHED. EASY I94 ACCESS-JUST MINUTES FROM THE TWIN CITIES!!!
-
2003-01-19$184,900 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
IMMACULATE 4BR,2BA SPLIT ON 1.3 ACRE CORNER LOT. BLT '92. NEUTRAL DECOR, COZY LL FAMILY RM W/BERBER CARPET & RECESSED LIGHTING. HUGE 16X20 DECK, OVERSIZED 2 CAR GAR, 12X12 STORAGE SHED. EASY I94 ACCESS-JUST MINUTES FROM THE TWIN CITIES!!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,600 · $300/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,039 · $337/mo
- Expected delta
- +$439/yr (+$37/mo · 12.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,358
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,401
- − Property taxes
- −$3,600
- − Insurance
- −$2,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,469
- − Management
- −$3,469
- − Depreciation
- −$11,633
- Taxable loss
- −$3,213
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$771
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,259/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Michael-Albertville School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733790
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $86,897
- Composite
- 57.91/100
- National rank
- #1042
- State rank
- #17 of 301 in MN
Livability — Albertville
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #206
- US rank
- #4356
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Albertville, MN
- County
- Wright County · 79,164 people
- City population
- 13,482
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,482
- Household income
- $129,232
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 50.0
Population outlook (Wright County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 142,526 people
- By 2030
- 146,915 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 153,625 · +7.8%
- By 2050
- 155,416 · +9.0%
- By 2075
- 150,352 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 130,631 · -8.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · South Korea, China, Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Wright
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.4) · D 34.4% · R 63.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.4pp · 2024: -29.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.4 2020: R+28.6 2016: R+33.2 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+17.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.52%
- Current HPI
- 233.6299
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+116.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $399,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Listed $425,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Coming Soon $425,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
- 2003-05-15 Sold (MLS) $185,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-04-04 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-01-19 Listed $184,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,600 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…