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12186 59th Cir NE
C- Composite 50.65
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.4/15.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$399,900

12186 59th Cir NE · Albertville, MN 55301
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 70 Days on market
Built 1992 1.30 ac lot $239/sqft · 5% above area Est $418k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

4BR, 2BA home on a spacious 1.3-acre corner lot offering privacy and room to enjoy the outdoors. Bright main level with open living/dining area and walkout to a large 16x20 deck overlooking the expansive yard. Finished lower level includes a family room, additional bedrooms, and an updated tiled shower. Oversized 2-car garage and 12x12 storage shed. Easy access to I-94 and new Costco

Key facts

  • 1.3 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1992

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $361k (9.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $361k (9.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 5.1% in Albertville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#206 in MN, #4,356 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
  • St. Michael-Albertville School District (rural): math 62% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #17 of 301 in MN (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Big Woods Elementary (math 71% / reading 66%, grade B+, #91 of 857 statewide, top 11%, 660 students, 16% FRL); St. Michael-Albertville Middle East (math 57% / reading 65%, grade B+, #24 of 258 statewide, top 9%, 892 students, 18% FRL); St. Michael-Albertville Senior High (math 60% / reading 71%, grade B, #27 of 471 statewide, top 6%, 2,240 students, 17% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,260 units permitted in Wright County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($129k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wright County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($376k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $185k; list at $400k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $361,315 (9.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.17%
Cash-on-cash
3.11%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$417,722
List price
$399,900
Delta
-4.27%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-46,358
Equity at exit
$59,626
10-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-16,809
Equity at exit
$34,576

Cash invested: $111,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55301

Home prices YoY
-14.2%
Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,613 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,097
Tax from tax record
$300 /mo · $3,600/yr
Insurance
$167
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$759
Net cashflow
$291

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,245
Max offer price $399,900
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $517 -5% $404 +0% $291 +5% $177 +10% $64
Rent -10% $5 -5% $148 +0% $291 +5% $433 +10% $576
Rate -1.0pp $492 -0.5pp $392 base $291 +0.5pp $187 +1.0pp $82

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,975
Closing costs
$11,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5055 Lander Ave NE Albertville, MN 2.0–5.0 2.0–3.5 2067 $3,675 $1.78 0d 7 1.11mi
11811 Frankfort Pkwy NE Saint Michael, MN 3.0 1.0–2.0 1017 $2,500 $2.46 0d 13 1.41mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $399,900 Pending 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $399,900 Contingent - Inspection 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $399,900 Contingent - Inspection 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $399,900 Contingent - Inspection 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $399,900 Contingent - Inspection 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $399,900 Contingent - Inspection 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $399,900 Contingent - Inspection 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $399,900 Contingent - Inspection 62 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $399,900 Contingent - Inspection 61 DOM
  10. 2026-05-08
    status Active 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    4BR, 2BA home on a spacious 1.3-acre corner lot offering privacy and room to enjoy the outdoors. Bright main level with open living/dining area and walkout to a large 16x20 deck overlooking the expansive yard. Finished lower level includes a family room, additional bedrooms, and an updated tiled shower. Oversized 2-car garage and 12x12 storage shed. Easy access to I-94 and new Costco

  11. 2026-05-04
    historical 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    4BR, 2BA home on a spacious 1.3-acre corner lot offering privacy and room to enjoy the outdoors. Bright main level with open living/dining area and walkout to a large 16x20 deck overlooking the expansive yard. Finished lower level includes a family room, additional bedrooms, and an updated tiled shower. Oversized 2-car garage and 12x12 storage shed. Easy access to I-94 and new Costco

  12. 2026-04-15
    price $399,900 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    4BR, 2BA home on a spacious 1.3-acre corner lot offering privacy and room to enjoy the outdoors. Bright main level with open living/dining area and walkout to a large 16x20 deck overlooking the expansive yard. Finished lower level includes a family room, additional bedrooms, and an updated tiled shower. Oversized 2-car garage and 12x12 storage shed. Easy access to I-94 and new Costco

  13. 2026-03-27
    listed $425,000 Active 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    4BR, 2BA home on a spacious 1.3-acre corner lot offering privacy and room to enjoy the outdoors. Bright main level with open living/dining area and walkout to a large 16x20 deck overlooking the expansive yard. Finished lower level includes a family room, additional bedrooms, and an updated tiled shower. Oversized 2-car garage and 12x12 storage shed. Easy access to I-94 and new Costco

  14. 2026-03-20
    historical $425,000 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    4BR, 2BA home on a spacious 1.3-acre corner lot offering privacy and room to enjoy the outdoors. Bright main level with open living/dining area and walkout to a large 16x20 deck overlooking the expansive yard. Finished lower level includes a family room, additional bedrooms, and an updated tiled shower. Oversized 2-car garage and 12x12 storage shed. Easy access to I-94 and new Costco

  15. 2003-05-27
    soldstatus $185,000
  16. 2003-05-15
    soldstatus $185,000 242-char remark
    Show marketing remark (242 chars)

    IMMACULATE 4BR,2BA SPLIT ON 1.3 ACRE CORNER LOT. BLT '92. NEUTRAL DECOR, COZY LL FAMILY RM W/BERBER CARPET & RECESSED LIGHTING. HUGE 16X20 DECK, OVERSIZED 2 CAR GAR, 12X12 STORAGE SHED. EASY I94 ACCESS-JUST MINUTES FROM THE TWIN CITIES!!!

  17. 2003-04-04
    historical 242-char remark
    Show marketing remark (242 chars)

    IMMACULATE 4BR,2BA SPLIT ON 1.3 ACRE CORNER LOT. BLT '92. NEUTRAL DECOR, COZY LL FAMILY RM W/BERBER CARPET & RECESSED LIGHTING. HUGE 16X20 DECK, OVERSIZED 2 CAR GAR, 12X12 STORAGE SHED. EASY I94 ACCESS-JUST MINUTES FROM THE TWIN CITIES!!!

  18. 2003-01-19
    listed $184,900 242-char remark
    Show marketing remark (242 chars)

    IMMACULATE 4BR,2BA SPLIT ON 1.3 ACRE CORNER LOT. BLT '92. NEUTRAL DECOR, COZY LL FAMILY RM W/BERBER CARPET & RECESSED LIGHTING. HUGE 16X20 DECK, OVERSIZED 2 CAR GAR, 12X12 STORAGE SHED. EASY I94 ACCESS-JUST MINUTES FROM THE TWIN CITIES!!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,600 · $300/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,039 · $337/mo
Expected delta
+$439/yr (+$37/mo · 12.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,358
− Mortgage interest
−$22,401
− Property taxes
−$3,600
− Insurance
−$2,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,469
− Management
−$3,469
− Depreciation
−$11,633
Taxable loss
−$3,213
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$771
After-tax cash flow
$4,259/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Michael-Albertville School District
NCES district ID
2733790
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$86,897
Composite
57.91/100
National rank
#1042
State rank
#17 of 301 in MN

Livability — Albertville

Score
75/100
State rank
#206
US rank
#4356

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albertville, MN
County
Wright County · 79,164 people
City population
13,482
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
13,482
Household income
$129,232
Rent vs Own
8.6% rent · 91.4% own
Severe rent burden
50.0

Population outlook (Wright County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
142,526 people
By 2030
146,915 · +3.1%
By 2040
153,625 · +7.8%
By 2050
155,416 · +9.0%
By 2075
150,352 · +5.5%
By 2100
130,631 · -8.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
7% · South Korea, China, Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Wright

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.4) · D 34.4% · R 63.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-11.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.4pp · 2024: -29.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.4 2020: R+28.6 2016: R+33.2 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+17.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -38.52%
Current HPI
233.6299
Rent YoY
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+116.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $399,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $425,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-20 Coming Soon $425,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
  • 2003-05-15 Sold (MLS) $185,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-04-04 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-01-19 Listed $184,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,600 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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