2528 Farnam St · Davenport, IA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.65%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Classic East Davenport character just steps from VanderVeer Park! This 4-bedroom home is full of timeless charm with original woodwork, vintage details, and hardwood floors waiting to be uncovered beneath the carpet. Big-ticket items like roof and siding have already been updated, giving the next owner a great starting point. The unfinished attic offers exciting potential for additional living space, office, or studio. With a little TLC, this home could truly shine again. Prime location near one of Davenport's most beautiful parks, neighborhood shops, and dining.
Key facts
- Updated siding
- Vintage details
- Updated roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $45 ($546/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (3.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.4% in Davenport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#126 in IA, #2,312 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Davenport Community School District (urban): math 43% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #288 of 289 in IA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 805 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (479 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Scott County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $47k; list at $125k implies a 167% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.56%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $194,480
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2528 Farnam St | 0.00mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,496 (0%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $67 | 92 |
| 2627 Fair Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,447 (-3%) | 0mo | $168,000 | $116 | 80 |
| 2808 Farnam St | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 | 1,377 (-8%) | 2mo | $181,000 | $131 | 73 |
| 2716 Davenport Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,636 (+9%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $110 | 72 |
| 2214 Grand Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,338 (-11%) | 1mo | $136,000 | $102 | 69 |
| 2615 Leclaire St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,717 (+15%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $134 | 68 |
| 3105 Jefferson Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,386 (-7%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $133 | 63 |
| 2211 Western Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,484 (-1%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $118 | 59 |
| 2718 Western Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,539 (+3%) | 2mo | $199,900 | $130 | 59 |
| 3001 Davenport Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-13%) | 1mo | $189,000 | $146 | 55 |
| 402 E Pleasant St | 0.44mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-13%) | 0mo | $140,000 | $108 | 50 |
| 3036 Tremont Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,304 (-13%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $188 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-15,379
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,277
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52803
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 160
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,207 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$200 /mo · $2,401/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $45
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2209 Farnam St Unit 2211 Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1138 | $1,050 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 320 E 29th St Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2224 Iowa St Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1214 | $895 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2224 Iowa St Unit 2224 Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1214 | $925 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2925 Dubuque St Unit 5N Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 895 | $825 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2809 N Main St Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1812 Pershing Ave Unit 1 Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 201 E Locust St Unit Sw Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $875 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 102 W 35th St Unit 130E_35R Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 102 W 35th St Unit 128E_35R Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 102 W 35th St Unit 105W_35 Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,150 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 102 W 35th St Unit 119W_35R Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,050 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 102 W 35th St Unit 104E_35R Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,050 | $0.88 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 317 Kirkwood Blvd Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $950 | $0.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1421 Grand Ave Unit 1 Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $850 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1615 1/2 N Ripley St Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $825 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1421 N Main St #2 Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,095 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1519 N Ripley St Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,100 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1301 Arlington Ave Unit 1305 Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1511 N Ripley St Davenport, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $1,450 | $0.77 | 21d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 119 E 13th St Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1728 | $1,495 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1017 E 13th St Unit 1017 Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1335 | $950 | $0.71 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1527 Fulton Ct Davenport, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,775 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 537 W 16th St Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1311 | $1,400 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3705 College Ave Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,095 | $1.37 | 14d | 7 | 1.04mi |
| 621 W 15th St Davenport, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $1,500 | $0.82 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2220 E Lombard St Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,620 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1323 N Gaines St Davenport, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1733 | $1,350 | $0.78 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1505 E 39th St Unit 2A Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $820 | $0.85 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1315 Brown St Unit 2 Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1318 1/2 Brown St Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $875 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 915 W 14th St Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1390 | $900 | $0.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 616 E 6th St Davenport, IA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1578 | $1,712 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 321 E 7th St Davenport, IA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,050 | $1.27 | 14d | 4 | 1.39mi |
| 736 Federal St Davenport, IA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1186 | $1,868 | $1.57 | 21d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1825 Winding Hill Rd Davenport, IA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 976 | $1,290 | $1.32 | 14d | 9 | 1.45mi |
| 511 Pershing Ave Unit 101W Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $1,704 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 511 Pershing Ave Unit 105E Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,635 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 511 Pershing Ave Unit 301E Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1429 | $2,126 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 511 Pershing Ave Unit 202W Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1201 | $1,601 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-05-24status Active
-
2026-05-24status Active
-
2026-05-22status Active
-
2026-04-18status Pending
-
2026-03-06$125,000 Active
-
2026-03-05historical
-
2026-03-05historical
-
2026-03-05historical
-
2026-03-05historical
-
2026-01-08status Active
-
2026-01-06historical
-
2026-01-05historical
-
2025-10-29price
-
2025-09-29price
-
2025-09-05Active
-
2000-12-20soldstatus $46,750
-
2000-10-23$48,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,401 · $200/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,401 · $200/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,478
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$2,401
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,158
- − Management
- −$1,158
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$1,503
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$361
- After-tax cash flow
- $906/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Davenport Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1908580
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,157
- Composite
- 39.49/100
- National rank
- #3951
- State rank
- #288 of 289 in IA
Livability — Davenport
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #126
- US rank
- #2312
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Davenport, IA
- County
- Scott County · 144,583 people
- City population
- 103,319
- Metro
- Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,742
- Household income
- $64,543
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 630.0
Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 188,878 people
- By 2030
- 196,648 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 210,860 · +11.6%
- By 2050
- 224,359 · +18.8%
- By 2075
- 258,884 · +37.1%
- By 2100
- 286,447 · +51.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 14% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Portuguese 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, United Kingdom, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Scott
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.3% · R 51.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -3.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.9 2020: D+3.5 2016: D+1.4 2012: D+13.8 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.00%
- Current HPI
- 182.0976
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.57%
- Metro
- Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+155.6% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-24 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-24 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-18 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-06 Listed $125,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-08 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-29 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-29 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-05 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-12-20 Sold (MLS) $46,750 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-10-23 Listed $48,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,401 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…