2650 Maria Ter · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step inside this classic 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom single-story home offering over 1,343 square feet of functional living space. The interior welcomes you with low-maintenance wood flooring running throughout the main areas, creating a seamless and cohesive flow. The layout features a bright main living room alongside a versatile extra living area, perfect for a home office, den, or playroom. All three bedrooms offer comfortable proportions and easy access to the two full bathrooms. Positioned on an expansive, acre-sized lot, the exterior provides incredible outdoor space and privacy. Conveniently located in Jackson with straightforward access to local amenities and thoroughfares
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1962
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Rectangular lot; Approximately 0.29 acre lot; Zoned for single-family residential
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with concrete surface; One parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer and water connected
- Home design: Single-family house; One level
- Construction: Brick veneer construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Asphalt roof; Built (year source: assessor)
- Exterior features: Front porch; Partial fencing; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Wood-burning fireplace; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: In-unit washer and dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $410 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Boyd Elementary School (math 0% / reading 9%, grade F, #368 of 375 statewide, top 98%, 405 students, 100% FRL); Blackburn Middle School (math 9% / reading 11%, grade F, #152 of 179 statewide, top 88%, 614 students, 100% FRL); Provine High School (math 4% / reading 15%, grade F, #179 of 197 statewide, top 92%, 774 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.6%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,187/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1099% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.45%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $58,250
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2716 Woodside Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,184 (+2%) | 0mo | $54,900 | $46 | 74 |
| 1776 Wood Glen Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,309 (+12%) | 5mo | $39,900 | $30 | 69 |
| 1399 Dorgan St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,174 (+1%) | 10mo | $118,500 | $101 | 68 |
| 1557 Maria Dr | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,105 (-5%) | 9mo | $35,000 | $32 | 67 |
| 1319 Dorgan St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,131 (-3%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $57 | 66 |
| 2920 Lakewood Dr | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,125 (-3%) | 1mo | $69,900 | $62 | 60 |
| 1275 Dorgan St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,219 (+5%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $57 | 56 |
| 1551 Maria Dr | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-14%) | 7mo | $34,900 | $35 | 55 |
| 2926 Oak Forest Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,170 (+0%) | 11mo | $33,000 | $28 | 55 |
| 2943 Lakewood Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,090 (-6%) | 6mo | $54,900 | $50 | 49 |
| 1539 Woodburn St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,043 (-10%) | 5mo | $90,000 | $86 | 47 |
| 1351 Dorgan St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,328 (+14%) | 8mo | $49,000 | $37 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.49×
- Total profit
- $73,189
- Equity at exit
- $67,476
- IRR
- 40.9%
- Equity multiple
- 11.04×
- Total profit
- $210,593
- Equity at exit
- $145,514
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39204
- Home prices YoY
- 8.0%
- Rents YoY
- 13.6%
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,187 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,247/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $410
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $452 | -5% $431 | +0% $410 | +5% $389 | +10% $367 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $316 | -5% $363 | +0% $410 | +5% $457 | +10% $504 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $448 | -0.5pp $429 | base $410 | +0.5pp $390 | +1.0pp $371 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 427 McDowell Park Cir Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1308 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1533 Raymond Rd Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1135 | $1,010 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1805 Hospital Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $1,050 | $0.79 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1343 | $1,000 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1343 | $1,000 | $0.74 | 14d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2242 Castle Hill Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,475 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2242 Castle Hill Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,475 | $0.98 | 14d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5136 Lurline Dr Unit Ma Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1134 | $1,100 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3049 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $975 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2873 Teresa Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1219 Woody Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1058 | $1,150 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3122 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1421 | $1,100 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1223 Marydale Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $950 | $0.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3162 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1280 | $1,236 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3151 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,306 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2010 Chadwick Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $1,145 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2010 Chadwick Dr Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $1,174 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2786 Brookwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1003 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3308 Ramona St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,150 | $1.04 | 22d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 843 Reaves St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $1,084 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2858 Fairhill Dr Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $825 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3152 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1010 Deryll St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $1,050 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1018 Deryll St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $900 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1054 Deryll St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1132 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1645 Camellia Ln Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $1,200 | $0.95 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3341 Suncrest Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1292 | $1,225 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-19remarks 684-char remark
-
2026-06-19$74,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,247 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,247 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,243
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$1,247
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,139
- − Management
- −$1,139
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $3,969
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$952
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,965/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,249
- Household income
- $30,237
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1099.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 17.25%
- Current HPI
- 233.9061
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 13.56%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $74,900 MLSU
- 2020-05-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-08-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2008-11-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1978-04-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,247 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…