2353 Shelley St #19 · Clearwater, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BACK ON MARKET!! 1 BED/1 BATH CONDO IN CENTRAL CLEARWATER WITH NO AGE RESTRICTIONS. FULLY FURNISHED, JUST BRING TOOTH BRUSH. LOW MONTHLY DUES, CLOSE TO SHOPS , RESTAURANTS, BALL PARK AND LOCAL BEACHES.
Key facts
- Small enclosed patio
- Large pantry closet
- Low condo fees
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No lease restrictions indicated; Unfurnished
- Financial info: Total monthly fees $315; total annual fees $3,780
- HOA & community: Monthly condo fee of $315 (includes water, sewer, trash, insurance, management, maintenance of structure and grounds, escrow reserves fund); Association: Prestige Property Management Services; Association approval required; Community features include community mailbox, deed restrictions, no truck/RV/motorcycle parking, buyer approval required
Exterior
- Parking: No specific parking details provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Residential condominium; One story; Faces north; Unit on 2nd floor
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of Building Number 2
- Exterior features: Concrete road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No central heating reported; Wall/window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room/dining room combo; Drapes, rods and shades on windows
- Laundry & utility: No laundry in unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-476/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $118k (5.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (5.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.9% in Clearwater — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#60 in FL, #988 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.6%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $125k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.36%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-26,652
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- -33.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.18×
- Total profit
- $-41,383
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33765
- Home prices YoY
- -31.8%
- Rents YoY
- -4.6%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,384 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,329/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$315
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $-40
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $31 | -5% $-4 | +0% $-40 | +5% $-75 | +10% $-110 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-149 | -5% $-94 | +0% $-40 | +5% $15 | +10% $70 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $23 | -0.5pp $-8 | base $-40 | +0.5pp $-72 | +1.0pp $-105 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2353 Shelley St #11 Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 585 | $1,150 | $1.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 2366 Shelley St #12 Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 585 | $1,550 | $2.65 | 25d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 2366 Shelley St Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 585 | $1,425 | $2.44 | 15d | 2 | 0.08mi |
| 2317 Nash St Unit Priv Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 350 | $1,695 | $4.84 | 25d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 25 N Belcher Rd Clearwater, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 780 | $1,503 | $1.93 | 3d | 12 | 0.41mi |
| 101 S Old Coachman Rd Clearwater, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 983 | $1,927 | $1.96 | 4d | 16 | 0.51mi |
| 308 Gunn Ave Unit 308 Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,400 | $2.15 | 18d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 300 Gunn Ave Unit 9 Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,130 | $2.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 300 Gunn Ave Unit 7 Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,150 | $2.19 | 11d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 411 S Nimbus Ave Unit 3 Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,395 | $1.99 | 18d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2025 Rogers St Clearwater, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 985 | $1,549 | $1.57 | 11d | 10 | 0.79mi |
| 2430 Harn Blvd Unit 7 Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,500 | $2.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2430 Harn Blvd Unit 14 Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,400 | $1.93 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 412 S Aurora Ave Unit 5 Clearwater, FL | — | 1.0 | 400 | $950 | $2.38 | 22d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2690 Drew St Clearwater, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 974 | $1,225 | $1.26 | 2d | 12 | 1.01mi |
| 2060 Marilyn St #207 Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,350 | $1.80 | 18d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2060 Marilyn St #127 Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,350 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2501 Harn Blvd Unit H27 Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,300 | $2.60 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 309 S Arcturas Ave #6 Clearwater, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,200 | $1.85 | 3d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1433 S Belcher Rd Clearwater, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 748 | $1,250 | $1.67 | 20d | 2 | 1.16mi |
| 2729 Seville Blvd Clearwater, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1057 | $1,695 | $1.60 | 2d | 33 | 1.16mi |
| 2481 NE Coachman Rd Clearwater, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 762 | $1,424 | $1.87 | 2d | 14 | 1.25mi |
| 19135 US Highway 19 N Clearwater, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1139 | $1,278 | $1.12 | 2d | 30 | 1.28mi |
| 2100 Nursery Rd Clearwater, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 910 | $1,330 | $1.46 | 4d | 10 | 1.34mi |
| 2225 Nursery Rd Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 802 | $1,552 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2159 Nursery Rd Clearwater, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 870 | $1,335 | $1.53 | 2d | 10 | 1.41mi |
| 1784 Magnolia Dr Unit B Clearwater, FL | — | 1.0 | 600 | $1,800 | $3.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2909 Gulf To Bay Blvd Clearwater, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 931 | $1,279 | $1.37 | 4d | 9 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $315 · $3,780/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$125,000 Active
-
2010-06-09soldstatus $25,000
-
2010-06-08soldstatus $25,000 201-char remark
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
BACK ON MARKET!! 1 BED/1 BATH CONDO IN CENTRAL CLEARWATER WITH NO AGE RESTRICTIONS. FULLY FURNISHED, JUST BRING TOOTH BRUSH. LOW MONTHLY DUES, CLOSE TO SHOPS , RESTAURANTS, BALL PARK AND LOCAL BEACHES.
-
2010-03-11$29,900 201-char remark
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
BACK ON MARKET!! 1 BED/1 BATH CONDO IN CENTRAL CLEARWATER WITH NO AGE RESTRICTIONS. FULLY FURNISHED, JUST BRING TOOTH BRUSH. LOW MONTHLY DUES, CLOSE TO SHOPS , RESTAURANTS, BALL PARK AND LOCAL BEACHES.
-
1981-11-01soldstatus $25,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,329 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,329 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,613
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,329
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,329
- − Management
- −$1,329
- − HOA
- −$3,780
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$2,418
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$580
- After-tax cash flow
- $104/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Clearwater
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #60
- US rank
- #988
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clearwater, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 170,933
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,808
- Household income
- $69,199
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 604.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 13% Black 8% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 6% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -146.56%
- Current HPI
- 314.4864
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.61%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+390.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2010-06-08 Sold (MLS) $25,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-03-11 Listed $29,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1981-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,329 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…