2307 N Pinetree Blvd · Thomasville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$154,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home perfectly situated on a spacious 0.5-acre lot in Thomasville! Built in 2006, this property offers a functional 1,170 square foot layout with solid bones and plenty of room to make it your own. The deep lot provides ample outdoor space for gardening, entertaining, or future additions. Located right on N Pinetree Blvd, you're just minutes from historic downtown Thomasville's shopping, dining, and parks. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer looking to build equity, a savvy investor, or a downsizer seeking a manageable property with upside potential — this one checks all the boxes. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 0.5 acre lot
- Built 2006
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $482 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.7% in Thomasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#77 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
- Thomasville City (town): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #87 of 174 in GA (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Jerger Elementary School (math 54% / reading 56%, grade C, #178 of 1,228 statewide, top 15%, 785 students, 25% FRL); Macintyre Park Middle School (math 25% / reading 40%, grade F, #221 of 470 statewide, top 48%, 558 students, 92% FRL); Thomasville High School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #184 of 424 statewide, top 48%, 797 students, 92% FRL).
- Market conditions: 206 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 213 units permitted in Thomas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Thomas County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.33%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $212,940
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1113 Cassidy Rd | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-2%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $148 | 79 |
| 314 Grove Pointe Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,238 (+6%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $182 | 72 |
| 312 Hayden Way | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,247 (+7%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $192 | 64 |
| 315 Grove Pointe Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+11%) | 10mo | $244,000 | $188 | 63 |
| 102 Hannah Ln | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,317 (+13%) | 4mo | $239,900 | $182 | 62 |
| 100 Hannah Ln | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,284 (+10%) | 13mo | $247,600 | $193 | 60 |
| 205 Grove Pointe Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,317 (+13%) | 10mo | $237,500 | $180 | 59 |
| 111 Marisa Ct | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,338 (+14%) | 6mo | $229,900 | $172 | 58 |
| 103 Marisa Ct | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,338 (+14%) | 7mo | $240,000 | $179 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $5,511
- Equity at exit
- $23,096
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $44,031
- Equity at exit
- $13,393
Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31792
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,773 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$812
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $503/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $482
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $569 | -5% $526 | +0% $482 | +5% $438 | +10% $394 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $342 | -5% $412 | +0% $482 | +5% $552 | +10% $622 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $560 | -0.5pp $521 | base $482 | +0.5pp $442 | +1.0pp $401 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,725
- Closing costs
- $4,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2448 Cassidy Rd Thomasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,300 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1388 N Pinetree Blvd Thomasville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,300 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $154,900 Pending
-
2026-06-03days on market $154,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $154,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $154,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $154,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $154,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-21$154,900 Active
Show marketing remark (656 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home perfectly situated on a spacious 0.5-acre lot in Thomasville! Built in 2006, this property offers a functional 1,170 square foot layout with solid bones and plenty of room to make it your own. The deep lot provides ample outdoor space for gardening, entertaining, or future additions. Located right on N Pinetree Blvd, you're just minutes from historic downtown Thomasville's shopping, dining, and parks. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer looking to build equity, a savvy investor, or a downsizer seeking a manageable property with upside potential — this one checks all the boxes. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-21$154,900 Active 656-char remark
Show marketing remark (656 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home perfectly situated on a spacious 0.5-acre lot in Thomasville! Built in 2006, this property offers a functional 1,170 square foot layout with solid bones and plenty of room to make it your own. The deep lot provides ample outdoor space for gardening, entertaining, or future additions. Located right on N Pinetree Blvd, you're just minutes from historic downtown Thomasville's shopping, dining, and parks. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer looking to build equity, a savvy investor, or a downsizer seeking a manageable property with upside potential — this one checks all the boxes. Schedule your showing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $503 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,425 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- +$922/yr (+$77/mo · 183.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,272
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,677
- − Property taxes
- −$503
- − Insurance
- −$774
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,702
- − Management
- −$1,702
- − Depreciation
- −$4,506
- Taxable income
- $3,408
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$818
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,962/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thomasville City
- NCES district ID
- 1304950
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,040
- Composite
- 26.85/100
- National rank
- #7106
- State rank
- #87 of 174 in GA
Livability — Thomasville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #6678
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Thomasville, GA
- County
- Thomas County · 22,962 people
- City population
- 22,962
- Metro
- Thomasville, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,962
- Household income
- $50,460
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1059.0
Population outlook (Thomas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,303 people
- By 2030
- 45,052 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 44,034 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 42,310 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 37,569 · -17.1%
- By 2100
- 30,676 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 47% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Thomas
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.8% · R 61.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.3pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+21.8 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.17%
- Current HPI
- 228.0107
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Thomasville, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Pending — MBOR
- 2026-06-04 Delisted — TABRMLS
- 2026-06-04 Listed $154,900 TABRMLS
- 2026-05-21 Listed $154,900 TABRMLS
- 2026-05-21 Listed $154,900 MBOR
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $503 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…