2139 E 4th St #176 · Ontario, CA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 23 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Ready for new ownership! Nestled within the Lamplighter Ontario Family Community Park, this spacious 3-bedroom 2 bath home has all the potential for any buyer! As you walk into this home, there is a wonderful open living room and kitchen floor plan. The living room features new carpet, and the kitchen features new flooring along with a lovely area for bar stool seating. Not to mention plenty of cabinet space. Adjacent to the kitchen you'll find the convenient laundry room. The primary bedroom is very spacious with a convenient walk in closet and spacious primary bathroom. The other two bedrooms are sizable with closets in each. The uniqueness of this home is the small backyard it has which many mobile homes lack. But not this one! You can set up a lovely patio space back there and enjoy a wonderful BBQ with your company! Conveniently located by the 10 freeway and shopping center plaza! Swing by and make an offer today!
Key facts
- Open living room
- New flooring
- Small backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size and living area sourced from assessor; Directions: use the entrance on Hellman, quick right — home on left
- Financial info: Manager approval required for residency; Pets: contact manager
- HOA & community: Community amenities include pool, street lighting, and sidewalks; Land lease in park: $1,450 monthly (park-reported); rent may include trash and pool
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water; Utilities: see remarks
- Home design: Single-story mobile home (11' x 41'); Mobile home remains on property; Located in a park community (Lamplighter Ontario)
- Construction: Built (year from assessor); Mobile construction
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Back yard; Community pool
Interior
- Kitchen: 6-burner stove; Electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Laminate countertops
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom with walk-in closet and primary bathroom
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Shower-in-tub configuration
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (furnace); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Single-level living; Living room entry; Doors swing inward for accessibility
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $160k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 2.7% in Ontario — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#435 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A-, housing B+; Watch: schools F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
- Cucamonga Elementary (suburban): math 28% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #867 of 1,400 in CA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $142k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.07%
- DSCR
- 2.56
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $211,200
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2139 E 4th St #162 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (+9%) | 9mo | $230,000 | $200 | 77 |
| 2139 E 4th #230 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-9%) | 4mo | $103,200 | $108 | 72 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $50,536
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 33.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.62×
- Total profit
- $121,032
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 91764
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,958 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $630/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$621
- Net cashflow
- $1,350
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1221 N Vineyard Ave Ontario, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 867 | $2,476 | $2.86 | 2d | 6 | 0.40mi |
| 1879 E Jay St Unit B Ontario, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1033 | $2,750 | $2.66 | 2d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2000 Inland Empire Blvd Ontario, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 808 | $3,799 | $4.70 | 2d | 35 | 0.52mi |
| 821 N Vineyard Ave Ontario, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,795 | $2.32 | 10d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2615 E Date Palm Paseo Ontario, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 937 | $3,359 | $3.58 | 2d | 27 | 0.75mi |
| 1725 E G St Ontario, CA | 2.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1100 | $2,690 | $2.45 | 2d | 5 | 0.86mi |
| 1675 E G St Ontario, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 842 | $2,500 | $2.97 | 2d | 10 | 0.89mi |
| 755 N Via Dolcetto Ontario, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1462 | $3,140 | $2.15 | 12d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1701 E D St Ontario, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 993 | $3,175 | $3.20 | 2d | 19 | 0.96mi |
| 1548 N Lassen Ave Ontario, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,500 | $2.78 | 2d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 811 N Turner Ave Unit 7 Ontario, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1445 | $3,200 | $2.21 | 17d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1005 N Center Ave Ontario, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 962 | $3,353 | $3.49 | 2d | 21 | 1.25mi |
| 8739 Pine Crest Pl Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1179 | $2,700 | $2.29 | 2d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 713 N Corvette Dr Unit 1 Ontario, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1350 | $3,200 | $2.37 | 10d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 713 N Corvette Dr Unit 3 Ontario, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $2,900 | $2.32 | 3d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 8731 Pine Crest Pl Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1179 | $2,995 | $2.54 | 3d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 8445 Chaffee St Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $3,300 | $2.29 | 15d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 8555 Sandalwood Ct Rancho Cucamonga, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,375 | $2.41 | 2d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $165,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-06$165,000 Active
-
2026-02-15historical
-
2026-01-21price $175,000
-
2025-09-29price $185,000
-
2025-08-15$195,000 Active
-
2024-07-05soldstatus $141,500 Closed Sale 932-char remark
Show marketing remark (932 chars)
Ready for new ownership! Nestled within the Lamplighter Ontario Family Community Park, this spacious 3-bedroom 2 bath home has all the potential for any buyer! As you walk into this home, there is a wonderful open living room and kitchen floor plan. The living room features new carpet, and the kitchen features new flooring along with a lovely area for bar stool seating. Not to mention plenty of cabinet space. Adjacent to the kitchen you'll find the convenient laundry room. The primary bedroom is very spacious with a convenient walk in closet and spacious primary bathroom. The other two bedrooms are sizable with closets in each. The uniqueness of this home is the small backyard it has which many mobile homes lack. But not this one! You can set up a lovely patio space back there and enjoy a wonderful BBQ with your company! Conveniently located by the 10 freeway and shopping center plaza! Swing by and make an offer today!
-
2024-05-15status Pending Sale 932-char remark
Show marketing remark (932 chars)
Ready for new ownership! Nestled within the Lamplighter Ontario Family Community Park, this spacious 3-bedroom 2 bath home has all the potential for any buyer! As you walk into this home, there is a wonderful open living room and kitchen floor plan. The living room features new carpet, and the kitchen features new flooring along with a lovely area for bar stool seating. Not to mention plenty of cabinet space. Adjacent to the kitchen you'll find the convenient laundry room. The primary bedroom is very spacious with a convenient walk in closet and spacious primary bathroom. The other two bedrooms are sizable with closets in each. The uniqueness of this home is the small backyard it has which many mobile homes lack. But not this one! You can set up a lovely patio space back there and enjoy a wonderful BBQ with your company! Conveniently located by the 10 freeway and shopping center plaza! Swing by and make an offer today!
-
2024-05-09historical Active Under Contract 932-char remark
Show marketing remark (932 chars)
Ready for new ownership! Nestled within the Lamplighter Ontario Family Community Park, this spacious 3-bedroom 2 bath home has all the potential for any buyer! As you walk into this home, there is a wonderful open living room and kitchen floor plan. The living room features new carpet, and the kitchen features new flooring along with a lovely area for bar stool seating. Not to mention plenty of cabinet space. Adjacent to the kitchen you'll find the convenient laundry room. The primary bedroom is very spacious with a convenient walk in closet and spacious primary bathroom. The other two bedrooms are sizable with closets in each. The uniqueness of this home is the small backyard it has which many mobile homes lack. But not this one! You can set up a lovely patio space back there and enjoy a wonderful BBQ with your company! Conveniently located by the 10 freeway and shopping center plaza! Swing by and make an offer today!
-
2024-04-24$169,999 Active 932-char remark
Show marketing remark (932 chars)
Ready for new ownership! Nestled within the Lamplighter Ontario Family Community Park, this spacious 3-bedroom 2 bath home has all the potential for any buyer! As you walk into this home, there is a wonderful open living room and kitchen floor plan. The living room features new carpet, and the kitchen features new flooring along with a lovely area for bar stool seating. Not to mention plenty of cabinet space. Adjacent to the kitchen you'll find the convenient laundry room. The primary bedroom is very spacious with a convenient walk in closet and spacious primary bathroom. The other two bedrooms are sizable with closets in each. The uniqueness of this home is the small backyard it has which many mobile homes lack. But not this one! You can set up a lovely patio space back there and enjoy a wonderful BBQ with your company! Conveniently located by the 10 freeway and shopping center plaza! Swing by and make an offer today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $630 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,254 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$624/yr (+$52/mo · 99.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 23 unhealthy d/yr today · 28 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,493
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$630
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,839
- − Management
- −$2,839
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $14,317
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,436
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,766/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cucamonga Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0616300
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,067
- Composite
- 33.44/100
- National rank
- #10539
- State rank
- #867 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Ontario
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #435
- US rank
- #14949
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ontario, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 183,440
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,270
- Household income
- $81,762
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3075.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 70% Two or more races 26% White 12% Black 8% Asian 6% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 60%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 44% English-only · Spanish 50% Chinese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -571.87%
- Current HPI
- 456.8173
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.27%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-2.9% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $165,000 CRMLS
- 2026-02-15 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-01-21 Price Changed $175,000 CRMLS
- 2025-09-29 Price Changed $185,000 CRMLS
- 2025-08-15 Listed $195,000 CRMLS
- 2024-07-05 Sold (MLS) $141,500 CRMLS
- 2024-05-15 Pending — CRMLS
- 2024-05-09 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2024-04-24 Listed $169,999 CRMLS
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $630 · +83.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…