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5550 Jefferson Pl
D+ Composite 45.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.6/15.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$285,000

5550 Jefferson Pl · Merrillville, IN 46410
5 bd · 2.5 ba · 3,196 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 127 Days on market
Built 1956 10,454 sqft lot Est $313k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Priced has been reduced by $10,000.00. If you so desire this HOME CAN BE YOURS. .. . This all Brick five bedroom, three bath and newly refinished basement home has all the amenities for a large family. This All Brick Home also has two Fire Places one upstairs and one down, along with several large Cedar Closets and a two car attached garage. Seller will contribute $1000.00 towards buyers closing cost and or pre-paids with an accepted offer. This Home is Priced to sell!!!

Key facts

  • Finished basement
  • Two fireplaces
  • 0.24 acre lot

Tags

FINISHED BASEMENTTWO FIREPLACESMULTIPLE OVERSIZED CLOSETSTWO CAR ATTACHED GARAGESOLID BRICK CONSTRUCTION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $285k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $42 ($504/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (17.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.7% in Merrillville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#50 in IN, #3,393 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, health & safety D-.
  • Merrillville Community School Corporation (suburban): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #240 of 301 in IN (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $140k; list at $285k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $235,023 (17.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.63%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$313,208
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5555 Adams St 0.08mi 4/3.0 (-1) 3,037 (-5%) 12mo $299,999 $99 71
1241 W 56th Ave 0.57mi 4/3.0 (-1) 3,162 (-1%) 3mo $292,000 $92 62
315 W 56th Pl 0.14mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,800 (-12%) 17mo $274,900 $98 52
5375 Delaware St 0.51mi 5/2.5 2,864 (-10%) 10mo $264,000 $92 51
521 E 53rd Ave 0.60mi 4/2.0 (-1) 3,468 (+8%) 6mo $240,000 $69 46
5521 Pierce St 0.50mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,906 (-9%) 10mo $294,900 $101 46
921 W 56th Pl 0.43mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,722 (-15%) 7mo $301,500 $111 43
5330 Georgia St 0.73mi 4/3.5 (-1) 3,071 (-4%) 13mo $359,000 $117 39
1421 W 56th Ave 0.66mi 4/2.5 (-1) 3,627 (+14%) 18mo $322,875 $89 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.2%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-40,936
Equity at exit
$42,494
10-year hold
IRR
-3.9%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-21,408
Equity at exit
$24,642

Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46410

Rents YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
264
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,350 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,495
Tax from tax record
$201 /mo · $2,416/yr
Insurance
$119
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$494
Net cashflow
$42

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,297
Max offer price $285,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,250
Closing costs
$8,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4800 Monroe St Gary, IN 4.0 2.0 2640 $2,000 $0.76 1d 1 0.99mi
621 W 44th Pl Gary, IN 5.0 3.0 2940 $2,200 $0.75 10d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $285,000 Active 127 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $285,000 Active 126 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $285,000 Active 125 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $285,000 Active 124 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $285,000 Active 122 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $285,000 Active 121 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $285,000 Active 118 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $285,000 Active 117 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $285,000 Active 116 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $285,000 Active 113 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $285,000 Active 112 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $285,000 Active 111 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    status $285,000 Active 110 DOM
  14. 2026-04-08
    status Pending
  15. 2025-12-19
    listed $285,000 Active
  16. 2016-12-29
    soldstatus $139,600 475-char remark
    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    Priced has been reduced by $10,000.00. If you so desire this HOME CAN BE YOURS. .. . This all Brick five bedroom, three bath and newly refinished basement home has all the amenities for a large family. This All Brick Home also has two Fire Places one upstairs and one down, along with several large Cedar Closets and a two car attached garage. Seller will contribute $1000.00 towards buyers closing cost and or pre-paids with an accepted offer. This Home is Priced to sell!!!

  17. 2016-10-01
    listed $142,000 475-char remark
    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    Priced has been reduced by $10,000.00. If you so desire this HOME CAN BE YOURS. .. . This all Brick five bedroom, three bath and newly refinished basement home has all the amenities for a large family. This All Brick Home also has two Fire Places one upstairs and one down, along with several large Cedar Closets and a two car attached garage. Seller will contribute $1000.00 towards buyers closing cost and or pre-paids with an accepted offer. This Home is Priced to sell!!!

  18. 2016-09-30
    historical
  19. 2016-04-01
    listed $142,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,416 · $201/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,419 · $202/mo
Expected delta
+$3/yr ($0/mo · 0.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,203
− Mortgage interest
−$15,964
− Property taxes
−$2,416
− Insurance
−$1,425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,256
− Management
−$2,256
− Depreciation
−$8,291
Taxable loss
−$4,406
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,057
After-tax cash flow
$1,562/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Merrillville Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1809690
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$54,401
Composite
25.74/100
National rank
#7375
State rank
#240 of 301 in IN

Livability — Merrillville

Score
76/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#3393

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Merrillville, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
39,243
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
39,243
Household income
$64,127
Rent vs Own
34.0% rent · 66.0% own
Severe rent burden
1644.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 46% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -180.11%
Current HPI
240.8833
Rent YoY
▲ 4.10%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-19 Listed $285,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-12-29 Sold (MLS) $139,600 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-10-01 Listed $142,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-09-30 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-01 Listed $142,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,416 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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