6409 Duquesne Pl · Virginia Beach, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is your opportunity to get an excellent deal on a Virginia Beach Townhome in a very central location within Hampton roads. This home is incredibly spacious and with a little TLC its full potential can truly shine. Call now for a private tour
Key facts
- $64 HOA
- Parking
- Built 1972
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
- Recommended offer: $197k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.5% in Virginia Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#38 in VA, #880 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
- Va Beach City Public School District (urban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #10 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: College Park Elementary (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #742 of 1,108 statewide, top 70%, 484 students, 101% FRL); Tallwood High (math 81% / reading 88%, grade A, #23 of 319 statewide, top 8%, 1,861 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 28% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 666 units permitted in Virginia Beach city in 2024 (347 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Virginia Beach County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.44%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $339,898
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6415 Duquesne Pl | 0.01mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,538 (0%) | 5mo | $251,500 | $164 | 90 |
| 6464 Duquesne Pl | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 | 1,524 (-1%) | 3mo | $275,000 | $180 | 89 |
| 6465 Duquesne Pl | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 | 1,524 (-1%) | 6mo | $286,000 | $188 | 87 |
| 1224 Glyndon Dr | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,582 (+3%) | 2mo | $289,000 | $183 | 73 |
| 1238 Jadens Way | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 | 1,750 (+14%) | 4mo | $393,000 | $225 | 57 |
| 2435 Fieldsway Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 | 1,765 (+15%) | 3mo | $389,900 | $221 | 56 |
| 2449 Fieldsway Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 | 1,750 (+14%) | 4mo | $388,500 | $222 | 56 |
| 2420 Trafton Pl | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 | 1,750 (+14%) | 5mo | $389,000 | $222 | 55 |
| 14 Keswick Cir | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,428 (-7%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $210 | 51 |
| 1048 Bryce Ln | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 | 1,375 (-11%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $222 | 48 |
| 1027 Bryce Ln | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 | 1,375 (-11%) | 6mo | $278,500 | $203 | 44 |
| 1214 Clear Springs Rd | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 | 1,320 (-14%) | 3mo | $305,000 | $231 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.36% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-5,939
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $55,870
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23464
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 225
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,275 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$229 /mo · $2,751/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$64
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$478
- Net cashflow
- $315
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $434 | -5% $375 | +0% $315 | +5% $256 | +10% $197 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $136 | -5% $226 | +0% $315 | +5% $405 | +10% $495 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $421 | -0.5pp $369 | base $315 | +0.5pp $261 | +1.0pp $206 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6442 Duquesne Pl Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1524 | $1,995 | $1.31 | 8d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 6442 Duquesne Pl Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1524 | $1,995 | $1.31 | 11d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 6400 Dillard Pl Unit 1 Virginia Beach, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,395 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1940 Weber Ave Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,995 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2213 Sparrow Rd Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,300 | $1.84 | 17d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2403 Trafton Pl Unit 1 Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1739 | $2,800 | $1.61 | 2d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2416 Trafton Pl Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1750 | $2,800 | $1.60 | 17d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1257 Jadens Way Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1726 | $2,550 | $1.48 | 15d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1221 Clydesdale Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,800 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2502 Fieldsway Dr Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1860 | $2,550 | $1.37 | 15d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1101 Craftsman Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1014 | $1,909 | $1.88 | 3d | 22 | 0.51mi |
| 1712 Weber Ave Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1704 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 8d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 6324 Rockbrook Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 964 | $2,165 | $2.25 | 4d | 20 | 0.54mi |
| 6205 Lippizan Cir Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,200 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 6308 Blakely Sq Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1036 | $2,629 | $2.54 | 3d | 17 | 0.63mi |
| 1321 Drexel Cir Virginia Beach, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1845 | $2,800 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1048 Commonwealth Pl Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1242 | $2,150 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1102 Clear Springs Rd Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1280 | $1,695 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2001 Angora Dr Chesapeake, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1539 | $2,850 | $1.85 | 16d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1924 Woodgate Arch Unit 1 Chesapeake, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1264 | $1,850 | $1.46 | 16d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1924 Woodgate Arch Chesapeake, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1264 | $1,850 | $1.46 | 17d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1424 Hawthorne Dr Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $2,000 | $1.35 | 8d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2008 Fawnwood Cmn Chesapeake, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1131 | $1,950 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 150 Coveside Ln Chesapeake, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1120 | $2,779 | $2.48 | 3d | 29 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $64 · $768/yr
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-07status Under Contract
-
2026-04-01historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-03status Active
-
2026-02-12historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-01-29$210,000 Active
-
2022-10-31soldstatus $235,000
-
2022-10-12status Under Contract
-
2022-09-29historical Active Under Contract
-
2022-09-23$239,000 Active
-
2005-06-29soldstatus $130,000
-
2005-01-12soldstatus $110,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,751 · $229/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,751 · $229/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,302
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$2,751
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,184
- − Management
- −$2,184
- − HOA
- −$768
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable income
- $492
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$118
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,666/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Va Beach City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103840
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,452
- Composite
- 63.81/100
- National rank
- #594
- State rank
- #10 of 131 in VA
Livability — Virginia Beach
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #880
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Virginia Beach, VA
- County
- Virginia Beach City · 448,227 people
- City population
- 448,227
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 75,061
- Household income
- $92,468
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1929.0
Population outlook (Virginia Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 480,401 people
- By 2030
- 491,221 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 504,882 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 508,847 · +5.9%
- By 2075
- 504,831 · +5.1%
- By 2100
- 465,867 · -3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 23% Asian 10% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 5% Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Virginia Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.5 2012: R+2.5 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -271.27%
- Current HPI
- 324.1854
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.36%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+90.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-04-01 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-03-03 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2026-02-12 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-01-29 Listed $210,000 REINMLS
- 2022-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $235,000 Public Records
- 2022-10-12 Pending — REINMLS
- 2022-09-29 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2022-09-23 Listed $239,000 REINMLS
- 2005-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2005-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,751 · +12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…