Multi-family
95 Cannon St · Poughkeepsie, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$350,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
EXCEPTIONAL investment opportunity in the heart of Poughkeepsie! Endless potential awaits within the newly established Poughkeepsie Innovation District (PID-B), offering exciting redevelopment possibilities. This designation may allow for conversion to a larger apartment building of five stories or more. Ideally positioned along the Main Street corridor, the property may also qualify for available grants, incentives, and redevelopment programs - creating a rare opportunity to maximize long-term value and returns. This three-story with additional garden level potential , multi-family property is rich in character and ready for transformation. Featuring a classic mansard roof and original ar
Key facts
- Classic mansard roof
- High ceilings
- Original woodwork
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Electricity connected (Central Hudson); Public sewer
- Home design: Triplex
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Frame construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Galley-style kitchen(s)
- Bedrooms: Three 2-bedroom units
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Formal dining room; Galley kitchen; Original details
- Laundry & utility: Basement (full) — likely utility/laundry space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 7-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $956 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $350k).
- Recommended offer: $340k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.4% in Poughkeepsie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#165 in NY, #2,577 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Poughkeepsie City School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #559 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Gov George Clinton School (math 5% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,825 of 2,108 statewide, top 88%, 222 students, 77% FRL); Poughkeepsie Middle School (math 8% / reading 37%, grade F, #650 of 729 statewide, top 90%, 877 students, 82% FRL); Poughkeepsie High School (math 59% / reading 67%, grade B-, #819 of 1,100 statewide, top 74%, 1,165 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools at 77% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 620 units permitted in Dutchess County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,910/mo this rent would consume 93% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 2891% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dutchess County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $98k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $350k implies a 900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.71%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $843,753
- List price
- $350,000
- Delta
- -58.52%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 286 Mansion St | 0.52mi | 6/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (-2%) | 21mo | $435,000 | $259 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $7,920
- Equity at exit
- $52,186
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $100,759
- Equity at exit
- $30,262
Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12601
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 189
- Price-to-rent
- 17.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,910 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$941 /mo · $11,294/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,031
- Net cashflow
- $956
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,155 | -5% $1,056 | +0% $956 | +5% $857 | +10% $758 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $569 | -5% $763 | +0% $956 | +5% $1,150 | +10% $1,344 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,133 | -0.5pp $1,046 | base $956 | +0.5pp $866 | +1.0pp $774 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 1 | 1 | $4,911 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,637 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,637 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $1,637 |
| Total (3 units) | $4,910 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,500
- Closing costs
- $10,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $350,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $350,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $350,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $350,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $350,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $350,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $350,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $350,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $350,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $350,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $350,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $350,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $350,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $350,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $350,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $350,000 1701-char remark
-
2026-05-01$400,000 Active 1701-char remark
-
1991-07-12soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $11,294 · $941/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,294 · $941/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $58,920
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,605
- − Property taxes
- −$11,294
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,714
- − Management
- −$4,714
- − Depreciation
- −$10,182
- Taxable income
- $6,662
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,599
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,879/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Poughkeepsie City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3623760
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,159
- Composite
- 29.68/100
- National rank
- #6459
- State rank
- #559 of 590 in NY
Livability — Poughkeepsie
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #165
- US rank
- #2577
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Poughkeepsie, NY
- County
- Dutchess County · 188,048 people
- City population
- 86,468
- Metro
- Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,164
- Household income
- $63,652
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2891.0
Population outlook (Dutchess County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 291,768 people
- By 2030
- 287,131 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 274,881 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 259,971 · -10.9%
- By 2075
- 235,366 · -19.3%
- By 2100
- 208,786 · -28.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 17% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dutchess
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.4) · D 52.7% · R 47.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.2pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: 5.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.4 2020: D+9.6 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -210.62%
- Current HPI
- 293.9789
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.67%
- Metro
- Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+900.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $350,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $400,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1991-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.1%/yrLatest (2025): $11,294 · +81.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…