765 Sleepy Hollow Rd · Jamestown, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$37,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Handyman Special! This could be made into a nice cabin or rustic retreat. Conveniently located 10 minutes to Jamestown and close to Parks and recreation. The structure is being sold ''AS IS'' there is currently a water meter on the property and electricity is on. Buyer to verify all info. Nice 1/2-acre lot with circle drive. Bring your hammer and make this your next money maker or hideaway.
Key facts
- 1/2-acre lot
- Circle drive
- Rustic retreat
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $673 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $38k).
- Recommended offer: $36k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.8% vs local median 4.6% in Jamestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#250 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing D, crime F, amenities F.
- Fentress County (rural): math 24% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #91 of 139 in TN (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: South Fentress Elementary School (math 19% / reading 25%, grade F, #601 of 952 statewide, top 66%, 632 students, 0% FRL); Clarkrange High School (math 17% / reading 44%, grade F, #73 of 332 statewide, top 22%, 260 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 65% district-wide (65 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 325 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($259 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Fentress County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 76.96%
- DSCR
- 4.42
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $154,425
- List price
- $37,500
- Delta
- -75.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 152 Northwood Dr | 0.74mi | 2/1.5 | 730 (+14%) | 15mo | $155,000 | $212 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 87.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.03×
- Total profit
- $63,331
- Equity at exit
- $33,783
- IRR
- 81.8%
- Equity multiple
- 15.55×
- Total profit
- $152,807
- Equity at exit
- $72,854
Cash invested: $10,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38556
- Home prices YoY
- 13.5%
- Active inventory
- 325
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,180 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$197
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$47 /mo · $562/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $673
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $699 | -5% $686 | +0% $673 | +5% $660 | +10% $647 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $580 | -5% $627 | +0% $673 | +5% $720 | +10% $767 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $692 | -0.5pp $683 | base $673 | +0.5pp $664 | +1.0pp $654 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,375
- Closing costs
- $1,125
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-17statusdays on market $37,500 Pending 36 DOM
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Handyman Special! This could be made into a nice cabin or rustic retreat. Conveniently located 10 minutes to Jamestown and close to Parks and recreation. The structure is being sold ''AS IS'' there is currently a water meter on the property and electricity is on. Buyer to verify all info. Nice 1/2-acre lot with circle drive. Bring your hammer and make this your next money maker or hideaway.
-
2026-06-17days on market $37,500 Active Under Contract 44 DOM
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Handyman Special! This could be made into a nice cabin or rustic retreat. Conveniently located 10 minutes to Jamestown and close to Parks and recreation. The structure is being sold ''AS IS'' there is currently a water meter on the property and electricity is on. Buyer to verify all info. Nice 1/2-acre lot with circle drive. Bring your hammer and make this your next money maker or hideaway.
-
2026-06-16days on market $37,500 Active Under Contract 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $37,500 Active Under Contract 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $37,500 Active Under Contract 40 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $37,500 Active Under Contract 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $37,500 Active Under Contract 36 DOM
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Handyman Special! This could be made into a nice cabin or rustic retreat. Conveniently located 10 minutes to Jamestown and close to Parks and recreation. The structure is being sold ''AS IS'' there is currently a water meter on the property and electricity is on. Buyer to verify all info. Nice 1/2-acre lot with circle drive. Bring your hammer and make this your next money maker or hideaway.
-
2026-06-08days on market $37,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $37,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $37,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $37,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $37,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $37,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $37,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-04$37,500 Active 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Handyman Special! This could be made into a nice cabin or rustic retreat. Conveniently located 10 minutes to Jamestown and close to Parks and recreation. The structure is being sold ''AS IS'' there is currently a water meter on the property and electricity is on. Buyer to verify all info. Nice 1/2-acre lot with circle drive. Bring your hammer and make this your next money maker or hideaway.
-
2026-05-04$37,500 Active 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Handyman Special! This could be made into a nice cabin or rustic retreat. Conveniently located 10 minutes to Jamestown and close to Parks and recreation. The structure is being sold ''AS IS'' there is currently a water meter on the property and electricity is on. Buyer to verify all info. Nice 1/2-acre lot with circle drive. Bring your hammer and make this your next money maker or hideaway.
-
2026-05-04$37,500 Active
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Handyman Special! This could be made into a nice cabin or rustic retreat. Conveniently located 10 minutes to Jamestown and close to Parks and recreation. The structure is being sold ''AS IS'' there is currently a water meter on the property and electricity is on. Buyer to verify all info. Nice 1/2-acre lot with circle drive. Bring your hammer and make this your next money maker or hideaway.
-
2025-03-24historical
-
2025-03-24historical
-
2025-02-27price $39,900
-
2025-02-27price $39,900
-
2025-02-27price $39,900
-
2025-02-10price $45,000
-
2025-02-10price $45,000
-
2025-02-10price $45,000
-
2025-01-30$49,000 Active
-
2025-01-30$49,000 Active
-
2020-05-22soldstatus $25,000
-
2013-12-05soldstatus $18,561
-
1995-03-28soldstatus $9,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,166
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,101
- − Property taxes
- −$562
- − Insurance
- −$188
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,133
- − Management
- −$1,133
- − Depreciation
- −$1,091
- Taxable income
- $7,958
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,910
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,171/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fentress County
- NCES district ID
- 4701230
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,419
- Composite
- 20.6/100
- National rank
- #8552
- State rank
- #91 of 139 in TN
Livability — Jamestown
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #250
- US rank
- #17976
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,531
Population outlook (Fentress County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,295 people
- By 2030
- 16,749 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 15,443 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 14,077 · -18.6%
- By 2075
- 11,482 · -33.6%
- By 2100
- 9,658 · -44.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fentress
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+75.8) · D 11.8% · R 87.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.9pp toward R · 2008: -43.9pp · 2024: -75.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+75.8 2020: R+71.3 2016: R+67.5 2012: R+53.4 2008: R+43.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 44.31%
- Current HPI
- 372.5676
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+316.7% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Sold (MLS) $37,500 Knoxville MLS
- 2026-06-17 Sold (MLS) $37,500 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-09 Contingent — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-09 Contingent — Knoxville MLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $37,500 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Listed $37,500 Knoxville MLS
- 2025-03-24 Listing Removed — Knoxville MLS
- 2025-03-24 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-27 Price Changed $39,900 UCMLS
- 2025-02-27 Price Changed $39,900 Knoxville MLS
- 2025-02-27 Price Changed $39,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-10 Price Changed $45,000 Knoxville MLS
- 2025-02-10 Price Changed $45,000 UCMLS
- 2025-02-10 Price Changed $45,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-30 Listed $49,000 Knoxville MLS
- 2025-01-30 Listed $49,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2013-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $18,561 Public Records
- 1995-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $45 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…