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2522 Larkspur Ln
D Composite 42.09
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,000

2522 Larkspur Ln · Rowlett, TX 75089
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,656 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1987 7,623 sqft lot $150/sqft · 23% below area Est $325k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Financing fell through back on market! What a deal! Great starter home with excellent floorplan, feels large with open kitchen to living area, roof only 3 years old, nice wood like floors in living and tile in master bathroom. HUge master bedroom and dual vanity with sitting area, seperate shower and garden tub.

Key facts

  • 7,623 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1987

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: No second mortgage; Loan treated as clear
  • HOA & community: No HOA / association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage with approximately 19' x 19' dimensions; Concrete parking features
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; No municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Attached property; One-story; Built in 1987
  • Construction: Year built: 1987
  • Exterior features: Lot under 0.5 acre (approximately 0.175 acre); Subdivision: Flower Hill Add 03

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Garbage disposal; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom includes a garden tub and separate vanities
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Pantry; One living area; One dining area; Total of 5 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-245 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (17.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (7.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $206k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.1% in Rowlett — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#147 in TX, #4,150 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Garland ISD (suburban): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #553 of 826 in TX (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Daugherty El (math 22% / reading 29%, grade F, #2,982 of 4,322 statewide, top 70%, 810 students, 94% FRL); B G Hudson Middle (math 33% / reading 42%, grade F, #736 of 1,662 statewide, top 45%, 1,207 students, 50% FRL); Sachse H S (math 46% / reading 53%, grade D, #509 of 1,632 statewide, top 34%, 2,997 students, 43% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 324 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($245k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $205,636 (17.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
5.11%
Cash-on-cash
-4.22%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$325,260
List price
$249,000
Delta
-23.45%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2520 Dandelion Ln 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,674 (+1%) 2mo $324,900 $194 81
6602 Gardenia Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,754 (+6%) 1mo $299,000 $170 75
2601 Daisy Ln 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,423 (-14%) 0mo $324,900 $228 72
2519 Larkspur Ln 0.03mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,864 (+13%) 1mo $339,000 $182 72
6114 Madison Ave 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,755 (+6%) 0mo $325,000 $185 70
3506 Lily Ln 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,796 (+8%) 2mo $369,000 $205 68
3604 Lily Ln 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,474 (-11%) 1mo $298,400 $202 63
3214 Cedar Ln 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,512 (-9%) 1mo $299,900 $198 63
6017 Mimosa Ln 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,427 (-14%) 2mo $249,900 $175 60
3511 Jasmine Ln 0.39mi 3/2.5 1,841 (+11%) 2mo $335,000 $182 60
5414 Cypress Dr 0.70mi 3/2.5 1,776 (+7%) 2mo $385,000 $217 52
1714 Northampton Dr 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,447 (-13%) 1mo $310,000 $214 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.0%
Equity multiple
0.23×
Total profit
$-53,456
Equity at exit
$37,127
10-year hold
IRR
-13.0%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-56,135
Equity at exit
$21,529

Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75089

Home prices YoY
-6.4%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
324
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,311 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,306
Tax from tax record
$661 /mo · $7,936/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$485
Net cashflow
$-245

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,621
Max offer price $205,636
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-105 -5% $-175 +0% $-245 +5% $-316 +10% $-386
Rent -10% $-428 -5% $-337 +0% $-245 +5% $-154 +10% $-63
Rate -1.0pp $-120 -0.5pp $-182 base $-245 +0.5pp $-310 +1.0pp $-376

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,250
Closing costs
$7,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2612 Larkspur Ln Rowlett, TX 4.0 2.0 1851 $2,175 $1.18 26d 1 0.05mi
2700 Larkspur Ln Rowlett, TX 4.0 2.0 1347 $2,150 $1.60 7d 1 0.12mi
6310 Azalea Dr Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1733 $2,700 $1.56 26d 1 0.15mi
2522 Primrose Ln Rowlett, TX 4.0 2.5 2128 $2,800 $1.32 45d 1 0.15mi
3416 Lilac Ln Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1754 $1,995 $1.14 26d 1 0.20mi
6608 Buckeye Dr Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1624 $2,050 $1.26 45d 1 0.21mi
2621 Primrose Ln Rowlett, TX 4.0 2.0 1806 $2,300 $1.27 3d 1 0.23mi
6405 Rosebud Dr Unit NA Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1850 $2,400 $1.30 4d 1 0.26mi
6205 Magnolia Ln Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1860 $2,250 $1.21 9d 1 0.29mi
6403 Redwood Ln Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1306 $1,685 $1.29 19d 1 0.29mi
6403 Redwood Ln Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1306 $1,751 $1.34 26d 1 0.29mi
2618 Trumpet Dr Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1655 $2,150 $1.30 26d 1 0.30mi
6221 Pine St Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1594 $1,950 $1.22 16d 1 0.37mi
6216 Locust St Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1110 $1,950 $1.76 16d 1 0.38mi
6216 Locust St Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1110 $2,095 $1.89 9d 1 0.38mi
6013 Cedar Ln Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1406 $2,300 $1.64 26d 1 0.39mi
6012 Cedar Ln Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1422 $2,250 $1.58 9d 1 0.40mi
5801 Redwood Ln Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1504 $1,999 $1.33 6d 1 0.47mi
6018 Madison Ave Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1866 $2,250 $1.21 26d 1 0.51mi
3416 Tulip Ln Rowlett, TX 4.0 2.0 1834 $2,419 $1.32 26d 1 0.54mi
5702 Magnolia Ln Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1416 $1,760 $1.24 22d 1 0.59mi
5702 Magnolia Ln Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1416 $1,911 $1.35 26d 1 0.59mi
5602 Magnolia Ln Rowlett, TX 4.0 2.0 2058 $2,400 $1.17 45d 1 0.65mi
5509 Cypress Dr Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1447 $2,450 $1.69 45d 1 0.67mi
5906 Independence Ct Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 2234 $2,600 $1.16 22d 1 0.70mi
3410 Maple Ln Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1340 $2,250 $1.68 45d 1 0.70mi
2306 Lucerne Dr Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 2081 $2,600 $1.25 45d 1 0.71mi
5418 Cypress Dr Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1404 $2,300 $1.64 12d 1 0.72mi
5809 Petunia Ln Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1910 $3,000 $1.57 45d 1 0.82mi
6325 Wildhaven Dr Unit 1019573P Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1345 $7,483 $5.56 0d 1 0.93mi
6325 Wildhaven Dr Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1350 $7,500 $5.56 45d 1 0.93mi
1409 Post Oak Dr Rowlett, TX 4.0 2.0 1678 $2,350 $1.40 45d 1 1.00mi
1309 Brookfield Dr Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1386 $2,500 $1.80 22d 1 1.00mi
3601 Melcer Dr Rowlett, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 849 $2,006 $2.36 0d 28 1.04mi
3913 Hickox Rd Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.0 1647 $3,000 $1.82 5d 1 1.14mi
1600 Firewheel Pkwy Garland, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1052 $3,095 $2.94 0d 33 1.22mi
4500 Southridge Dr Rowlett, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 941 $2,119 $2.25 0d 30 1.35mi
8903 Cave Springs Mews Rowlett, TX 3.0 2.5 1605 $2,500 $1.56 45d 1 1.35mi
9032 Prairie Path Unit 3318 Rowlett, TX 4.0 2.5 1917 $2,995 $1.56 16d 1 1.36mi
9032 Prairie Path Unit 3311 Rowlett, TX 4.0 2.5 1917 $3,020 $1.58 16d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    price $249,000
  2. 2026-04-29
    listed $288,000 Active
  3. 2026-04-24
    listed $269,000 Active
  4. 2026-04-24
    historical
  5. 2013-06-25
    soldstatus
  6. 2012-08-13
    soldstatus
  7. 2012-08-08
    soldstatus Closed
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Financing fell through back on market! What a deal! Great starter home with excellent floorplan, feels large with open kitchen to living area, roof only 3 years old, nice wood like floors in living and tile in master bathroom. HUge master bedroom and dual vanity with sitting area, seperate shower and garden tub.

  8. 2012-08-01
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Financing fell through back on market! What a deal! Great starter home with excellent floorplan, feels large with open kitchen to living area, roof only 3 years old, nice wood like floors in living and tile in master bathroom. HUge master bedroom and dual vanity with sitting area, seperate shower and garden tub.

  9. 2012-07-26
    historical Active Option Contract
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Financing fell through back on market! What a deal! Great starter home with excellent floorplan, feels large with open kitchen to living area, roof only 3 years old, nice wood like floors in living and tile in master bathroom. HUge master bedroom and dual vanity with sitting area, seperate shower and garden tub.

  10. 2012-06-22
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Financing fell through back on market! What a deal! Great starter home with excellent floorplan, feels large with open kitchen to living area, roof only 3 years old, nice wood like floors in living and tile in master bathroom. HUge master bedroom and dual vanity with sitting area, seperate shower and garden tub.

  11. 2012-05-26
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Financing fell through back on market! What a deal! Great starter home with excellent floorplan, feels large with open kitchen to living area, roof only 3 years old, nice wood like floors in living and tile in master bathroom. HUge master bedroom and dual vanity with sitting area, seperate shower and garden tub.

  12. 2012-05-10
    historical Active Option Contract
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Financing fell through back on market! What a deal! Great starter home with excellent floorplan, feels large with open kitchen to living area, roof only 3 years old, nice wood like floors in living and tile in master bathroom. HUge master bedroom and dual vanity with sitting area, seperate shower and garden tub.

  13. 2012-04-01
    listed $116,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Financing fell through back on market! What a deal! Great starter home with excellent floorplan, feels large with open kitchen to living area, roof only 3 years old, nice wood like floors in living and tile in master bathroom. HUge master bedroom and dual vanity with sitting area, seperate shower and garden tub.

  14. 2009-04-20
    soldstatus
  15. 2009-04-05
    soldstatus
  16. 2009-03-24
    historical
  17. 2009-03-10
    listed $90,000
  18. 1995-10-24
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,936 · $661/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,936 · $661/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,728
− Mortgage interest
−$13,948
− Property taxes
−$7,936
− Insurance
−$1,245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,218
− Management
−$2,218
− Depreciation
−$7,244
Taxable loss
−$7,081
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,700
After-tax cash flow
$-1,246/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Garland ISD
NCES district ID
4820340
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$58,392
Composite
28.63/100
National rank
#6706
State rank
#553 of 826 in TX

Livability — Rowlett

Score
75/100
State rank
#147
US rank
#4150

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rowlett, TX
County
Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
City population
35,619
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
35,619
Household income
$118,318
Rent vs Own
24.1% rent · 75.9% own
Severe rent burden
712.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,979,839 people
By 2030
3,191,823 · +7.1%
By 2040
3,619,611 · +21.5%
By 2050
4,026,915 · +35.1%
By 2075
4,957,073 · +66.4%
By 2100
5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
White 39% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% Asian 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 16% Vietnamese 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -19.16%
Current HPI
278.507
Rent YoY
▲ 3.97%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+176.7% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-05-22 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $249,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $288,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-24 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $269,000 NTREIS
  • 2013-06-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2012-08-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2012-08-08 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2012-08-01 Pending NTREIS
  • 2012-07-26 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2012-06-22 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2012-05-26 Pending NTREIS
  • 2012-05-10 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2012-04-01 Listed $116,900 NTREIS
  • 2009-04-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-04-05 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2009-03-24 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2009-03-10 Listed $90,000 NTREIS
  • 1995-10-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,936 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…