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17 Spencer St
A Composite 85.77
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$110,000

17 Spencer St · Lyons, NY 14489
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,219 sqft · Townhouse public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1848 3,920 sqft lot $50/sqft · 17% below area Est $133k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Introducing 17 Spencer St. OPPORTUNITY is KNOCKING on this 2 unit duplex that is perfect for an owner occupant with potential rental income or for investors seeking a well-maintained, income-generating property. Located on a quiet Street with off street parking and a detached 1 car garage. Each unit offers 1 bed/1 full bath with a second room ideal for an office or possible bedroom. Both units offer large eat in kitchens with ample storage along with spacious living rooms. Roof-2003, Furnaces-2012, HWT-2011, Central Air- Upper unit, Some newer windows, outside doors and newer appliances. Please note that all appointments Thursday-Monday require a 24-hour notice, and the upstairs unit is currently tenant occupied (month to month) Tenant would like to stay. List of Home Improvements in the attachments. Delayed Showings -Thursday 9/21 @10AM and Delayed offers due, Tuesday 9/26 @12PM. Don't miss the chance to make this duplex your own.

Key facts

  • Separate utilities
  • Off street parking
  • 2 unit duplex

Tags

2 UNIT DUPLEXSEPARATE LAUNDRY HOOKUPSSEPARATE UTILITIESOFF STREET PARKINGDETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two total units; Two separate gas meters; Two separate electric meters
  • Financial info: Owner pays water; Rent includes water; Operating expenses may include accounting, insurance, legal, licenses, maintenance (structure), maintenance, water/sewer

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage; Paved parking with two or more spaces; Common parking
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; Circuit breaker electrical
  • Home design: 2-story property; Residential 2-unit zoning
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Copper plumbing; Asphalt shingle roof; Stone foundation; Existing construction
  • Exterior features: Deck; Fence; Covered porch; Open porch

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Storm windows; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $396 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#270 in NY, #4,307 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
  • Lyons Central School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #549 of 590 in NY (top 93%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 259 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $92k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1848 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1848 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
10.61%
Cash-on-cash
15.41%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$133,076
List price
$110,000
Delta
-17.34%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.7%
Equity multiple
3.77×
Total profit
$85,177
Equity at exit
$99,097
10-year hold
IRR
30.8%
Equity multiple
8.51×
Total profit
$231,174
Equity at exit
$213,706

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14489

Home prices YoY
14.2%
Active inventory
27
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,572 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$223 /mo · $2,680/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$330
Net cashflow
$396

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,071
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $458 -5% $427 +0% $396 +5% $364 +10% $333
Rent -10% $271 -5% $333 +0% $396 +5% $458 +10% $520
Rate -1.0pp $451 -0.5pp $424 base $396 +0.5pp $367 +1.0pp $338

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 1098-char remark
  2. 2026-05-01
    listed $110,000 Active 1098-char remark
  3. 2024-03-14
    historical $950
  4. 2024-01-18
    listed $950
  5. 2023-11-30
    soldstatus $91,500
  6. 2023-11-28
    soldstatus $91,500 Closed Sale or Rented 945-char remark
    Show marketing remark (945 chars)

    Introducing 17 Spencer St. OPPORTUNITY is KNOCKING on this 2 unit duplex that is perfect for an owner occupant with potential rental income or for investors seeking a well-maintained, income-generating property. Located on a quiet Street with off street parking and a detached 1 car garage. Each unit offers 1 bed/1 full bath with a second room ideal for an office or possible bedroom. Both units offer large eat in kitchens with ample storage along with spacious living rooms. Roof-2003, Furnaces-2012, HWT-2011, Central Air- Upper unit, Some newer windows, outside doors and newer appliances. Please note that all appointments Thursday-Monday require a 24-hour notice, and the upstairs unit is currently tenant occupied (month to month) Tenant would like to stay. List of Home Improvements in the attachments. Delayed Showings -Thursday 9/21 @10AM and Delayed offers due, Tuesday 9/26 @12PM. Don't miss the chance to make this duplex your own.

  7. 2023-09-28
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 945-char remark
    Show marketing remark (945 chars)

    Introducing 17 Spencer St. OPPORTUNITY is KNOCKING on this 2 unit duplex that is perfect for an owner occupant with potential rental income or for investors seeking a well-maintained, income-generating property. Located on a quiet Street with off street parking and a detached 1 car garage. Each unit offers 1 bed/1 full bath with a second room ideal for an office or possible bedroom. Both units offer large eat in kitchens with ample storage along with spacious living rooms. Roof-2003, Furnaces-2012, HWT-2011, Central Air- Upper unit, Some newer windows, outside doors and newer appliances. Please note that all appointments Thursday-Monday require a 24-hour notice, and the upstairs unit is currently tenant occupied (month to month) Tenant would like to stay. List of Home Improvements in the attachments. Delayed Showings -Thursday 9/21 @10AM and Delayed offers due, Tuesday 9/26 @12PM. Don't miss the chance to make this duplex your own.

  8. 2023-09-20
    listed $89,900 Active 945-char remark
    Show marketing remark (945 chars)

    Introducing 17 Spencer St. OPPORTUNITY is KNOCKING on this 2 unit duplex that is perfect for an owner occupant with potential rental income or for investors seeking a well-maintained, income-generating property. Located on a quiet Street with off street parking and a detached 1 car garage. Each unit offers 1 bed/1 full bath with a second room ideal for an office or possible bedroom. Both units offer large eat in kitchens with ample storage along with spacious living rooms. Roof-2003, Furnaces-2012, HWT-2011, Central Air- Upper unit, Some newer windows, outside doors and newer appliances. Please note that all appointments Thursday-Monday require a 24-hour notice, and the upstairs unit is currently tenant occupied (month to month) Tenant would like to stay. List of Home Improvements in the attachments. Delayed Showings -Thursday 9/21 @10AM and Delayed offers due, Tuesday 9/26 @12PM. Don't miss the chance to make this duplex your own.

  9. 1999-09-03
    soldstatus $46,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,680 · $223/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,680 · $223/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,859
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$2,680
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,509
− Management
−$1,509
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$3,250
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$780
After-tax cash flow
$3,966/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lyons Central School District
NCES district ID
3618030
Math proficiency
33% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -28.00%
Median HH income
$43,076
Composite
31.73/100
National rank
#5909
State rank
#549 of 590 in NY

Livability — Lyons

Score
75/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#4307

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B- Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lyons, NY
Population (ZIP)
7,016

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
85,662 people
By 2030
81,945 · -4.3%
By 2040
73,735 · -13.9%
By 2050
65,029 · -24.1%
By 2075
47,451 · -44.6%
By 2100
31,574 · -63.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Iranian 8% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · German/W. Germanic 7% Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.1) · D 38.5% · R 61.5%
2008→2024 swing
-13.2pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -23.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.1 2020: R+19.6 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+9.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 38.65%
Current HPI
311.1445
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+139.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $110,000 UNYREIS
  • 2024-03-14 Rental Removed $950 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-01-18 Listed for Rent $950 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $91,500 Public Records
  • 2023-11-28 Sold (MLS) $91,500 UNYREIS
  • 2023-09-28 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2023-09-20 Listed $89,900 UNYREIS
  • 1999-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,680 · -4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…