17 Spencer St · Lyons, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Introducing 17 Spencer St. OPPORTUNITY is KNOCKING on this 2 unit duplex that is perfect for an owner occupant with potential rental income or for investors seeking a well-maintained, income-generating property. Located on a quiet Street with off street parking and a detached 1 car garage. Each unit offers 1 bed/1 full bath with a second room ideal for an office or possible bedroom. Both units offer large eat in kitchens with ample storage along with spacious living rooms. Roof-2003, Furnaces-2012, HWT-2011, Central Air- Upper unit, Some newer windows, outside doors and newer appliances. Please note that all appointments Thursday-Monday require a 24-hour notice, and the upstairs unit is currently tenant occupied (month to month) Tenant would like to stay. List of Home Improvements in the attachments. Delayed Showings -Thursday 9/21 @10AM and Delayed offers due, Tuesday 9/26 @12PM. Don't miss the chance to make this duplex your own.
Key facts
- Separate utilities
- Off street parking
- 2 unit duplex
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two total units; Two separate gas meters; Two separate electric meters
- Financial info: Owner pays water; Rent includes water; Operating expenses may include accounting, insurance, legal, licenses, maintenance (structure), maintenance, water/sewer
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage; Paved parking with two or more spaces; Common parking
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; Circuit breaker electrical
- Home design: 2-story property; Residential 2-unit zoning
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Copper plumbing; Asphalt shingle roof; Stone foundation; Existing construction
- Exterior features: Deck; Fence; Covered porch; Open porch
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Storm windows; Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $396 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#270 in NY, #4,307 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
- Lyons Central School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #549 of 590 in NY (top 93%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 259 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $92k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1848 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1848 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.41%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $133,076
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -17.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.77×
- Total profit
- $85,177
- Equity at exit
- $99,097
- IRR
- 30.8%
- Equity multiple
- 8.51×
- Total profit
- $231,174
- Equity at exit
- $213,706
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14489
- Home prices YoY
- 14.2%
- Active inventory
- 27
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,572 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$223 /mo · $2,680/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $396
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $458 | -5% $427 | +0% $396 | +5% $364 | +10% $333 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $271 | -5% $333 | +0% $396 | +5% $458 | +10% $520 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $451 | -0.5pp $424 | base $396 | +0.5pp $367 | +1.0pp $338 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending 1098-char remark
-
2026-05-01$110,000 Active 1098-char remark
-
2024-03-14historical $950
-
2024-01-18$950
-
2023-11-30soldstatus $91,500
-
2023-11-28soldstatus $91,500 Closed Sale or Rented 945-char remark
Show marketing remark (945 chars)
Introducing 17 Spencer St. OPPORTUNITY is KNOCKING on this 2 unit duplex that is perfect for an owner occupant with potential rental income or for investors seeking a well-maintained, income-generating property. Located on a quiet Street with off street parking and a detached 1 car garage. Each unit offers 1 bed/1 full bath with a second room ideal for an office or possible bedroom. Both units offer large eat in kitchens with ample storage along with spacious living rooms. Roof-2003, Furnaces-2012, HWT-2011, Central Air- Upper unit, Some newer windows, outside doors and newer appliances. Please note that all appointments Thursday-Monday require a 24-hour notice, and the upstairs unit is currently tenant occupied (month to month) Tenant would like to stay. List of Home Improvements in the attachments. Delayed Showings -Thursday 9/21 @10AM and Delayed offers due, Tuesday 9/26 @12PM. Don't miss the chance to make this duplex your own.
-
2023-09-28status Under Contract- Do Not Show 945-char remark
Show marketing remark (945 chars)
Introducing 17 Spencer St. OPPORTUNITY is KNOCKING on this 2 unit duplex that is perfect for an owner occupant with potential rental income or for investors seeking a well-maintained, income-generating property. Located on a quiet Street with off street parking and a detached 1 car garage. Each unit offers 1 bed/1 full bath with a second room ideal for an office or possible bedroom. Both units offer large eat in kitchens with ample storage along with spacious living rooms. Roof-2003, Furnaces-2012, HWT-2011, Central Air- Upper unit, Some newer windows, outside doors and newer appliances. Please note that all appointments Thursday-Monday require a 24-hour notice, and the upstairs unit is currently tenant occupied (month to month) Tenant would like to stay. List of Home Improvements in the attachments. Delayed Showings -Thursday 9/21 @10AM and Delayed offers due, Tuesday 9/26 @12PM. Don't miss the chance to make this duplex your own.
-
2023-09-20$89,900 Active 945-char remark
Show marketing remark (945 chars)
Introducing 17 Spencer St. OPPORTUNITY is KNOCKING on this 2 unit duplex that is perfect for an owner occupant with potential rental income or for investors seeking a well-maintained, income-generating property. Located on a quiet Street with off street parking and a detached 1 car garage. Each unit offers 1 bed/1 full bath with a second room ideal for an office or possible bedroom. Both units offer large eat in kitchens with ample storage along with spacious living rooms. Roof-2003, Furnaces-2012, HWT-2011, Central Air- Upper unit, Some newer windows, outside doors and newer appliances. Please note that all appointments Thursday-Monday require a 24-hour notice, and the upstairs unit is currently tenant occupied (month to month) Tenant would like to stay. List of Home Improvements in the attachments. Delayed Showings -Thursday 9/21 @10AM and Delayed offers due, Tuesday 9/26 @12PM. Don't miss the chance to make this duplex your own.
-
1999-09-03soldstatus $46,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,680 · $223/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,680 · $223/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,859
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$2,680
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,509
- − Management
- −$1,509
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $3,250
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$780
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,966/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lyons Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3618030
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -28.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,076
- Composite
- 31.73/100
- National rank
- #5909
- State rank
- #549 of 590 in NY
Livability — Lyons
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #4307
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lyons, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,016
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 85,662 people
- By 2030
- 81,945 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 73,735 · -13.9%
- By 2050
- 65,029 · -24.1%
- By 2075
- 47,451 · -44.6%
- By 2100
- 31,574 · -63.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 8% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · German/W. Germanic 7% Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.1) · D 38.5% · R 61.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.2pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.1 2020: R+19.6 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+9.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 38.65%
- Current HPI
- 311.1445
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+139.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $110,000 UNYREIS
- 2024-03-14 Rental Removed $950 APPFOLIO
- 2024-01-18 Listed for Rent $950 APPFOLIO
- 2023-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $91,500 Public Records
- 2023-11-28 Sold (MLS) $91,500 UNYREIS
- 2023-09-28 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2023-09-20 Listed $89,900 UNYREIS
- 1999-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,680 · -4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…