2024 Apple Hill Rd · Traverse City, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- Cash flow +9.2/30.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$244,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Darling ranch located just ten minutes from downtown Traverse City, public beaches, restaurants, a ski resort and so much more! This main level living two bedroom home has an additional small room off of the mudroom/laundry room that would make a great office or storage space! Spacious kitchen with a nostalgic wall full of built-ins leads to a nice dining room and living room full of light. Sitting on nearly 3/4 of an acre with a large fenced in backyard accessible from an oversized one car garage.
Key facts
- Main level living
- Spacious kitchen
- Built-ins
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-185 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (13.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (29.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $174k (29.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 1.1% in Traverse City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 91/100 on livability (#4 in MI, #46 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Traverse City Area Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #94 of 540 in MI (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Tcaps Montessori School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #276 of 1,397 statewide, top 22%, 307 students, 26% FRL); East Middle School (math 45% / reading 55%, grade C, #117 of 493 statewide, top 25%, 786 students, 38% FRL); Central High School (math 52% / reading 72%, grade B-, #58 of 713 statewide, top 9%, 1,387 students, 29% FRL) — zoned schools at 31% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 330 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 883 units permitted in Grand Traverse County in 2024 (501 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grand Traverse County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 172 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 172 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.23%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 11.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $271,469
- List price
- $244,900
- Delta
- -9.79%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-56,593
- Equity at exit
- $36,515
- IRR
- -31.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.23×
- Total profit
- $-84,343
- Equity at exit
- $21,174
Cash invested: $68,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49686
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 330
- Price-to-rent
- 11.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,739 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,284
- Tax from tax record
- −$172 /mo · $2,066/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$365
- Net cashflow
- $-185
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-46 | -5% $-115 | +0% $-185 | +5% $-254 | +10% $-323 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-322 | -5% $-253 | +0% $-185 | +5% $-116 | +10% $-47 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-61 | -0.5pp $-122 | base $-185 | +0.5pp $-248 | +1.0pp $-313 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,225
- Closing costs
- $7,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3761 N Four Mile Rd Traverse City, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $1,850 | $1.65 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
Listing history 45 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $244,900 Active 172 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $244,900 Active 171 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $244,900 Active 169 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $244,900 Active 168 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $244,900 Active 167 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $244,900 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $244,900 Active 165 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $244,900 Active 163 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $244,900 Active 162 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $244,900 Active 159 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $244,900 Active 158 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $244,900 Active 157 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $244,900 Active 153 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $244,900 Active 152 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $244,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $244,900 Active 150 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $244,900 Active 149 DOM
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2026-04-28status Active 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Darling ranch located just ten minutes from downtown Traverse City, public beaches, restaurants, a ski resort and so much more! This main level living two bedroom home has an additional small room off of the mudroom/laundry room that would make a great office or storage space! Spacious kitchen with a nostalgic wall full of built-ins leads to a nice dining room and living room full of light. Sitting on nearly 3/4 of an acre with a large fenced in backyard accessible from an oversized one car garage.
-
2026-04-28status Back on Market 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Darling ranch located just ten minutes from downtown Traverse City, public beaches, restaurants, a ski resort and so much more! This main level living two bedroom home has an additional small room off of the mudroom/laundry room that would make a great office or storage space! Spacious kitchen with a nostalgic wall full of built-ins leads to a nice dining room and living room full of light. Sitting on nearly 3/4 of an acre with a large fenced in backyard accessible from an oversized one car garage.
-
2026-04-21status Pending 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Darling ranch located just ten minutes from downtown Traverse City, public beaches, restaurants, a ski resort and so much more! This main level living two bedroom home has an additional small room off of the mudroom/laundry room that would make a great office or storage space! Spacious kitchen with a nostalgic wall full of built-ins leads to a nice dining room and living room full of light. Sitting on nearly 3/4 of an acre with a large fenced in backyard accessible from an oversized one car garage.
-
2026-04-21status Pending 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Darling ranch located just ten minutes from downtown Traverse City, public beaches, restaurants, a ski resort and so much more! This main level living two bedroom home has an additional small room off of the mudroom/laundry room that would make a great office or storage space! Spacious kitchen with a nostalgic wall full of built-ins leads to a nice dining room and living room full of light. Sitting on nearly 3/4 of an acre with a large fenced in backyard accessible from an oversized one car garage.
-
2026-02-10price $244,900 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Darling ranch located just ten minutes from downtown Traverse City, public beaches, restaurants, a ski resort and so much more! This main level living two bedroom home has an additional small room off of the mudroom/laundry room that would make a great office or storage space! Spacious kitchen with a nostalgic wall full of built-ins leads to a nice dining room and living room full of light. Sitting on nearly 3/4 of an acre with a large fenced in backyard accessible from an oversized one car garage.
-
2026-02-10price $244,900 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Darling ranch located just ten minutes from downtown Traverse City, public beaches, restaurants, a ski resort and so much more! This main level living two bedroom home has an additional small room off of the mudroom/laundry room that would make a great office or storage space! Spacious kitchen with a nostalgic wall full of built-ins leads to a nice dining room and living room full of light. Sitting on nearly 3/4 of an acre with a large fenced in backyard accessible from an oversized one car garage.
-
2026-01-15status Active 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Darling ranch located just ten minutes from downtown Traverse City, public beaches, restaurants, a ski resort and so much more! This main level living two bedroom home has an additional small room off of the mudroom/laundry room that would make a great office or storage space! Spacious kitchen with a nostalgic wall full of built-ins leads to a nice dining room and living room full of light. Sitting on nearly 3/4 of an acre with a large fenced in backyard accessible from an oversized one car garage.
-
2026-01-15status Back on Market 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Darling ranch located just ten minutes from downtown Traverse City, public beaches, restaurants, a ski resort and so much more! This main level living two bedroom home has an additional small room off of the mudroom/laundry room that would make a great office or storage space! Spacious kitchen with a nostalgic wall full of built-ins leads to a nice dining room and living room full of light. Sitting on nearly 3/4 of an acre with a large fenced in backyard accessible from an oversized one car garage.
-
2026-01-07status Pending 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Darling ranch located just ten minutes from downtown Traverse City, public beaches, restaurants, a ski resort and so much more! This main level living two bedroom home has an additional small room off of the mudroom/laundry room that would make a great office or storage space! Spacious kitchen with a nostalgic wall full of built-ins leads to a nice dining room and living room full of light. Sitting on nearly 3/4 of an acre with a large fenced in backyard accessible from an oversized one car garage.
-
2026-01-07status Pending 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Darling ranch located just ten minutes from downtown Traverse City, public beaches, restaurants, a ski resort and so much more! This main level living two bedroom home has an additional small room off of the mudroom/laundry room that would make a great office or storage space! Spacious kitchen with a nostalgic wall full of built-ins leads to a nice dining room and living room full of light. Sitting on nearly 3/4 of an acre with a large fenced in backyard accessible from an oversized one car garage.
-
2025-12-18$249,900 Active 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Darling ranch located just ten minutes from downtown Traverse City, public beaches, restaurants, a ski resort and so much more! This main level living two bedroom home has an additional small room off of the mudroom/laundry room that would make a great office or storage space! Spacious kitchen with a nostalgic wall full of built-ins leads to a nice dining room and living room full of light. Sitting on nearly 3/4 of an acre with a large fenced in backyard accessible from an oversized one car garage.
-
2025-12-18$249,900 Active 503-char remark
Show marketing remark (503 chars)
Darling ranch located just ten minutes from downtown Traverse City, public beaches, restaurants, a ski resort and so much more! This main level living two bedroom home has an additional small room off of the mudroom/laundry room that would make a great office or storage space! Spacious kitchen with a nostalgic wall full of built-ins leads to a nice dining room and living room full of light. Sitting on nearly 3/4 of an acre with a large fenced in backyard accessible from an oversized one car garage.
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2022-10-18soldstatus $230,000
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2022-10-18soldstatus $230,000
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2022-10-18soldstatus $230,000
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2022-09-16$225,000
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2022-09-16$225,000
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2016-10-31soldstatus $112,000
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2016-10-31soldstatus $112,000
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2016-09-12$119,900
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2016-09-12$119,900
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2014-08-22historical
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2014-06-05$89,900
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2013-10-11historical
-
2013-07-11$105,000
-
2011-10-07soldstatus $42,000
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2011-10-07soldstatus $42,000
-
2010-06-23$49,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,066 · $172/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,919 · $243/mo
- Expected delta
- +$853/yr (+$71/mo · 41.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,869
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,718
- − Property taxes
- −$2,066
- − Insurance
- −$1,224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,670
- − Management
- −$1,670
- − Depreciation
- −$7,124
- Taxable loss
- −$6,603
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,585
- After-tax cash flow
- $-630/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Traverse City Area Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2633870
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,645
- Composite
- 43.51/100
- National rank
- #2990
- State rank
- #94 of 540 in MI
Livability — Traverse City
- Score
- 91/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #46
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Grand Traverse County · 47,077 people
- City population
- 47,077
- Metro
- Traverse City, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,492
- Household income
- $71,609
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 676.0
Population outlook (Grand Traverse County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,241 people
- By 2030
- 107,172 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 115,676 · +13.1%
- By 2050
- 122,377 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 136,554 · +33.6%
- By 2100
- 137,871 · +34.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Grand Traverse
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 50.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.3pp toward D · 2008: -3.0pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: R+3.0 2016: R+12.5 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -276.28%
- Current HPI
- 352.4866
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.49%
- Metro
- Traverse City, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+390.8% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-28 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-21 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-21 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $244,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $244,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-15 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-15 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-07 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-07 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-18 Listed $249,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-18 Listed $249,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $230,000 Public Records
- 2022-10-18 Sold (MLS) $230,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-18 Sold (MLS) $230,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-09-16 Listed $225,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-09-16 Listed $225,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-10-31 Sold (MLS) $112,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-10-31 Sold (MLS) $112,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-09-12 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-09-12 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
- 2014-08-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-06-05 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-10-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-07-11 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 2011-10-07 Sold (MLS) $42,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-06-23 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+17.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,066 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…