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212 Glendale Dr
D+ Composite 46.08
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.2/30.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

212 Glendale Dr · Denton, MI 48651
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 884 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1987 0.34 ac lot Est $161k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Built in 1987 with a open floor plan & handicap assessable are some of the selling points for this charming home. From the outside of the home you will notice a large front porch with wheel chair ramp leading to your front door. As you move through the living area you will notice 2 bedrooms to the left along with the 3/4 bath with hand rails and low clearance shower. Finally we go through the large dining room and kitchen with laundry hook ups to right side and out the back door to view a smaller deck that looks over concrete patio with built in fire pit and large shed. All of this is located on 2 lots close to town and public beaches.

Key facts

  • Cement fire pit
  • Plenty of parking
  • Double lot

Tags

DOUBLE LOTHANDICAP-ACCESSIBLE RAMPLARGE POLE BARNSTORAGE SHEDCEMENT FIRE PITPLENTY OF PARKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Well water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; 100 x 150 lot (0.34 acres); Zoned residential; Subdivision: T22N R3W
  • Construction: Crawl space / no finished basement
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Shed on property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Dryer; Refrigerator; Washer; Oven; Range; Gas water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $213 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (1.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $167k (1.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Houghton Lake Community Schools (rural): math 18% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #410 of 540 in MI (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Houghton Lake Jrsr High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #462 of 713 statewide, top 66%, 511 students, 71% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Roscommon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Roscommon County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $48k; list at $170k implies a 258% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $167,071 (1.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.80%
Cash-on-cash
5.38%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$160,888
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
204 Arrowhead Dr 0.23mi 2/1.0 900 (+2%) 13mo $176,000 $196 75
200 Peach Tree Ave 0.57mi 2/1.0 900 (+2%) 2mo $115,000 $128 69
584 W Houghton Lake Dr 0.28mi 2/1.0 816 (-8%) 11mo $165,000 $202 65
230 Glendale Dr 0.10mi 2/1.0 780 (-12%) 15mo $142,000 $182 63
302 W Houghton Lake Dr 0.19mi 2/1.5 832 (-6%) 21mo $210,000 $252 62
504 Sullivan 0.66mi 2/1.0 908 (+3%) 14mo $135,000 $149 53
2931 S Gladwin Rd 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 975 (+10%) 16mo $105,000 $108 33
208 Pine Oak Dr 0.58mi 2/1.0 768 (-13%) 24mo $87,500 $114 32
107 Waldenwood 0.74mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,008 (+14%) 24mo $315,000 $313 15

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.0%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-13,971
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
1.6%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$5,249
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48651

Home prices YoY
-25.6%
Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,671 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$145 /mo · $1,739/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$351
Net cashflow
$213

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,401
Max offer price $169,900
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,900 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,900 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,900 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    remarks 668-char remark
  6. 2026-06-12
    listed $169,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,739 · $145/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,178 · $181/mo
Expected delta
+$439/yr (+$37/mo · 25.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,049
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$1,739
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,604
− Management
−$1,604
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$208
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$50
After-tax cash flow
$2,608/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houghton Lake Community Schools
NCES district ID
2618600
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$34,744
Composite
22.19/100
National rank
#8158
State rank
#410 of 540 in MI

Livability — Denton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Prudenville, MI
Population (ZIP)
4,331

Population outlook (Roscommon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,249 people
By 2030
21,206 · -4.7%
By 2040
19,070 · -14.3%
By 2050
17,564 · -21.1%
By 2075
15,420 · -30.7%
By 2100
13,168 · -40.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Slovak 4% Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Roscommon

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.9) · D 32.9% · R 65.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-35.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -32.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.9 2020: R+30.0 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.27%
Current HPI
252.9662
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+257.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $169,900 WWMLS
  • 2017-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
  • 2017-06-08 Sold (MLS) $47,500 WWMLS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,739 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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