1562 Empire Rd · Wickliffe, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute Wick Ranch With Ca-2 Yrs Old/Extra Large Family Rm With Knotty Pine Paneling And Wet Bar/Newer Windows And Garage Recently Painted/Newer Garage Doors/Nice Enclosed Porch
Key facts
- Prime location
- 7,501 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Above-grade finished area about 1,006 (assessor); Below-grade finished area about 290 (assessor)
- Construction: Built (year per public records); Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Lot recorded at approximately 0.172 acres
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced-air gas heating
- Interior features: Full, partially finished basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 4.9% in Wickliffe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#85 in OH, #1,236 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
- Wickliffe City (suburban): math 48% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #386 of 656 in OH (top 59%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 448 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.83%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $220,320
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1588 Mapledale Rd | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (+8%) | 0mo | $197,500 | $141 | 78 |
| 1671 Eldon Dr | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,302 (+0%) | 5mo | $221,600 | $170 | 77 |
| 1677 Douglas Rd | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,270 (-2%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $165 | 75 |
| 1711 Rush Rd | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,350 (+4%) | 5mo | $177,400 | $131 | 66 |
| 5362 Oak Ridge Dr | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,411 (+9%) | 8mo | $242,000 | $172 | 63 |
| 1845 Eldon Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,314 (+1%) | 10mo | $187,500 | $143 | 58 |
| 30402 Forestgrove Rd | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 | 1,358 (+5%) | 6mo | $205,000 | $151 | 53 |
| 1857 Empire Rd | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,381 (+7%) | 8mo | $265,000 | $192 | 51 |
| 882 Bayridge Blvd | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,192 (-8%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $210 | 43 |
| 30052 Dorothy Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (+9%) | 10mo | $182,900 | $130 | 42 |
| 1818 Rush Rd | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,102 (-15%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $222 | 42 |
| 30404 Oakdale Rd | 0.74mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,123 (-13%) | 1mo | $248,500 | $221 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $20,595
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.72×
- Total profit
- $88,424
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44092
- Rents YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,499 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$290 /mo · $3,481/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $413
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30446 Euclid Ave Wickliffe, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1044 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 30620 Euclid Ave Wickliffe, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 3d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 30050 Euclid Ave Unit A2 Wickliffe, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $1,350 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 31621 N Marginal Dr Unit B Willowick, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2250 Par Ln Willoughby Hills, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1375 | $2,430 | $1.77 | 1d | 15 | 1.12mi |
| 2252 Par Ln Willoughby Hills, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1046 | $1,600 | $1.53 | 1d | 36 | 1.16mi |
| 459 Clarmont Rd Willowick, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $1,875 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 29103 Barjode Rd Willowick, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,950 | $1.75 | 19d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 29210 Green Dr Willowick, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 1d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $85,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 444-char remark
-
2026-06-07$85,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,481 · $290/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,481 · $290/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,991
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$3,481
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,439
- − Management
- −$1,439
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $3,972
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$953
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,004/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wickliffe City
- NCES district ID
- 3904508
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,233
- Composite
- 45.89/100
- National rank
- #2551
- State rank
- #386 of 656 in OH
Livability — Wickliffe
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #85
- US rank
- #1236
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wickliffe, OH
- County
- Lake County · 204,927 people
- City population
- 17,587
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,587
- Household income
- $70,801
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 572.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,022 people
- By 2030
- 228,151 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 221,018 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 212,754 · -7.5%
- By 2075
- 200,309 · -12.9%
- By 2100
- 183,315 · -20.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 12% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.3) · D 42.4% · R 56.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -14.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.3 2020: R+13.6 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.7 2008: D+0.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -126.67%
- Current HPI
- 161.3288
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.03%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-19.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $85,000 MLSNOW
- 1997-10-16 Sold (MLS) $100,500 MLSNOW
- 1997-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $100,500 Public Records
- 1997-07-22 Listed $104,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,481 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…