2400 SE Stratus Ave #68 · McMinnville, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.8/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Remodeled Home – Move-In Ready – Only $70,000 Located in Evergreen Mobile Home Park in McMinnville, OR, this beautifully updated 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home offers 784 square feet of comfortable living at an affordable price. Completely refreshed and move-in ready, this home features brand new flooring throughout, fresh interior and exterior paint, new energy-efficient windows and trim, and a central heating and air conditioning system for year-round comfort. Outside, you'll enjoy a spacious deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining, plus extra storage space for added convenience. Clean, modern, and well-maintained, this home is an excellent choice for first-time buyers or anyone
Key facts
- New flooring
- Updated home
- Move in ready
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential property (not attached); Main level living area approx. 784; View: Territorial
- HOA & community: Evergreen mobile park (park approval required); Pet restrictions by breed; Not a senior community; Zoned R-4; Monthly lot rent of $825
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport
- Utilities: Electric fuel; Public water; Public sewer; Cable internet available
- Home design: Manufactured home in a park; Updated/remodeled condition; Territorial view; Unit dimensions approximately 56 ft by 14 ft; Built in 1986; Single-story (manufactured home)
- Construction: Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Deck; Tool shed; Yard; Aluminum/metal siding; Level lot; Public road access; Concrete and paved road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in refrigerator; Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Range hood; Electric hot water
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Second bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Hardwood floors; Luxury vinyl plank; Double-pane windows; Crawl space with dirt floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $932 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.3% vs local median 3.2% in McMinnville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#79 in OR, #3,556 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A, crime B; Watch: commute D+.
- Mcminnville SD 40 (town): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #20 of 183 in OR (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Patton Middle School (699 students, 66% FRL); Mcminnville High School (2,319 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 396 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 282 units permitted in Yamhill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yamhill County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 57.08%
- DSCR
- 3.54
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $72,128
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2400 SE Stratus Ave #51 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 756 (-4%) | 15mo | $69,900 | $92 | 80 |
| 2400 Stratus Ave SE #29 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-2%) | 23mo | $75,000 | $98 | 76 |
| 2400 SE Stratus Ave #52 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 668 (-15%) | 12mo | $48,000 | $72 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.26×
- Total profit
- $44,292
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 57.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.12×
- Total profit
- $100,321
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97128
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 396
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,718 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $340/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$361
- Net cashflow
- $932
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $972 | -5% $952 | +0% $932 | +5% $913 | +10% $893 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $797 | -5% $865 | +0% $932 | +5% $1,000 | +10% $1,068 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $968 | -0.5pp $950 | base $932 | +0.5pp $914 | +1.0pp $896 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 385 SE Norton Ln McMinnville, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1001 | $1,670 | $1.67 | 2d | 10 | 0.19mi |
| 1126 SE Rummel St Unit 1128 McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,795 | $1.68 | 17d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1025 NE 1st St Unit 8 McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,695 | $1.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 725 SE Ford St McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,425 | $1.84 | 2d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 711 SE Ford St McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,690 | $1.96 | 2d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 981 SE Ford St McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,295 | $1.54 | 2d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 855 SE Ford St McMinnville, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,475 | $2.03 | 2d | 7 | 1.16mi |
| 410 SE Debbie St Unit WES410 McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 998 | $1,895 | $1.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 230 SE Evans St McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,595 | $1.77 | 2d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 230 SE Evans St Unit 22 McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,650 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 230 SE Evans St Unit 06 McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,595 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1020 NE 12th St McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,600 | $2.03 | 8d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $70,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$70,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $340 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $679 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$339/yr (+$28/mo · 100.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,611
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$340
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,649
- − Management
- −$1,649
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $10,666
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,560
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,628/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mcminnville SD 40
- NCES district ID
- 4108010
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,382
- Composite
- 47.69/100
- National rank
- #4919
- State rank
- #20 of 183 in OR
Livability — McMinnville
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #79
- US rank
- #3556
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McMinnville, OR
- County
- Yamhill County · 71,150 people
- City population
- 38,664
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,664
- Household income
- $75,896
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1508.0
Population outlook (Yamhill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 109,295 people
- By 2030
- 112,060 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 115,975 · +6.1%
- By 2050
- 118,155 · +8.1%
- By 2075
- 120,968 · +10.7%
- By 2100
- 116,163 · +6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Portuguese 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 13% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yamhill
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.1) · D 45.3% · R 51.4% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.4pp · 2024: -6.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.1 2020: R+4.0 2016: R+8.8 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+1.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -201.59%
- Current HPI
- 320.373
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.79%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $70,000 RMLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $340 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…