120 N 3rd Ave · Rockaway Beach, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 76°F)
- 10 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$385,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover the perfect blend of coastal charm and everyday convenience in this beautifully maintained home nestled in a quiet, close-knit community. Just moments from beach access, this property offers the rare opportunity to enjoy breathtaking ocean, mountain, and forest views—all from one exceptional location. Step inside to an inviting open floor plan designed for both comfort and functionality, ideal for entertaining or relaxing after a day by the water. The spacious garage provides ample room for your vehicle, additional storage, and even a dedicated workspace. Enjoy the ease of nearby shopping, restaurants, and food trucks just a short stroll away. When it comes to recreation, you'll be surrounded by it all—scenic railroad rides, a charming boardwalk, vibrant farmer's markets, seasonal festivals, parks, and more, making this an ideal full-time residence or coastal getaway. This home is part of a solvent, well-managed HOA, offering peace of mind and community pride. With many recent upgrades and improvements including new roof (2021), exterior trim painted (Summer 2022), back storm door added (August 2022), upgraded primary bedroom closet (August 2022), interior paint (walls and trim) (November 2022), upgraded pantry shelving (December 2020), brand new water heater (April 2026). Whether you're looking for tranquility, adventure, or a bit of both, this property delivers a lifestyle that's hard to match.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Recent upgrades
- Beach access
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $385k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($24k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $385k).
- Recommended offer: $362k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 5.9% in Rockaway Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#94 in OR, #4,777 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Neah-Kah-Nie SD 56 (rural): math 39% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #62 of 183 in OR (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Garibaldi Elementary School (math 24% / reading 30%, grade F, #288 of 412 statewide, top 73%, 120 students, 52% FRL); Neah-Kah-Nie Middle School (math 24% / reading 57%, grade F, #41 of 128 statewide, top 32%, 177 students, 44% FRL); Neah-Kah-Nie High School (math 24% / reading 75%, grade D+, #32 of 143 statewide, top 34%, 280 students, 35% FRL).
- Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 86 units permitted in Tillamook County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,000/mo this rent would consume 112% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tillamook County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $108k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($362k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $225k; list at $385k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.26%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $479,917
- List price
- $385,000
- Delta
- -19.78%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 N Miller St Unit 303 I | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,320 (+2%) | 4mo | $43,250 | $33 | 85 |
| 115 N Miller St #103 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,320 (+2%) | 5mo | $32,000 | $24 | 84 |
| 711 N 6th St | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,128 (-13%) | 4mo | $700,000 | $621 | 52 |
| 325 N Juniper Ct | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,542 (+19%) | 0mo | $544,000 | $353 | 50 |
| 243 S Grayling St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,067 (-18%) | 2mo | $499,000 | $468 | 47 |
| 1233 Nehalem Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-19%) | 1mo | $405,000 | $384 | 45 |
| 648 S Coral St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (-8%) | 3mo | $172,000 | $145 | 39 |
| 552 Highway 101 | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 1,026 (-21%) | 2mo | $310,000 | $302 | 34 |
| 1026 NE 13th Ave | 1.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,109 (-15%) | 3mo | $410,000 | $370 | 34 |
| 105 NW 23rd Ave #206 | 1.38mi | 2/2.0 | 1,051 (-19%) | 5mo | $594,000 | $565 | 32 |
| 977 S Harbor St | 1.02mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,539 (+18%) | 0mo | $425,000 | $276 | 31 |
| 1040 NE 12th Ave | 1.01mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-22%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $159 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $65,133
- Equity at exit
- $57,405
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.05×
- Total profit
- $221,304
- Equity at exit
- $33,288
Cash invested: $107,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active · 2 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $444,500 ($405/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 160 d
- This list price
- 50% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -8.9% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 97136
- Home prices YoY
- -34.6%
- Active inventory
- 156
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,019
- Tax from tax record
- −$223 /mo · $2,671/yr
- Insurance
- −$160
- HOA
- −$338
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,260
- Net cashflow
- $2,000
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,218 | -5% $2,109 | +0% $2,000 | +5% $1,891 | +10% $1,782 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,526 | -5% $1,763 | +0% $2,000 | +5% $2,237 | +10% $2,474 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,194 | -0.5pp $2,098 | base $2,000 | +0.5pp $1,900 | +1.0pp $1,799 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $96,250
- Closing costs
- $11,550
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145 N Dolphin St Rockaway Beach, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $6,000 | $5.88 | 93d | 1 | 0.14mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Property has a viewLot size under 3,000 sq ftZoning RK-C1
- HOA & community
- HOA (Seascape Townhome Owners Association) with monthly feeAssociation fee $338 monthlyAssociation covers insurance, grounds maintenance, taxes and trashAssociation-owned parking space
Exterior
- Parking
- Driveway and off-street parkingAttached extra-deep garage (1 garage space)
- Security
- Entry security featuresFire sprinkler system
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity and propane availableCable and other internet service
- Home design
- Attached residential property (townhome/attached)Built in 2006Main and upper levels (living area split between levels)Resale property
- Construction
- Composition roofConcrete perimeter foundation and slab
- Exterior features
- Cement sidingLevel lotPaved road accessMountain, ocean and trees/wooded viewsFire sprinkler system and sidewalk
Interior
- Kitchen
- Convection ovenDouble ovenFree-standing rangeFree-standing refrigeratorDishwasherGarbage disposalPantry
- Bedrooms
- Primary bedroom on main level with deck, ensuite bath, double sinks and bathtub with showerSecond bedroom on main level with ensuite bath and bathtub with shower
- Flooring
- Laminate flooringTile flooringConcrete floorWall-to-wall carpetHardwood in living area
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heatingElectric and propane fuel sourcesNo central air listed (other cooling)
- Interior features
- Ceiling fansCentral vacuumConcrete floorFurnishedGarage door openerHigh ceilingsLaminate flooringSoaking tubTile flooringVaulted ceilingsWall-to-wall carpetWasher and dryer includedDouble-pane windows with vinyl framesPropane fireplace (1) with insert
- Laundry & utility
- Main-level laundry with washer and dryer
HOA detail $338/mo · $4,056/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $385,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $385,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $385,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $385,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $385,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $385,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-07-31pricedays on market $385,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $395,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $395,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $395,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $395,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $395,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $395,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $395,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $395,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $395,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-07-17days on market $395,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $395,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $395,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $395,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $395,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $395,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $395,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-09pricedays on market $395,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $405,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $405,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $405,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $405,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $405,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $405,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $405,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $405,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $405,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $405,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $405,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $405,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $405,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $405,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $405,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $405,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $405,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $405,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $405,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $405,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $405,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $425,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $425,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $425,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $425,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $425,000 Active 20 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,671 · $223/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,734 · $311/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,063/yr (+$89/mo · 39.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 10 d/yr ≥76°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $72,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,566
- − Property taxes
- −$2,671
- − Insurance
- −$1,925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,760
- − Management
- −$5,760
- − HOA
- −$4,056
- − Depreciation
- −$11,200
- Taxable income
- $19,062
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,575
- After-tax cash flow
- $19,425/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This well-maintained townhouse is in good condition with no major repairs needed. It offers a good return on investment with potential for both resale and rental value through minor cosmetic improvements.
Components & finishes AI
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and can increase the home's value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase the home's value ↑
- Rental HVAC system maintenance — Ensures the system is running efficiently and can attract tenants ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Neah-Kah-Nie SD 56
- NCES district ID
- 4108650
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,437
- Composite
- 41.68/100
- National rank
- #7205
- State rank
- #62 of 183 in OR
Livability — Rockaway Beach
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #94
- US rank
- #4777
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rockaway Beach, OR
- County
- Tillamook · 26,318 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,422
- Household income
- $64,286
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Tillamook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,318 people
- By 2030
- 26,603 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 26,898 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 27,129 · +3.1%
- By 2075
- 27,858 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 26,212 · -0.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Iranian 4% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tillamook
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 49.2% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: 9.9pp · 2024: -1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.4 2020: R+1.7 2016: R+5.9 2012: D+4.7 2008: D+9.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.02%
- Current HPI
- 228.3227
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+69.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $405,000 RMLS
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $405,000 OCMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $425,000 OCMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $425,000 RMLS
- 2017-01-27 Sold (MLS) $225,000 RMLS
- 2016-03-28 Listed $239,000 RMLS
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,671 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…