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4310 N State Road 161 Rd
A- Composite 83.7
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$64,900

4310 N State Road 161 Rd · Richland, IN 47634
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,020 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 178 Days on market
Built 1926 0.50 ac lot $64/sqft · 31% below area Est $94k · 31% under ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Handyman Special in Richland, IN. Three bedroom, one full bath home situated on three lots. Features include a formal dining room and a covered front porch. The multiple lots provide ample space for a potential detached garage or additional use. Property is in need of significant updates and is being sold as-is. Due to condition, financing is limited to cash, 203K or construction loans.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Formal dining room
  • Multiple lots

Tags

FORMAL DINING ROOMCOVERED FRONT PORCHMULTIPLE LOTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $449 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#291 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • South Spencer County School Corporation (rural): math 46% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #58 of 301 in IN (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 78 units permitted in Spencer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
  • Spencer County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
14.59%
Cash-on-cash
29.64%
DSCR
2.32
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$94,018
List price
$64,900
Delta
-30.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4167 N Walnut St 0.18mi 1/1.0 (-1) 960 (-6%) 3mo $17,000 $18 74
5883 W Lincoln St 0.30mi 2/1.0 928 (-9%) 14mo $134,000 $144 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.31% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.3%
Equity multiple
2.87×
Total profit
$34,067
Equity at exit
$26,695
10-year hold
IRR
35.2%
Equity multiple
5.63×
Total profit
$84,201
Equity at exit
$39,301

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47634

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
40
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,093 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $569/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$449

Break-even live

Break-even rent $525
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $486 -5% $467 +0% $449 +5% $431 +10% $412
Rent -10% $363 -5% $406 +0% $449 +5% $492 +10% $535
Rate -1.0pp $482 -0.5pp $465 base $449 +0.5pp $432 +1.0pp $415

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,900 Active 178 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,900 Active 177 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,900 Active 176 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,900 Active 175 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $64,900 Active 173 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $64,900 Active 172 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $64,900 Active 170 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,900 Active 169 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,900 Active 168 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,900 Active 167 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $64,900 Active 164 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $64,900 Active 163 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,900 Active 162 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,900 Active 161 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,900 Active 160 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $64,900 Active 159 DOM
  17. 2026-04-21
    price $64,900 389-char remark
    Show marketing remark (389 chars)

    Handyman Special in Richland, IN. Three bedroom, one full bath home situated on three lots. Features include a formal dining room and a covered front porch. The multiple lots provide ample space for a potential detached garage or additional use. Property is in need of significant updates and is being sold as-is. Due to condition, financing is limited to cash, 203K or construction loans.

  18. 2026-03-05
    price $69,900 389-char remark
    Show marketing remark (389 chars)

    Handyman Special in Richland, IN. Three bedroom, one full bath home situated on three lots. Features include a formal dining room and a covered front porch. The multiple lots provide ample space for a potential detached garage or additional use. Property is in need of significant updates and is being sold as-is. Due to condition, financing is limited to cash, 203K or construction loans.

  19. 2025-12-22
    listed $74,900 Active 389-char remark
    Show marketing remark (389 chars)

    Handyman Special in Richland, IN. Three bedroom, one full bath home situated on three lots. Features include a formal dining room and a covered front porch. The multiple lots provide ample space for a potential detached garage or additional use. Property is in need of significant updates and is being sold as-is. Due to condition, financing is limited to cash, 203K or construction loans.

  20. 2024-09-23
    soldstatus $70,000
  21. 2017-04-07
    soldstatus $68,500 235-char remark
    Show marketing remark (235 chars)

    Remodeled home on large lot. This home is a doll house and a must see. Great starter home. New carpet, laminate vinyl flooring. Remodeled kitchen with new cabinets and all new appliances. New carport and utility shed. 2 bedroom 1 bath.

  22. 2017-01-04
    listed $69,900 235-char remark
    Show marketing remark (235 chars)

    Remodeled home on large lot. This home is a doll house and a must see. Great starter home. New carpet, laminate vinyl flooring. Remodeled kitchen with new cabinets and all new appliances. New carport and utility shed. 2 bedroom 1 bath.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$569 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$569 · $47/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,120
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$569
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,050
− Management
−$1,050
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$4,603
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,105
After-tax cash flow
$4,282/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Spencer County School Corporation
NCES district ID
1810560
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$47,220
Composite
42.49/100
National rank
#3208
State rank
#58 of 301 in IN

Livability — Richland

Score
66/100
State rank
#291
US rank
#11855

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Richland, IN
Population (ZIP)
2,101

Population outlook (Spencer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,394 people
By 2030
19,912 · -2.4%
By 2040
18,592 · -8.8%
By 2050
17,051 · -16.4%
By 2075
14,010 · -31.3%
By 2100
10,869 · -46.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2% English 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Spencer

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.4% · R 70.6% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-43.6pp toward R · 2008: 0.4pp · 2024: -43.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.3 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+37.3 2012: R+15.3 2008: D+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.31%
Current HPI
210.8511
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $64,900 IRMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $69,900 IRMLS
  • 2025-12-22 Listed $74,900 IRMLS
  • 2024-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2017-04-07 Sold (MLS) $68,500 IRMLS
  • 2017-01-04 Listed $69,900 IRMLS

Property tax history

+22.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $569 · +11.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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