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9700 Chandler St
B Composite 70.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

9700 Chandler St · Ensley, FL 32534
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,530 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 341 Days on market
Built 1943 0.82 ac lot $82/sqft · 55% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Endless Potential on Nearly an Acre! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a spacious 0.82-acre lot adorned with beautiful oak and fruit trees, offering both charm and opportunity. Inside, you'll find a large fireplace and a layout with character, though the home could use a bit of TLC. What truly sets this property apart is its zoning: HDR (High Density Residential)—making it an ideal investment for those looking to build townhomes, duplexes, or other multi-family housing. Whether you're a homeowner with vision or a developer seeking your next project, this is a rare chance to own land with significant potential. The value is in the land—don’t miss out on this incredible opportunity!

Key facts

  • Zoning hdr
  • Nearly an acre
  • Spacious lot

Tags

NEARLY AN ACRESPACIOUS LOTBEAUTIFUL OAK TREESFRUIT TREESLARGE FIREPLACEZONING HDR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $741 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 4.6% in Ensley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#133 in FL, #1,996 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D.
  • Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: L. D. Mcarthur Elementary School (math 44% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,345 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 593 students, 65% FRL); J. M. Tate Senior High School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #207 of 667 statewide, top 32%, 2,110 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 341 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $59k; list at $125k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 341 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
13.41%
Cash-on-cash
25.40%
DSCR
2.13
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$279,611
List price
$125,000
Delta
-55.30%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
532 Edith Ln 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,482 (-3%) 7mo $267,000 $180 74
576 Edith Ln 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-8%) 3mo $285,000 $204 72
638 Saleta St 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,572 (+3%) 2mo $248,000 $158 69
526 Bridle Way 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,631 (+7%) 1mo $300,975 $185 69
531 Bridle Way 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,631 (+7%) 1mo $299,900 $184 68
555 Bridle Way 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,631 (+7%) 3mo $274,900 $169 67
550 Bridle Way 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,631 (+7%) 2mo $292,900 $180 64
547 Bridle Way 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,631 (+7%) 3mo $280,000 $172 62
117 Sprague Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,325 (-13%) 14mo $245,000 $185 54
405 W 9 1/2 Mile Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,581 (+3%) 10mo $275,000 $174 54
9902 Monet Way 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,665 (+9%) 2mo $282,000 $169 51
9896 Monet Way 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,428 (-7%) 13mo $260,000 $182 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$28,111
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
3.58×
Total profit
$90,152
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32534

Home prices YoY
-19.1%
Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,905 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $674/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$741

Break-even live

Break-even rent $967
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $812 -5% $776 +0% $741 +5% $705 +10% $670
Rent -10% $590 -5% $666 +0% $741 +5% $816 +10% $891
Rate -1.0pp $804 -0.5pp $773 base $741 +0.5pp $708 +1.0pp $675

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9980 Bowman Ave Unit N Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,595 $1.39 23d 1 1.02mi
9980 Bowman Ave Unit L Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,595 $1.39 15d 1 1.02mi
8660 Figland Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1106 $1,550 $1.40 15d 1 1.05mi
3310 Bliss Ln Cantonment, FL 3.0 2.0 1491 $2,100 $1.41 15d 1 1.09mi
975 Lovebird Ct Pensacola, FL 4.0 2.0 1768 $2,100 $1.19 15d 1 1.11mi
951 Lovebird Ct Pensacola, FL 4.0 2.0 1787 $2,150 $1.20 15d 1 1.13mi
217 Cohasset Ct Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1391 $1,875 $1.35 15d 1 1.13mi
10493 River Birch Dr Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.0 1053 $1,525 $1.45 25d 1 1.15mi
8644 Cove Ave Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1588 $1,850 $1.16 25d 1 1.20mi
8881 Bellawood Cir Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1685 $2,100 $1.25 25d 1 1.35mi
9095 Airway Dr Pensacola, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1542 $1,809 $1.17 15d 19 1.38mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $125,000 Active 341 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 338 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 337 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 336 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 335 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 Active 333 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,000 Active 330 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 329 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 328 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 327 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 323 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 322 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 321 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 320 DOM
  15. 2026-03-31
    historical
  16. 2026-01-26
    price $137,900
  17. 2026-01-23
    price $137,900 710-char remark
    Show marketing remark (710 chars)

    Endless Potential on Nearly an Acre! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a spacious 0.82-acre lot adorned with beautiful oak and fruit trees, offering both charm and opportunity. Inside, you'll find a large fireplace and a layout with character, though the home could use a bit of TLC. What truly sets this property apart is its zoning: HDR (High Density Residential)—making it an ideal investment for those looking to build townhomes, duplexes, or other multi-family housing. Whether you're a homeowner with vision or a developer seeking your next project, this is a rare chance to own land with significant potential. The value is in the land—don’t miss out on this incredible opportunity!

  18. 2025-11-10
    price $144,000
    Show marketing remark (710 chars)

    Endless Potential on Nearly an Acre! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a spacious 0.82-acre lot adorned with beautiful oak and fruit trees, offering both charm and opportunity. Inside, you'll find a large fireplace and a layout with character, though the home could use a bit of TLC. What truly sets this property apart is its zoning: HDR (High Density Residential)—making it an ideal investment for those looking to build townhomes, duplexes, or other multi-family housing. Whether you're a homeowner with vision or a developer seeking your next project, this is a rare chance to own land with significant potential. The value is in the land—don’t miss out on this incredible opportunity!

  19. 2025-11-10
    price $144,000 710-char remark
    Show marketing remark (710 chars)

    Endless Potential on Nearly an Acre! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a spacious 0.82-acre lot adorned with beautiful oak and fruit trees, offering both charm and opportunity. Inside, you'll find a large fireplace and a layout with character, though the home could use a bit of TLC. What truly sets this property apart is its zoning: HDR (High Density Residential)—making it an ideal investment for those looking to build townhomes, duplexes, or other multi-family housing. Whether you're a homeowner with vision or a developer seeking your next project, this is a rare chance to own land with significant potential. The value is in the land—don’t miss out on this incredible opportunity!

  20. 2025-09-04
    price $149,000 710-char remark
    Show marketing remark (710 chars)

    Endless Potential on Nearly an Acre! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a spacious 0.82-acre lot adorned with beautiful oak and fruit trees, offering both charm and opportunity. Inside, you'll find a large fireplace and a layout with character, though the home could use a bit of TLC. What truly sets this property apart is its zoning: HDR (High Density Residential)—making it an ideal investment for those looking to build townhomes, duplexes, or other multi-family housing. Whether you're a homeowner with vision or a developer seeking your next project, this is a rare chance to own land with significant potential. The value is in the land—don’t miss out on this incredible opportunity!

  21. 2025-09-02
    price $149,000
  22. 2025-08-19
    listed $159,000 Active
  23. 2025-07-15
    listed $159,000 Active 710-char remark
    Show marketing remark (710 chars)

    Endless Potential on Nearly an Acre! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a spacious 0.82-acre lot adorned with beautiful oak and fruit trees, offering both charm and opportunity. Inside, you'll find a large fireplace and a layout with character, though the home could use a bit of TLC. What truly sets this property apart is its zoning: HDR (High Density Residential)—making it an ideal investment for those looking to build townhomes, duplexes, or other multi-family housing. Whether you're a homeowner with vision or a developer seeking your next project, this is a rare chance to own land with significant potential. The value is in the land—don’t miss out on this incredible opportunity!

  24. 2023-10-02
    historical
  25. 2023-06-30
    listed $175,000 Active
  26. 2004-10-01
    soldstatus $59,000
  27. 2004-05-10
    listed $58,550
  28. 1985-07-01
    soldstatus $44,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$674 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,038 · $86/mo
Expected delta
+$364/yr (+$30/mo · 53.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,855
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$674
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,828
− Management
−$1,828
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$7,261
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,743
After-tax cash flow
$7,148/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia
NCES district ID
1200510
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,649
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4773
State rank
#56 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ensley

Score
79/100
State rank
#133
US rank
#1996

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ensley, FL
County
Escambia County · 301,722 people
City population
15,879
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
17,104
Household income
$58,992
Rent vs Own
44.8% rent · 55.2% own
Severe rent burden
540.0

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
334,637 people
By 2030
345,779 · +3.3%
By 2040
364,828 · +9.0%
By 2050
378,514 · +13.1%
By 2075
403,220 · +20.5%
By 2100
386,125 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 30% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.23%
Current HPI
255.7617
Rent YoY
▲ 3.63%
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+207.1% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $137,900 PARMLS
  • 2026-01-23 Price Changed $137,900 PARMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $144,000 PARMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $144,000 PARMLS
  • 2025-09-04 Price Changed $149,000 PARMLS
  • 2025-09-02 Price Changed $149,000 PARMLS
  • 2025-08-19 Listed $159,000 PARMLS
  • 2025-07-15 Listed $159,000 PARMLS
  • 2023-10-02 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2023-06-30 Listed $175,000 PARMLS
  • 2004-10-01 Sold (MLS) $59,000 PARMLS
  • 2004-05-10 Listed $58,550 PARMLS
  • 1985-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $44,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $674 · +28.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…