9700 Chandler St · Ensley, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Endless Potential on Nearly an Acre! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a spacious 0.82-acre lot adorned with beautiful oak and fruit trees, offering both charm and opportunity. Inside, you'll find a large fireplace and a layout with character, though the home could use a bit of TLC. What truly sets this property apart is its zoning: HDR (High Density Residential)—making it an ideal investment for those looking to build townhomes, duplexes, or other multi-family housing. Whether you're a homeowner with vision or a developer seeking your next project, this is a rare chance to own land with significant potential. The value is in the land—don’t miss out on this incredible opportunity!
Key facts
- Zoning hdr
- Nearly an acre
- Spacious lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $741 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 4.6% in Ensley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#133 in FL, #1,996 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: L. D. Mcarthur Elementary School (math 44% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,345 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 593 students, 65% FRL); J. M. Tate Senior High School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #207 of 667 statewide, top 32%, 2,110 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 341 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $59k; list at $125k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 341 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.40%
- DSCR
- 2.13
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $279,611
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -55.30%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 532 Edith Ln | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,482 (-3%) | 7mo | $267,000 | $180 | 74 |
| 576 Edith Ln | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-8%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $204 | 72 |
| 638 Saleta St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,572 (+3%) | 2mo | $248,000 | $158 | 69 |
| 526 Bridle Way | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,631 (+7%) | 1mo | $300,975 | $185 | 69 |
| 531 Bridle Way | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,631 (+7%) | 1mo | $299,900 | $184 | 68 |
| 555 Bridle Way | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,631 (+7%) | 3mo | $274,900 | $169 | 67 |
| 550 Bridle Way | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,631 (+7%) | 2mo | $292,900 | $180 | 64 |
| 547 Bridle Way | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,631 (+7%) | 3mo | $280,000 | $172 | 62 |
| 117 Sprague Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,325 (-13%) | 14mo | $245,000 | $185 | 54 |
| 405 W 9 1/2 Mile Rd | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,581 (+3%) | 10mo | $275,000 | $174 | 54 |
| 9902 Monet Way | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,665 (+9%) | 2mo | $282,000 | $169 | 51 |
| 9896 Monet Way | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,428 (-7%) | 13mo | $260,000 | $182 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $28,111
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 28.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.58×
- Total profit
- $90,152
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32534
- Home prices YoY
- -19.1%
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,905 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $674/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $741
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $812 | -5% $776 | +0% $741 | +5% $705 | +10% $670 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $590 | -5% $666 | +0% $741 | +5% $816 | +10% $891 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $804 | -0.5pp $773 | base $741 | +0.5pp $708 | +1.0pp $675 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9980 Bowman Ave Unit N Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,595 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 9980 Bowman Ave Unit L Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,595 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 8660 Figland Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,550 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3310 Bliss Ln Cantonment, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1491 | $2,100 | $1.41 | 15d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 975 Lovebird Ct Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1768 | $2,100 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 951 Lovebird Ct Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1787 | $2,150 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 217 Cohasset Ct Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1391 | $1,875 | $1.35 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 10493 River Birch Dr Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1053 | $1,525 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8644 Cove Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1588 | $1,850 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 8881 Bellawood Cir Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1685 | $2,100 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 9095 Airway Dr Pensacola, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1542 | $1,809 | $1.17 | 15d | 19 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 341 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 338 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 337 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 336 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 335 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 330 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 329 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 328 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 320 DOM
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2026-03-31historical
-
2026-01-26price $137,900
-
2026-01-23price $137,900 710-char remark
Show marketing remark (710 chars)
Endless Potential on Nearly an Acre! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a spacious 0.82-acre lot adorned with beautiful oak and fruit trees, offering both charm and opportunity. Inside, you'll find a large fireplace and a layout with character, though the home could use a bit of TLC. What truly sets this property apart is its zoning: HDR (High Density Residential)—making it an ideal investment for those looking to build townhomes, duplexes, or other multi-family housing. Whether you're a homeowner with vision or a developer seeking your next project, this is a rare chance to own land with significant potential. The value is in the land—don’t miss out on this incredible opportunity!
-
2025-11-10price $144,000
Show marketing remark (710 chars)
Endless Potential on Nearly an Acre! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a spacious 0.82-acre lot adorned with beautiful oak and fruit trees, offering both charm and opportunity. Inside, you'll find a large fireplace and a layout with character, though the home could use a bit of TLC. What truly sets this property apart is its zoning: HDR (High Density Residential)—making it an ideal investment for those looking to build townhomes, duplexes, or other multi-family housing. Whether you're a homeowner with vision or a developer seeking your next project, this is a rare chance to own land with significant potential. The value is in the land—don’t miss out on this incredible opportunity!
-
2025-11-10price $144,000 710-char remark
Show marketing remark (710 chars)
Endless Potential on Nearly an Acre! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a spacious 0.82-acre lot adorned with beautiful oak and fruit trees, offering both charm and opportunity. Inside, you'll find a large fireplace and a layout with character, though the home could use a bit of TLC. What truly sets this property apart is its zoning: HDR (High Density Residential)—making it an ideal investment for those looking to build townhomes, duplexes, or other multi-family housing. Whether you're a homeowner with vision or a developer seeking your next project, this is a rare chance to own land with significant potential. The value is in the land—don’t miss out on this incredible opportunity!
-
2025-09-04price $149,000 710-char remark
Show marketing remark (710 chars)
Endless Potential on Nearly an Acre! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a spacious 0.82-acre lot adorned with beautiful oak and fruit trees, offering both charm and opportunity. Inside, you'll find a large fireplace and a layout with character, though the home could use a bit of TLC. What truly sets this property apart is its zoning: HDR (High Density Residential)—making it an ideal investment for those looking to build townhomes, duplexes, or other multi-family housing. Whether you're a homeowner with vision or a developer seeking your next project, this is a rare chance to own land with significant potential. The value is in the land—don’t miss out on this incredible opportunity!
-
2025-09-02price $149,000
-
2025-08-19$159,000 Active
-
2025-07-15$159,000 Active 710-char remark
Show marketing remark (710 chars)
Endless Potential on Nearly an Acre! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a spacious 0.82-acre lot adorned with beautiful oak and fruit trees, offering both charm and opportunity. Inside, you'll find a large fireplace and a layout with character, though the home could use a bit of TLC. What truly sets this property apart is its zoning: HDR (High Density Residential)—making it an ideal investment for those looking to build townhomes, duplexes, or other multi-family housing. Whether you're a homeowner with vision or a developer seeking your next project, this is a rare chance to own land with significant potential. The value is in the land—don’t miss out on this incredible opportunity!
-
2023-10-02historical
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2023-06-30$175,000 Active
-
2004-10-01soldstatus $59,000
-
2004-05-10$58,550
-
1985-07-01soldstatus $44,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $674 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,038 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$364/yr (+$30/mo · 53.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,855
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$674
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,828
- − Management
- −$1,828
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $7,261
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,743
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,148/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ensley
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #133
- US rank
- #1996
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ensley, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- City population
- 15,879
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,104
- Household income
- $58,992
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 540.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 30% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.23%
- Current HPI
- 255.7617
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.63%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+207.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2026-01-26 Price Changed $137,900 PARMLS
- 2026-01-23 Price Changed $137,900 PARMLS
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $144,000 PARMLS
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $144,000 PARMLS
- 2025-09-04 Price Changed $149,000 PARMLS
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $149,000 PARMLS
- 2025-08-19 Listed $159,000 PARMLS
- 2025-07-15 Listed $159,000 PARMLS
- 2023-10-02 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2023-06-30 Listed $175,000 PARMLS
- 2004-10-01 Sold (MLS) $59,000 PARMLS
- 2004-05-10 Listed $58,550 PARMLS
- 1985-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $44,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $674 · +28.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…