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77 Pr 52046
B- Composite 68.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

77 Pr 52046 · Rocky Mound, TX 75686
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 896 sqft · Manufactured public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1999 $18/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable Fishing Retreat!! This 2 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home with 3 lots, includes a carport, 2 storage buildings and a fish cleaning station. Furnishings currently at property convey with sale. The lake and boat ramp are located conveniently across the street. Call today to schedule a showing!

Key facts

  • Community boat ramp
  • 2 carports
  • Water views

Tags

WATER VIEWSCOMMUNITY BOAT RAMP3 LOTS2 CARPORTSSTORAGE SHEDPRIVATE ROAD ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: from CR 2120 take CR 2121, follow until PR 52040 then follow towards boat ramp until PR 52046; property will be on the right.
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $210 (about $17.50/month)

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-story manufactured (mobile) home; Located in Woodland Harbor subdivision
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Porch; Storage structure; Views of Bob Sandlin

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Dishwasher

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $674 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 1.1% in Rocky Mound — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 43/100 on livability (#1,576 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Pittsburg ISD (town): math 54% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #216 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Pittsburg El (math 34% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 545 students, 80% FRL); Pittsburg J H (math 48% / reading 43%, grade D+, #470 of 1,662 statewide, top 29%, 349 students, 82% FRL); Pittsburg H S (math 62% / reading 52%, grade C, #333 of 1,632 statewide, top 22%, 726 students, 78% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Camp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camp County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $67,965 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.10%
Cap rate
18.02%
Cash-on-cash
41.88%
DSCR
2.86
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.5%
Equity multiple
2.65×
Total profit
$31,782
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
45.0%
Equity multiple
5.30×
Total profit
$83,043
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75686

Home prices YoY
-21.6%
Active inventory
313
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,446 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $718/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$18
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$674

Break-even live

Break-even rent $593
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $713 -5% $694 +0% $674 +5% $655 +10% $635
Rent -10% $560 -5% $617 +0% $674 +5% $731 +10% $789
Rate -1.0pp $709 -0.5pp $692 base $674 +0.5pp $656 +1.0pp $638

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$18 · $216/yr

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $69,000 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,000 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,000 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,000 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,000 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,000 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,000 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,000 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,000 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,000 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,000 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,000 Active 9 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,000 Active 8 DOM
  17. 2026-05-22
    listed $69,000 Active
  18. 2022-11-15
    soldstatus Closed 298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    Affordable Fishing Retreat!! This 2 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home with 3 lots, includes a carport, 2 storage buildings and a fish cleaning station. Furnishings currently at property convey with sale. The lake and boat ramp are located conveniently across the street. Call today to schedule a showing!

  19. 2022-11-15
    soldstatus 298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    Affordable Fishing Retreat!! This 2 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home with 3 lots, includes a carport, 2 storage buildings and a fish cleaning station. Furnishings currently at property convey with sale. The lake and boat ramp are located conveniently across the street. Call today to schedule a showing!

  20. 2022-10-21
    status Pending 298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    Affordable Fishing Retreat!! This 2 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home with 3 lots, includes a carport, 2 storage buildings and a fish cleaning station. Furnishings currently at property convey with sale. The lake and boat ramp are located conveniently across the street. Call today to schedule a showing!

  21. 2022-10-19
    listed $54,900 298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    Affordable Fishing Retreat!! This 2 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home with 3 lots, includes a carport, 2 storage buildings and a fish cleaning station. Furnishings currently at property convey with sale. The lake and boat ramp are located conveniently across the street. Call today to schedule a showing!

  22. 2022-10-14
    price $54,900 298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    Affordable Fishing Retreat!! This 2 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home with 3 lots, includes a carport, 2 storage buildings and a fish cleaning station. Furnishings currently at property convey with sale. The lake and boat ramp are located conveniently across the street. Call today to schedule a showing!

  23. 2022-10-07
    price $64,900 298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    Affordable Fishing Retreat!! This 2 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home with 3 lots, includes a carport, 2 storage buildings and a fish cleaning station. Furnishings currently at property convey with sale. The lake and boat ramp are located conveniently across the street. Call today to schedule a showing!

  24. 2022-09-27
    listed $79,900 Active 298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    Affordable Fishing Retreat!! This 2 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home with 3 lots, includes a carport, 2 storage buildings and a fish cleaning station. Furnishings currently at property convey with sale. The lake and boat ramp are located conveniently across the street. Call today to schedule a showing!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$718 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,263 · $105/mo
Expected delta
+$545/yr (+$45/mo · 75.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,358
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$718
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,389
− Management
−$1,389
− HOA
−$216
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$7,429
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,783
After-tax cash flow
$6,309/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pittsburg ISD
NCES district ID
4835010
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$38,136
Composite
40.87/100
National rank
#3627
State rank
#216 of 826 in TX

Livability — Rocky Mound

Score
43/100
State rank
#1576
US rank
#26922

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
13,427

Population outlook (Camp County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,403 people
By 2030
13,741 · +2.5%
By 2040
14,436 · +7.7%
By 2050
15,135 · +12.9%
By 2075
16,836 · +25.6%
By 2100
17,582 · +31.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 16% Black 14% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Scottish 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 20% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Camp

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.6) · D 22.9% · R 76.5%
2008→2024 swing
-30.3pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -53.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.6 2020: R+44.1 2016: R+42.7 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+23.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.12%
Current HPI
181.5522
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $69,000 GTAR
  • 2022-11-15 Sold (MLS) GTAR
  • 2022-11-15 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2022-10-21 Pending NTREIS
  • 2022-10-19 Listed $54,900 GTAR
  • 2022-10-14 Price Changed $54,900 NTREIS
  • 2022-10-07 Price Changed $64,900 NTREIS
  • 2022-09-27 Listed $79,900 NTREIS

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $718 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…