806 Clifton Blvd · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$132,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Three-bedroom, one-bath home featuring two bedrooms and a full bath on the main level, with a third bedroom located upstairs. The property includes a full basement offering additional space, an attached garage, and a large backyard. The home is well maintained & tenant occupied, with current rent of $1,385 per month and a lease in place through June 2026.
Key facts
- Large backyard
- Full basement
- 8,300 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $133k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $133k).
- Recommended offer: $117k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $919 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 176 days — a 12% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $51k; list at $133k implies a 161% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 176 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.82%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $145,274
- List price
- $132,900
- Delta
- -8.52%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 540 Clifton Blvd | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-2%) | 3mo | $162,900 | $121 | 76 |
| 4053 Nebraska Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,221 (-11%) | 9mo | $95,000 | $78 | 65 |
| 729 Southbriar Rd | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,500 (+9%) | 9mo | $166,000 | $111 | 62 |
| 539 Independence Rd | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,202 (-12%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $96 | 62 |
| 4252 Foxchapel Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,536 (+12%) | 10mo | $139,000 | $90 | 59 |
| 3811 House Of Stuart Ave | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+9%) | 4mo | $193,000 | $129 | 57 |
| 405 W Richards Rd | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 | 1,524 (+11%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $102 | 53 |
| 823 N Byrne Rd | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,245 (-9%) | 2mo | $112,500 | $90 | 47 |
| 54 Independence Rd | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (-11%) | 6mo | $147,000 | $121 | 47 |
| 335 Richards Rd | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,524 (+11%) | 9mo | $105,000 | $69 | 47 |
| 291 Kingswood Trail Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,524 (+11%) | 9mo | $173,500 | $114 | 46 |
| 4132 Redondo Ave | 0.72mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,202 (-12%) | 6mo | $131,000 | $109 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-492
- Equity at exit
- $19,816
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $51,382
- Equity at exit
- $11,491
Cash invested: $37,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43607
- Home prices YoY
- -27.5%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,429 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$697
- Tax from tax record
- −$165 /mo · $1,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $211
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $287 | -5% $249 | +0% $211 | +5% $174 | +10% $136 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $99 | -5% $155 | +0% $211 | +5% $268 | +10% $324 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $278 | -0.5pp $245 | base $211 | +0.5pp $177 | +1.0pp $142 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,225
- Closing costs
- $3,987
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 536 Carver Blvd Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1204 | $1,195 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1130 Pine Valley Ln Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 799 | $1,299 | $1.63 | 14d | 6 | 0.81mi |
| 4021 Hillandale Rd Unit 4 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,695 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4033 Hillandale Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1170 | $1,495 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1125 Hilltop Ln Unit 1127 Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,549 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1101 Linden Ln Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,345 | $1.38 | 44d | 4 | 0.97mi |
| 4012 W Bancroft St Ottawa Hills, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $972 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4515 W Bancroft St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,500 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2023 Eileen Rd Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1297 | $1,475 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5007 Hill Ave Unit 5 H Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $850 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1318 Montain Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,195 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5133 Wissman Rd Toledo, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1501 | $1,650 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 932 Turner Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,295 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $132,900 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $132,900 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $132,900 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $132,900 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $132,900 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $132,900 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $132,900 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $132,900 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $132,900 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $132,900 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $132,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $132,900 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $132,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $132,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $132,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-03-14price $132,900 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
Three-bedroom, one-bath home featuring two bedrooms and a full bath on the main level, with a third bedroom located upstairs. The property includes a full basement offering additional space, an attached garage, and a large backyard. The home is well maintained & tenant occupied, with current rent of $1,385 per month and a lease in place through June 2026.
-
2025-12-22$134,900 Active 361-char remark
Show marketing remark (361 chars)
Three-bedroom, one-bath home featuring two bedrooms and a full bath on the main level, with a third bedroom located upstairs. The property includes a full basement offering additional space, an attached garage, and a large backyard. The home is well maintained & tenant occupied, with current rent of $1,385 per month and a lease in place through June 2026.
-
2025-09-02historical
-
2025-06-09price $137,000
-
2025-05-13$147,000 Active
-
1995-09-27soldstatus $51,000
-
1987-03-16soldstatus $35,000
-
1982-07-01soldstatus $38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,985 · $165/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,029 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- +$44/yr (+$4/mo · 2.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,153
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,444
- − Property taxes
- −$1,985
- − Insurance
- −$664
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,372
- − Management
- −$1,372
- − Depreciation
- −$3,866
- Taxable income
- $448
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$108
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,430/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,469
- Household income
- $41,335
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1157.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 27% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.58%
- Current HPI
- 175.2772
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.19%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+249.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-14 Price Changed $132,900 NORIS
- 2025-12-22 Listed $134,900 NORIS
- 2025-09-02 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2025-06-09 Price Changed $137,000 NORIS
- 2025-05-13 Listed $147,000 NORIS
- 1995-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
- 1987-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 1982-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,985 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…