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1274 Twin Ponds Rd 🔨 Auction
D Composite 44.69
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1

1274 Twin Ponds Rd · Bedford, IN 47421
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,500 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1990 40 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

To be sold in an Online Only Auction on Tuesday, June 23rd @ 4 PM EST. Located in the countryside of Bedford, IN. This property has everything to offer. 40 Deeded Acres in Indian Creek Township of Lawrence County. Parcel Numbers: 47-05-36-300-019.000-003 & 47-05-36-300-005.000-003. This offering includes a 3 bedroom, 2.5 bath Log Cabin with a full concrete wall basement. Vaulted Beaded Wood Kitchen & Living Room with wood siding walls. Primary bedroom with its own bathroom. Sit outside and relax on the full 360 degree wrap around porch! Next take a look at the 30x48 Pole Barn with a concrete floor and 3 nice garage doors! Up the hill is the 40x60 pole barn with a gravel floor.

Key facts

  • 30x48 pole barn
  • 40 deeded acres
  • Log cabin

Tags

40 DEEDED ACRESLOG CABINFULL CONCRETE WALL BASEMENTVAULTED BEADED WOOD KITCHEN360 DEGREE WRAP AROUND PORCH30X48 POLE BARN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property sits on more than 20 acres (listed as 40 acres); Additional parcels included

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 4-car garage with garage door opener
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Private water; Septic system; 200+ amp electric service; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Log construction with log siding and wood siding; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Wrap-around porch; Barn pole; Wooded property with mature and small trees; Rural setting (not in a subdivision); See remarks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Range hood; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Breakfast bar
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Attic access; Breakfast bar; Kitchen island; Vaulted/cathedral ceilings
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry in basement; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $1 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $1 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $1.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
  • Cap rate 1260089.1% vs local median 3.9% in Bedford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#23 in IN, #1,958 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
  • North Lawrence Community Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #170 of 301 in IN (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Bedford Middle School (math 23% / reading 36%, grade F, #212 of 330 statewide, top 67%, 562 students, 54% FRL); Bedford-North Lawrence High School (math 38% / reading 63%, grade D+, #117 of 369 statewide, top 32%, 1,303 students, 46% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 160 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $0 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $0 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $1

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
132921.00%
Cap rate
1260089.08%
Cash-on-cash
4500295.67%
DSCR
200238.83
GRM
0.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
238927.23×
Total profit
$66,899
Equity at exit
$0
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
515908.96×
Total profit
$144,454
Equity at exit
$0

Cash invested: $0 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47421

Home prices YoY
-25.2%
Active inventory
160

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,329 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$0
Tax est. 1.5%
$0 /mo · $0/yr
Insurance
$0
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$1,050

Break-even live

Break-even rent
Max offer price $1
Occupancy floor 16%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,050 -5% $1,050 +0% $1,050 +5% $1,050 +10% $1,050
Rent -10% $945 -5% $998 +0% $1,050 +5% $1,103 +10% $1,155
Rate -1.0pp $1,050 -0.5pp $1,050 base $1,050 +0.5pp $1,050 +1.0pp $1,050

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$0
Closing costs
$0
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $1 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $1 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $1 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $1 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    remarks 689-char remark
  12. 2026-06-08
    listed $1 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,951
− Mortgage interest
−$0
− Property taxes
−$0
− Insurance
−$0
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,276
− Management
−$1,276
− Depreciation
−$0
Taxable income
$13,398
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,216
After-tax cash flow
$9,385/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Lawrence Community Schools
NCES district ID
1807860
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$44,566
Composite
31.88/100
National rank
#5864
State rank
#170 of 301 in IN

Livability — Bedford

Score
80/100
State rank
#23
US rank
#1958

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lawrence County · 27,599 people
City population
27,599
Metro
Bedford, IN
Population (ZIP)
27,599
Household income
$68,108
Rent vs Own
20.0% rent · 80.0% own
Severe rent burden
507.0

Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,347 people
By 2030
43,331 · -2.3%
By 2040
40,887 · -7.8%
By 2050
38,297 · -13.6%
By 2075
32,479 · -26.8%
By 2100
26,051 · -41.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.0) · D 23.6% · R 74.6% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-30.5pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -51.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.0 2020: R+50.6 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+32.8 2008: R+20.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.32%
Current HPI
240.959
Rent YoY
Metro
Bedford, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,615 · -5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…