🔨 Auction
1274 Twin Ponds Rd · Bedford, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
To be sold in an Online Only Auction on Tuesday, June 23rd @ 4 PM EST. Located in the countryside of Bedford, IN. This property has everything to offer. 40 Deeded Acres in Indian Creek Township of Lawrence County. Parcel Numbers: 47-05-36-300-019.000-003 & 47-05-36-300-005.000-003. This offering includes a 3 bedroom, 2.5 bath Log Cabin with a full concrete wall basement. Vaulted Beaded Wood Kitchen & Living Room with wood siding walls. Primary bedroom with its own bathroom. Sit outside and relax on the full 360 degree wrap around porch! Next take a look at the 30x48 Pole Barn with a concrete floor and 3 nice garage doors! Up the hill is the 40x60 pole barn with a gravel floor.
Key facts
- 30x48 pole barn
- 40 deeded acres
- Log cabin
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property sits on more than 20 acres (listed as 40 acres); Additional parcels included
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 4-car garage with garage door opener
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Private water; Septic system; 200+ amp electric service; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Log construction with log siding and wood siding; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Wrap-around porch; Barn pole; Wooded property with mature and small trees; Rural setting (not in a subdivision); See remarks
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Range hood; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Breakfast bar
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Attic access; Breakfast bar; Kitchen island; Vaulted/cathedral ceilings
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry in basement; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $1.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
- Cap rate 1260089.1% vs local median 3.9% in Bedford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#23 in IN, #1,958 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
- North Lawrence Community Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #170 of 301 in IN (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bedford Middle School (math 23% / reading 36%, grade F, #212 of 330 statewide, top 67%, 562 students, 54% FRL); Bedford-North Lawrence High School (math 38% / reading 63%, grade D+, #117 of 369 statewide, top 32%, 1,303 students, 46% FRL).
- Market conditions: 160 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $0 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $0 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 132921.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1260089.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4500295.67%
- DSCR
- 200238.83
- GRM
- 0.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 238927.23×
- Total profit
- $66,899
- Equity at exit
- $0
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 515908.96×
- Total profit
- $144,454
- Equity at exit
- $0
Cash invested: $0 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47421
- Home prices YoY
- -25.2%
- Active inventory
- 160
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,329 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$0
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$0 /mo · $0/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $1,050
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,050 | -5% $1,050 | +0% $1,050 | +5% $1,050 | +10% $1,050 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $945 | -5% $998 | +0% $1,050 | +5% $1,103 | +10% $1,155 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,050 | -0.5pp $1,050 | base $1,050 | +0.5pp $1,050 | +1.0pp $1,050 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $0
- Closing costs
- $0
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $1 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $1 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $1 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $1 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 689-char remark
-
2026-06-08$1 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,951
- − Mortgage interest
- −$0
- − Property taxes
- −$0
- − Insurance
- −$0
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,276
- − Management
- −$1,276
- − Depreciation
- −$0
- Taxable income
- $13,398
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,216
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,385/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Lawrence Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1807860
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,566
- Composite
- 31.88/100
- National rank
- #5864
- State rank
- #170 of 301 in IN
Livability — Bedford
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #23
- US rank
- #1958
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lawrence County · 27,599 people
- City population
- 27,599
- Metro
- Bedford, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,599
- Household income
- $68,108
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 507.0
Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,347 people
- By 2030
- 43,331 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 40,887 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 38,297 · -13.6%
- By 2075
- 32,479 · -26.8%
- By 2100
- 26,051 · -41.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 23.6% · R 74.6% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.5pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+50.6 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+32.8 2008: R+20.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.32%
- Current HPI
- 240.959
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Bedford, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,615 · -5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…