2218 Western Ave · Davenport, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Home is located in a great neighborhood close to Saint Ambrose University This property is a total rehab. There is no utilities on this property. PROPERTY IS SOLD AS NO REPAIRS TO BE MADE
Key facts
- 5,760 sq ft lot
- Built 1914
- Listed 133 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 2-story house; Property over 100 years old; Built before 1978
- Construction: Wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 48 x 120; Alley access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms total; Master bedroom on second floor; One bedroom on third floor
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring throughout main living areas and bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Separate dining room; Full unfinished basement with egress window
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $417 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 4.4% in Davenport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#126 in IA, #2,312 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Davenport Community School District (urban): math 43% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #288 of 289 in IA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Adams Elementary School (math 48% / reading 51%, grade D, #514 of 616 statewide, top 85%, 511 students, 54% FRL); Williams Intermediate (math 33% / reading 37%, grade F, #243 of 246 statewide, top 99%, 423 students, 63% FRL); North High School (math 45% / reading 59%, grade D+, #299 of 336 statewide, top 91%, 1,352 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 805 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (479 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Scott County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.88%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $159,790
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 728 W 14th St | 0.57mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,681 (-0%) | 9mo | $73,000 | $43 | 57 |
| 1014 W Locust St | 0.44mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,628 (-3%) | 14mo | $155,000 | $95 | 53 |
| 2519 Brady St | 0.51mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,612 (-4%) | 16mo | $189,500 | $118 | 47 |
| 2515 Iowa St | 0.67mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,655 (-2%) | 14mo | $168,000 | $102 | 46 |
| 723 W 17th St | 0.40mi | 6/1.5 (+1) | 1,880 (+12%) | 10mo | $133,000 | $71 | 44 |
| 812 W 16th St | 0.45mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,502 (-11%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $110 | 43 |
| 2723 Pershing Ave | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,808 (+8%) | 7mo | $165,000 | $91 | 43 |
| 2617 Fillmore Ln | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,768 (+5%) | 12mo | $278,000 | $157 | 40 |
| 1312 Ripley St | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,835 (+9%) | 12mo | $160,000 | $87 | 38 |
| 1703 Marquette St | 0.62mi | 5/2.0 | 1,914 (+14%) | 15mo | $175,000 | $91 | 34 |
| 508 E Rusholme St | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,508 (-10%) | 8mo | $129,900 | $86 | 33 |
| 2505 Iowa St | 0.66mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,920 (+14%) | 8mo | $195,000 | $102 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $14,569
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.29×
- Total profit
- $57,768
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52803
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,525 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$279 /mo · $3,345/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $417
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $468 | -5% $443 | +0% $417 | +5% $392 | +10% $366 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $297 | -5% $357 | +0% $417 | +5% $477 | +10% $538 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $462 | -0.5pp $440 | base $417 | +0.5pp $394 | +1.0pp $370 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1511 N Ripley St Davenport, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $1,450 | $0.77 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 621 W 15th St Davenport, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $1,500 | $0.82 | 15d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1323 N Gaines St Davenport, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1733 | $1,350 | $0.78 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 616 E 6th St Davenport, IA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1578 | $1,712 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1716 W 7th St Davenport, IA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1278 | $1,712 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-22status Active
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-01-08status Active
-
2026-01-06historical
-
2026-01-05historical
-
2025-11-03Active
-
2006-06-05soldstatus $116,500
-
2006-06-02soldstatus $116,400
-
2006-02-17$125,000
-
2001-06-06soldstatus $89,900
-
2001-03-26$89,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,345 · $279/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,345 · $279/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,300
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$3,345
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,464
- − Management
- −$1,464
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $3,926
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$942
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,063/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Davenport Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1908580
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,157
- Composite
- 39.49/100
- National rank
- #3951
- State rank
- #288 of 289 in IA
Livability — Davenport
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #126
- US rank
- #2312
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Davenport, IA
- County
- Scott County · 144,583 people
- City population
- 103,319
- Metro
- Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,742
- Household income
- $64,543
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 630.0
Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 188,878 people
- By 2030
- 196,648 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 210,860 · +11.6%
- By 2050
- 224,359 · +18.8%
- By 2075
- 258,884 · +37.1%
- By 2100
- 286,447 · +51.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 14% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Portuguese 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, United Kingdom, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Scott
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.3% · R 51.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -3.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.9 2020: D+3.5 2016: D+1.4 2012: D+13.8 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.00%
- Current HPI
- 182.0976
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.57%
- Metro
- Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+29.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-08 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-03 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $116,500 Public Records
- 2006-06-02 Sold (MLS) $116,400 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-02-17 Listed $125,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-06-06 Sold (MLS) $89,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-03-26 Listed $89,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,345 · +28.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…