208 N Carroll St · Mount Carroll, IL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.8/30.0
- Appreciation +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to a charming little gem nestled in the heart of Mt Carroll, where small-town living meets big-time potential. This delightful two-bedroom, one-bathroom home is ready to steal your heart without breaking the bank, making it an exceptional opportunity for first-time buyers, savvy investors, or anyone looking to simplify life without sacrificing comfort. Step inside to discover a welcoming open-concept living and dining area that flows together seamlessly, creating a warm and inviting space perfect for gathering. The layout offers a cozy yet functional feel that makes everyday living effortlessly enjoyable. Two well-appointed bedrooms offer comfortable retreats, while the full bathroom adds practical convenience. This is a wonderful outdoor oasis. This space is practically begging for vibrant flower beds, a thriving vegetable garden, or both. Do not let this one slip through your fingers - schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- Vegetable garden
- Flower beds
- Open-concept living
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residential home; 2 stories
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Fireplace; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($289/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (2.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#513 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- West Carroll CUSD 314 (rural): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #498 of 620 in IL (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: West Carroll Primary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,278 of 2,056 statewide, top 65%, 416 students, 0% FRL); West Carroll Middle School (math 10% / reading 24%, grade F, #460 of 665 statewide, top 72%, 193 students, 0% FRL); West Carroll High School (math 15% / reading 15%, grade F, #462 of 693 statewide, top 68%, 286 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 50% district-wide (50 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
- Carroll County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (8.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $74k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1888 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1888 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.15%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $71,403
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- 26.05%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 S Carroll St | 0.48mi | 2/1.5 | 1,086 (+13%) | 19mo | $85,000 | $78 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $39,722
- Equity at exit
- $69,513
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.53×
- Total profit
- $114,243
- Equity at exit
- $139,082
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61053
- Home prices YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $876 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$158 /mo · $1,902/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$184
- Net cashflow
- $24
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $75 | -5% $50 | +0% $24 | +5% $-1 | +10% $-27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-45 | -5% $-10 | +0% $24 | +5% $59 | +10% $93 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $69 | -0.5pp $47 | base $24 | +0.5pp $1 | +1.0pp $-23 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 38 events
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2026-06-21days on market $90,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $90,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $90,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $90,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-05-14$95,000 Active 939-char remark
Show marketing remark (939 chars)
Welcome to a charming little gem nestled in the heart of Mt Carroll, where small-town living meets big-time potential. This delightful two-bedroom, one-bathroom home is ready to steal your heart without breaking the bank, making it an exceptional opportunity for first-time buyers, savvy investors, or anyone looking to simplify life without sacrificing comfort. Step inside to discover a welcoming open-concept living and dining area that flows together seamlessly, creating a warm and inviting space perfect for gathering. The layout offers a cozy yet functional feel that makes everyday living effortlessly enjoyable. Two well-appointed bedrooms offer comfortable retreats, while the full bathroom adds practical convenience. This is a wonderful outdoor oasis. This space is practically begging for vibrant flower beds, a thriving vegetable garden, or both. Do not let this one slip through your fingers - schedule your showing today.
-
2026-05-14$95,000 Active 937-char remark
Show marketing remark (939 chars)
Welcome to a charming little gem nestled in the heart of Mt Carroll, where small-town living meets big-time potential. This delightful two-bedroom, one-bathroom home is ready to steal your heart without breaking the bank, making it an exceptional opportunity for first-time buyers, savvy investors, or anyone looking to simplify life without sacrificing comfort. Step inside to discover a welcoming open-concept living and dining area that flows together seamlessly, creating a warm and inviting space perfect for gathering. The layout offers a cozy yet functional feel that makes everyday living effortlessly enjoyable. Two well-appointed bedrooms offer comfortable retreats, while the full bathroom adds practical convenience. This is a wonderful outdoor oasis. This space is practically begging for vibrant flower beds, a thriving vegetable garden, or both. Do not let this one slip through your fingers - schedule your showing today.
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2025-04-04historical
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2025-03-24price
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2025-03-07Active
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2025-03-06historical $795
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2025-03-03$795
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2025-02-27historical $795
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2025-02-05$795
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2023-03-24status Pending
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2022-12-02status Pending
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2022-10-06historical
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2022-05-20soldstatus $74,000 Closed
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2022-05-20soldstatus $74,000
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2022-05-20soldstatus $74,000 Closed
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2022-05-20soldstatus $74,000
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2022-01-10$77,500
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2021-08-06historical
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2011-11-11historical
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2007-07-12soldstatus $43,000
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2001-11-28soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,902 · $158/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,972 · $164/mo
- Expected delta
- +$71/yr (+$6/mo · 3.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,512
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,902
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$841
- − Management
- −$841
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable loss
- −$1,181
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$283
- After-tax cash flow
- $573/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Carroll CUSD 314
- NCES district ID
- 1700310
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,090
- Composite
- 13.91/100
- National rank
- #9483
- State rank
- #498 of 620 in IL
Livability — Mount Carroll
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #513
- US rank
- #10633
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mount Carroll, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,902
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,010 people
- By 2030
- 12,150 · -6.6%
- By 2040
- 10,462 · -19.6%
- By 2050
- 9,078 · -30.2%
- By 2075
- 6,704 · -48.5%
- By 2100
- 5,004 · -61.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · German/W. Germanic 8% Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.7) · D 33.2% · R 64.8% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.8pp · 2024: -31.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.7 2020: R+29.4 2016: R+27.1 2012: D+1.4 2008: D+4.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.19%
- Current HPI
- 160.8203
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+181.2% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $90,000 NWIAR
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $90,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Listed $95,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Listed $95,000 NWIAR
- 2025-04-04 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-24 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-07 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-06 Rental Removed $795 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-03-03 Listed for Rent $795 RENTALBEAST
- 2025-02-27 Rental Removed $795 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-02-05 Listed for Rent $795 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-03-24 Pending — NWIAR
- 2022-12-02 Pending — NWIAR
- 2022-10-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-20 Sold (MLS) $74,000 NWIAR
- 2022-05-20 Sold (MLS) $74,000 NWIAR
- 2022-05-20 Sold (MLS) $74,000 NWIAR
- 2022-01-10 Listed $77,500 NWIAR
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-11-11 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
- 2001-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.1%/yrLatest (2024): $1,902 · +24.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…