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1817 W Mulberry St
B+ Composite 76.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

1817 W Mulberry St · Baltimore, MD 21223
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · Townhouse · 11 Days on market
Built 1920 900 sqft lot Est $123k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Here's you opportunity for an incredible investment property in Baltimore. This value-add opportunity you’ve been waiting for. With strong bones, central A/C, a functional layout, and minimal updates needed, this property is primed for your next rental, flip, or long-term hold. The home features 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, a spacious main level, and a large unfinished basement offering additional value-add potential. Major systems include a gas furnace, gas water heater, and a residential sprinkler system—an uncommon feature that adds both value and peace of mind. Located just minutes from UMMC, downtown Baltimore, major employers, public transportation, and commuter routes, this

Key facts

  • Gas furnace
  • Gas water heater
  • Convenient access

Tags

FUNCTIONAL LAYOUTLARGE UNFINISHED BASEMENTGAS FURNACEGAS WATER HEATERRESIDENTIAL SPRINKLER SYSTEMCONVENIENT ACCESS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Hot water heated by natural gas
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Located within city limits (Baltimore City); No tidal water

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $877 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Cap rate 20.3% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 422 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,720/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1755% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $75k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.29%
Cap rate
20.33%
Cash-on-cash
50.12%
DSCR
3.23
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$123,200
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1404 Lemmon St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,100 (0%) 1mo $189,000 $172 68
43 Wheeler Ave N 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,144 (+4%) 3mo $34,000 $30 68
2141 Vine St 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (+9%) 3mo $20,000 $17 62
1906 W Fairmount Ave 0.27mi 2/3.5 (-1) 1,200 (+9%) 3mo $134,900 $112 55
633 N Brice St 0.28mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,250 (+14%) 2mo $78,000 $62 51
2435 Lauretta Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,260 (+14%) 1mo $45,000 $36 51
1239 W Lombard St 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (-9%) 3mo $150,000 $150 48
1226 W Pratt St 0.68mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,000 (-9%) 2mo $80,000 $80 45
1110 W Lombard St 0.71mi 3/2.5 1,206 (+10%) 1mo $180,000 $149 44
2576 W Baltimore St W 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+9%) 2mo $152,000 $127 44
2544 W Fairmount Ave 0.69mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,204 (+10%) 2mo $55,000 $46 43
1241 W Lombard St 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 963 (-12%) 3mo $150,000 $156 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
52.8%
Equity multiple
3.47×
Total profit
$51,871
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
59.7%
Equity multiple
8.33×
Total profit
$153,860
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21223

Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
422
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,720 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $681/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$361
Net cashflow
$877

Break-even live

Break-even rent $609
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1846 W Saratoga St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,300 $1.04 43d 1 0.07mi
2012 W Saratoga St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,700 $1.31 24d 1 0.19mi
1625 Edmondson Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 1500 $1,895 $1.26 12d 1 0.19mi
1625 Edmondson Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 1500 $2,175 $1.45 4d 1 0.19mi
1839 W Fayette St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1426 $1,675 $1.17 24d 1 0.26mi
1519 Penrose Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,875 $1.56 43d 1 0.26mi
1912 W Baltimore St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1200 $2,100 $1.75 24d 1 0.33mi
1918 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 857 $1,434 $1.67 43d 1 0.33mi
813 N Fulton Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 43d 1 0.35mi
1635 Frederick Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1224 $1,850 $1.51 43d 1 0.38mi
1601 Frederick Ave Unit 3 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,050 $1.00 4d 1 0.38mi
1315 Harlem Ave Unit B Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 900 $1,425 $1.58 24d 1 0.43mi
1315 Harlem Ave Unit C Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 900 $1,425 $1.58 43d 1 0.43mi
834 N Stricker St Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 20d 1 0.46mi
2232 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,875 $1.50 24d 1 0.48mi
2225 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1200 $1,600 $1.33 24d 1 0.49mi
1914 Mosher St Unit 1914 Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 1200 $1,700 $1.42 43d 1 0.49mi
62 N Gorman Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,500 $2.27 17d 1 0.50mi
1339 W Lafayette Ave #1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 700 $1,600 $2.29 12d 1 0.52mi
10 S Carey St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1140 $1,550 $1.36 24d 1 0.53mi
2303 Calverton Heights Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1314 $2,250 $1.71 24d 1 0.53mi
1315 Hollins St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1096 $1,860 $1.70 4d 1 0.55mi
1315 Hollins St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1096 $1,950 $1.78 12d 1 0.55mi
1324 W Lombard St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,450 $1.32 43d 1 0.58mi
1324 W Lombard St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 24d 1 0.58mi
918 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1485 $1,750 $1.18 43d 1 0.59mi
1049 Brantley Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 24d 1 0.60mi
2301 Riggs Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1072 $1,600 $1.49 24d 1 0.68mi
104 S Carrollton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 4.0 1232 $2,400 $1.95 4d 1 0.68mi
307 S Smallwood St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1400 $1,350 $0.96 43d 1 0.68mi
101 N Schroeder St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0–2.0 1037 $3,185 $3.07 2d 12 0.70mi
305 S Calhoun St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 22d 1 0.70mi
1115 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1468 $2,100 $1.43 43d 1 0.71mi
910 N Arlington Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1220 $1,850 $1.52 24d 1 0.71mi
1111 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,295 $1.08 4d 1 0.71mi
2516 Hollins St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 43d 1 0.72mi
2609 Lauretta Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1286 $1,675 $1.30 24d 1 0.74mi
1000 Hollins St Unit 1000 Hollins Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1472 $2,600 $1.77 44d 1 0.74mi
2537 Hollins St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 24d 1 0.76mi
110 S Catherine St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1330 $1,500 $1.13 43d 1 0.77mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    remarks 687-char remark
  8. 2026-06-08
    listed $75,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$681 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$749 · $62/mo
Expected delta
+$68/yr (+$6/mo · 10.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,634
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$681
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,651
− Management
−$1,651
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$9,894
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,374
After-tax cash flow
$8,151/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
19,572
Household income
$45,840
Rent vs Own
68.0% rent · 32.0% own
Severe rent burden
1755.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 72% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.99%
Current HPI
140.5836
Rent YoY
▲ 7.51%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+87.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Listed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $681 · +11.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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