516 John St · Plainville, IN
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Bring your vision to a rare find in the small town of Plainville. A double lot located on the corner with a well-built and maintained house, one car detached garage, and an RV hookup for your empty lot. Property has its own well, a full basement (dry, built of solid blocks), an access ramp leading to the welcoming front porch. Interior features a spacious kitchen leading into the large living area, 2 bedrooms, 1 bath and an open laundry/ entry room. Unfinished basement offers a blank space for improvement or lots of storage. Motivated seller. Property is being sold 'AS IS'
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1924
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $236 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($893 rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#321 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, employment D+.
- North Daviess Community Schools (rural): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #157 of 301 in IN (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: North Daviess Elementary School (math 37% / reading 44%, grade F, #491 of 994 statewide, top 50%, 637 students, 48% FRL); North Daviess Jr-Sr High School (math 26% / reading 48%, grade F, #247 of 369 statewide, top 70%, 471 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 31% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 71 units permitted in Daviess County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Daviess County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.81%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $117,528
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722 3rd St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 1,134 (+14%) | 13mo | $134,000 | $118 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $24,520
- Equity at exit
- $35,522
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.99×
- Total profit
- $66,180
- Equity at exit
- $54,743
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47568
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $893 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$22 /mo · $262/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$187
- Net cashflow
- $236
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-03-30$79,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $262 · $22/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $467 · $39/mo
- Expected delta
- +$205/yr (+$17/mo · 78.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,711
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$262
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$857
- − Management
- −$857
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $1,617
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$388
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,445/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Daviess Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1807710
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,197
- Composite
- 33.15/100
- National rank
- #5552
- State rank
- #157 of 301 in IN
Livability — Plainville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #321
- US rank
- #12613
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Plainville, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 579
Population outlook (Daviess County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,940 people
- By 2030
- 34,457 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 35,412 · +4.3%
- By 2050
- 35,803 · +5.5%
- By 2075
- 35,173 · +3.6%
- By 2100
- 29,799 · -12.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 13%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · German/W. Germanic 20% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Daviess
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.3) · D 17.1% · R 81.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.1pp toward R · 2008: -35.2pp · 2024: -64.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.3 2020: R+62.0 2016: R+62.8 2012: R+50.8 2008: R+35.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $79,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2024): $262 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…