30925 Block St · Garden City, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$156,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Huge opportunity to own this large 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath single-family home offers over 1,933 sq ft of living space and is ideal for investors or first-time buyers ready to add value. newer roof, driveway, and hot water tank (2018). The 1.5-car garage includes a loft for added storage or workspace. Buyer responsible for C of O with the city.
Key facts
- Hot water tank
- Driveway
- Newer roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.21 acres (68.1 x 135)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 9 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $156k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $156k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 5.8% in Garden City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#53 in MI, #1,047 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: employment C-, schools D-.
- Garden City Public Schools (suburban): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #365 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.12%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $255,156
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6327 Merriman Rd | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,980 (+2%) | 1mo | $259,900 | $131 | 77 |
| 5915 Merriman Rd | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,032 (+5%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $116 | 72 |
| 30917 Pardo St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,892 (-2%) | 2mo | $252,000 | $133 | 69 |
| 31710 Maplewood St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,835 (-5%) | 0mo | $265,000 | $144 | 66 |
| 31181 Block St | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,675 (-13%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $149 | 63 |
| 31906 Cambridge St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,970 (+2%) | 2mo | $261,000 | $132 | 59 |
| 29840 Chester St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,908 (-1%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $123 | 58 |
| 30081 Balmoral St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,725 (-11%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $148 | 56 |
| 6725 Schaller Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,088 (+8%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $110 | 54 |
| 30026 Bock St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,825 (-6%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $101 | 51 |
| 32211 Pardo St | 0.68mi | 4/1.5 | 1,725 (-11%) | 1mo | $266,000 | $154 | 48 |
| 30240 Rush St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,089 (+8%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $112 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-7,060
- Equity at exit
- $23,260
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $22,181
- Equity at exit
- $13,488
Cash invested: $43,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48135
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,181 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$818
- Tax from tax record
- −$581 /mo · $6,968/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$458
- Net cashflow
- $259
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $348 | -5% $303 | +0% $259 | +5% $215 | +10% $171 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $87 | -5% $173 | +0% $259 | +5% $345 | +10% $432 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $338 | -0.5pp $299 | base $259 | +0.5pp $219 | +1.0pp $178 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,000
- Closing costs
- $4,680
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29061 Balmoral St Garden City, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1850 | $2,250 | $1.22 | 18d | 1 | 0.97mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $156,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $156,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $156,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $156,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $156,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $156,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $156,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
Huge opportunity to own this large 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath single-family home offers over 1,933 sq ft of living space and is ideal for investors or first-time buyers ready to add value. newer roof, driveway, and hot water tank (2018). The 1.5-car garage includes a loft for added storage or workspace. Buyer responsible for C of O with the city.
-
2026-06-08$156,000 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
Huge opportunity to own this large 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath single-family home offers over 1,933 sq ft of living space and is ideal for investors or first-time buyers ready to add value. newer roof, driveway, and hot water tank (2018). The 1.5-car garage includes a loft for added storage or workspace. Buyer responsible for C of O with the city.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,968 · $581/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,968 · $581/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,173
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,738
- − Property taxes
- −$6,968
- − Insurance
- −$780
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,094
- − Management
- −$2,094
- − Depreciation
- −$4,538
- Taxable income
- $960
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$230
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,881/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Garden City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2615540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,165
- Composite
- 25.53/100
- National rank
- #7433
- State rank
- #365 of 540 in MI
Livability — Garden City
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #53
- US rank
- #1047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Garden City, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 26,739
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,739
- Household income
- $67,294
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 509.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 8% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Arabic 3% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -265.28%
- Current HPI
- 212.5713
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.65%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
-17.9% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $156,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-08 Listed $156,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-13 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-13 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $185,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-26 Price Changed $185,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-21 Listed $190,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-20 Listed $190,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $179,900 Public Records
- 2020-12-23 Sold (MLS) $179,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-12-23 Sold (MLS) $179,900 REALCOMP
- 2020-11-13 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-11-13 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-10-14 Price Changed $179,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-10-13 Price Changed $179,900 REALCOMP
- 2020-09-16 Listed $190,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-09-16 Listed $190,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+10.2%/yrLatest (2025): $6,968 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…