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135 Hillview Dr #20
D Composite 42.33
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$97,000

135 Hillview Dr #20 · Fairfield Bay, AR 72088
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,117 sqft · Condo · 113 Days on market
Built 1975 Good condition $87/sqft · at area comps Est $98k · at est. $358/mo HOA · 30% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ONE OF THE BEST PRICES FOR A LAKEWOOD CONDO IN FAIRFIELD BAY!! COME SEE THIS DARLING CONDO WITH LAKE THEME, BRIGHT FUN COLORS AND FURNISHINGS. It's updated and turnkey to start enjoying right away!! 2BR, 1.5 baths, & open kitchen/dining/living area. TV cabinet has an electric fireplace. Nice kitchen appliances and all kitchenware included. One BR has a King bed, and second BR has bunk Q beds. Full bath is updated, as is the lower half bath. Flooring is tile and carpet. Rear patio offers easy entertaining, and it looks out toward a wooded area. Quick walk over to the private pool. Just a great condo for your residence, or to use as a relaxing getaway, or even for rental potential!! Come look today before it's gone! Call for details about the condo association dues, and the Fairfield Bay Resort dues and service fees. You'll love it! Bring a suitcase and toothbrush!!!

Key facts

  • $358 HOA
  • Pool
  • Built 1975

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $97k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-83 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $85k (12.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $97k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.1% in Fairfield Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#220 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Shirley School District (rural): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #132 of 245 in AR (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Shirley Elementary School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #419 of 454 statewide, top 93%, 180 students, 100% FRL); Shirley High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #164 of 292 statewide, top 61%, 139 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 73% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 43% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Shirley School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 319 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 16 units permitted in Van Buren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $209 of equity ($671 loan paydown + $-462 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Van Buren County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $82k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
Recommended offer $84,937 (12.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
5.26%
Cash-on-cash
-3.68%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$98,033
List price
$97,000
Delta
-1.05%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
135 Hillview Dr #19 0.00mi 2/1.5 1,117 (0%) 0mo $97,000 $87 100
135 Hillview Dr #29 0.00mi 2/1.5 1,117 (0%) 2mo $77,000 $69 99
135 Hillview Dr #115 0.00mi 2/1.5 1,117 (0%) 2mo $70,000 $63 98
135 Hillview Dr #101 0.00mi 2/1.5 1,117 (0%) 3mo $75,000 $67 98
135 Hillview Dr #18 0.00mi 2/1.5 1,373 (+23%) 2mo $60,000 $44 73
158 Dunn Holw 0.43mi 2/2.0 1,144 (+2%) 1mo $107,500 $94 73
125 Cliffside Dr #26 0.55mi 2/2.0 1,120 (+0%) 2mo $175,000 $156 70
134 Richwood Dr #3 0.43mi 1/2.0 (-1) 1,095 (-2%) 2mo $85,000 $78 68
601 Dave Creek Pkwy #73 0.73mi 2/1.5 1,066 (-5%) 2mo $62,500 $59 57
171 Pine Knot Rd 0.48mi 2/2.5 1,334 (+19%) 2mo $155,000 $116 47
232 Snead Dr 1.34mi 2/2.0 1,374 (+23%) 0mo $159,000 $116 38
601 Dave Creek Pkwy #99 0.73mi 2/2.0 938 (-16%) 2mo $74,000 $79 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.2%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-10,060
Equity at exit
$25,877
10-year hold
IRR
-1.6%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-4,283
Equity at exit
$29,333

Cash invested: $27,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
1 active · 2 under contract
Median asking
$101,000 ($90/sqft)
Median days on market
65 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
-2.9% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 72088

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
319
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,196 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$509
Tax est. 1.5%
$121 /mo · $1,455/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$358
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$-83

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,302
Max offer price $84,937
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-16 -5% $-50 +0% $-83 +5% $-117 +10% $-150
Rent -10% $-178 -5% $-131 +0% $-83 +5% $-36 +10% $11
Rate -1.0pp $-35 -0.5pp $-59 base $-83 +0.5pp $-108 +1.0pp $-134

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,250
Closing costs
$2,910
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
107 Ambrose Ln Fairfield Bay, AR 3.0 2.0 1284 $1,000 $0.78 15d 1 0.32mi
104 Chelsea Dr #49 Fairfield Bay, AR 2.0 1.5 938 $950 $1.01 15d 1 0.50mi
106 Set Ct Fairfield Bay, AR 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 93d 1 0.72mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Community amenities include swimming pools, tennis courts, playgrounds, picnic areas, marina, hot tub, golf course, and fitness/bike trails
Financial info
Financing options include conventional loan, cash, or in-house financing
HOA & community
Monthly association fees (includes insurance, water/sewer, building exterior, termite contract, grounds, garbage, private roads, and other services)Additional monthly association fee

Exterior

Parking
Assigned parking
Utilities
Public waterCommunity sewerElectric served by cooperativeTankless water heaterHigh-efficiency HVAC (14+ SEER)Programmable thermostatInsulated windows and doorsFiber internet available
Home design
Metal/vinyl sidingProperty located inside city limitsWooded and cleared lot in a subdivision near river/lake areasLocated in a community with golf course access
Construction
Slab foundationArchitectural shingle roof
Exterior features
PatioGutteringSwimming pool (on property or community)Paved road access

Interior

Kitchen
Free-standing stoveElectric rangeMicrowavePantryRefrigerator stays
Bedrooms
Bonus room (other room)
Flooring
CarpetLuxury vinyl
Bathrooms
1 full bathroom1 half bathroom
Heating & cooling
Central electric heatCentral electric cooling
Interior features
Washer connection and washer staysDryer connection (electric) and dryer staysElectric water heaterWindow treatmentsWalk-in closetsCeiling fansQuartz kitchen countertopsSheetrock walls and ceilings
Laundry & utility
Washer and dryer connections (washer and dryer included)Electric water heater

HOA detail $358/mo · $4,296/yr condo

Likely covers
electricpool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    statusdays on market $97,000 Active 113 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $97,000 Price Change 112 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $97,000 Price Change 111 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $97,000 Price Change 110 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $97,000 Price Change 109 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    pricestatusdays on market $97,000 Price Change 108 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 105 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $99,000 Active 104 DOM
  9. 2026-07-29
    days on market $99,000 Active 103 DOM
  10. 2026-07-27
    days on market $99,000 Active 101 DOM
  11. 2026-07-25
    days on market $99,000 Active 99 DOM
  12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $99,000 Active 98 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $99,000 Active 97 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $99,000 Active 96 DOM
  15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $99,000 Active 95 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 92 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 90 DOM
  18. 2026-07-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 89 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $99,000 Active 88 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 87 DOM
  21. 2026-07-12
    days on market $99,000 Active 86 DOM
  22. 2026-07-12
    days on market $99,000 Active 85 DOM
  23. 2026-07-11
    days on market $99,000 Active 84 DOM
  24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 83 DOM
  25. 2026-07-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 82 DOM
  26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 81 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $99,000 Active 80 DOM
  28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $99,000 Active 79 DOM
  29. 2026-07-04
    days on market $99,000 Active 78 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 77 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 76 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 75 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $99,000 Active 74 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $99,000 Active 73 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $99,000 Active 72 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $99,000 Active 71 DOM
  37. 2026-06-26
    days on market $99,000 Active 69 DOM
  38. 2026-06-22
    days on market $99,000 Active 66 DOM
  39. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,000 Active 65 DOM
  40. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,000 Active 63 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 62 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 61 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 60 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $99,000 Active 59 DOM
  45. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,000 Price Change 57 DOM
  46. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,000 Price Change 56 DOM
  47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Price Change 53 DOM
  48. 2026-06-09
    pricestatus $99,000 Price Change 52 DOM
  49. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 52 DOM
  50. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 51 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,354
− Mortgage interest
−$5,434
− Property taxes
−$1,455
− Insurance
−$485
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,148
− Management
−$1,148
− HOA
−$4,296
− Depreciation
−$2,822
Taxable loss
−$2,434
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$584
After-tax cash flow
$-416/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 None rehab

This fully furnished and updated Lakewood Hills condo is move-in ready with recent upgrades and a peaceful back patio. It offers a good condition score and is ready for a new owner.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value
F Composite school gradezoned avg 20/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Shirley Elementary School F AR #419/454 Nat'l #38,100/41,679 High Shirley High School F AR #164/292 Nat'l #11,887/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shirley School District
NCES district ID
0512420
Math proficiency
44% ▲ 4.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$36,296
Composite
37.98/100
National rank
#8669
State rank
#132 of 245 in AR
C Composite livability gradescore 62/100

Livability — Fairfield Bay

Score
62/100
State rank
#220
US rank
#16778

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fairfield Bay, AR
County
Van Buren · 15,459 people
City population
2,264
Population (ZIP)
2,264
Household income
$54,508
Rent vs Own
12.9% rent · 87.1% own
Severe rent burden
13% of renters

Population outlook (Van Buren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,459 people
By 2030
14,645 · -5.3%
By 2040
12,918 · -16.4%
By 2050
11,263 · -27.1%
By 2075
7,870 · -49.1%
By 2100
4,918 · -68.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Van Buren

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.2) · D 18.9% · R 79.0% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-28.5pp toward R · 2008: -31.7pp · 2024: -60.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.2 2020: R+56.9 2016: R+53.9 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+31.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+88.6% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Price Changed $99,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $110,000 CARMLS
  • 2024-10-25 Sold (MLS) $82,000 CARMLS
  • 2024-09-30 Pending CARMLS
  • 2024-08-22 Price Changed $84,900 CARMLS
  • 2024-07-16 Price Changed $89,900 CARMLS
  • 2024-05-30 Price Changed $95,900 CARMLS
  • 2024-04-04 Listed $97,900 CARMLS
  • 2024-04-01 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2023-11-17 Price Changed $99,900 CARMLS
  • 2023-10-28 Price Changed $105,600 CARMLS
  • 2023-09-27 Listed $108,000 CARMLS
  • 2021-03-27 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2021-03-26 Sold (MLS) $45,000 CARMLS
  • 2021-02-06 Contingent CARMLS
  • 2021-01-28 Price Changed $48,700 CARMLS
  • 2021-01-19 Price Changed $49,900 CARMLS
  • 2021-01-15 Listed $52,500 CARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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